Louisville 38, Boston College 19
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Boston College||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||90.6%|
|Avg Starting FP||25.2||41.8||29.9|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.20||4.22||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Boston College||Louisville|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Boston College||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Boston College||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Boston College||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.43||2.80||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||10.0%||7.7%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||14.3%||0.0%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||19.4||5.8|
|Turnover Margin||Louisville +3|
|Exp. TO Margin||Louisville +0.37|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Louisville +2.63|
|TO Points Margin||Louisville +13.6 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.534||0.520|
|2nd Down S&P||0.508||0.674|
|3rd Down S&P||0.427||0.624|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Louisville by 25.0|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Louisville by 19|
A lot of Week 11 games were turned by big turnover point differences, and this was no different. The Cards earned the win outside of turnovers -- they outgained the Eagles by 91 yards (1.3 per play) and didn't throw four interceptions -- but turnovers certainly made this easier for UL.
And my goodness, Gerod Holliman is ridiculous. Three more picks? If only he'd held onto that fourth-quarter one against FSU, huh?