clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: Old Dominion 38, FIU 35

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Old Dominion 38, Florida International 35

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Florida International Old Dominion Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 68 70
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 34.3 25.5 29.9
Possessions 11 12
Scoring Opportunities*
7 8
Points Per Opportunity 4.86 4.75 4.69
Leverage Rate** 69.1% 71.4% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.551 0.583 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Florida International Old Dominion
Total 26.9 34.0
Rushing 16.8 16.3
Passing 10.1 17.7
Success Rate (what's this?) Florida International Old Dominion Nat'l Avg
All (close) 48.5% 47.1% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 49.1% 59.4% 43.5%
Passing (close) 46.7% 36.8% 40.2%
Standard Downs 48.9% 54.0% 47.1%
Passing Downs 47.6% 30.0% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Florida International Old Dominion Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.81 1.03 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.65 0.86 0.73
Passing (close) 1.44 1.27 0.98
Standard Downs 0.83 0.98 0.77
Passing Downs 0.79 1.26 1.13
Line Stats Florida International Old Dominion Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.70 3.69 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 22.2% 9.1% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 6.3% 7.6%
Turnovers Florida International Old Dominion
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 3.7 5.5
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Florida International +0.95
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Old Dominion +0.95
TO Points Margin Florida International +1.8 points
Situational Florida International Old Dominion
Q1 S&P 0.556 0.512
Q2 S&P 0.484 0.808
Q3 S&P 0.647 0.665
Q4 S&P 0.535 0.477
1st Down S&P 0.578 0.538
2nd Down S&P 0.508 0.612
3rd Down S&P 0.589 0.575
Projected Scoring Margin: Old Dominion by 5.3
Actual Scoring Margin: Old Dominion by 3

ODU drove 65 yards and tied the game with 65 seconds left, and poor Alex McGough threw an interception two plays later, setting the Monarchs up to win with a field goal at the buzzer.

I'm not going to try to convince you these two teams are great or anything, but FIU has rebounded considerably from last season's dud -- at 97th in the F/+ rankings, the Panthers are ahead of No. 98 UConn, No. 102 Kansas, and No. 110 Vandy, among others -- and ODU is acquitting itself alright in its first full FBS season. The Monarchs are 4-6 and 111th, though they probably don't have much of a chance of finishing .500 with a smoking hot Louisiana Tech team visiting in two weeks.