Old Dominion 38, Florida International 35
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Florida International||Old Dominion||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||34.3||25.5||29.9|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.86||4.75||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Florida International||Old Dominion|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Florida International||Old Dominion||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Florida International||Old Dominion||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Florida International||Old Dominion||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.70||3.69||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||22.2%||9.1%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||6.3%||7.6%|
|Turnovers||Florida International||Old Dominion|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||3.7||5.5|
|Exp. TO Margin||Florida International +0.95|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Old Dominion +0.95|
|TO Points Margin||Florida International +1.8 points|
|Situational||Florida International||Old Dominion|
|1st Down S&P||0.578||0.538|
|2nd Down S&P||0.508||0.612|
|3rd Down S&P||0.589||0.575|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Old Dominion by 5.3|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Old Dominion by 3|
ODU drove 65 yards and tied the game with 65 seconds left, and poor Alex McGough threw an interception two plays later, setting the Monarchs up to win with a field goal at the buzzer.
I'm not going to try to convince you these two teams are great or anything, but FIU has rebounded considerably from last season's dud -- at 97th in the F/+ rankings, the Panthers are ahead of No. 98 UConn, No. 102 Kansas, and No. 110 Vandy, among others -- and ODU is acquitting itself alright in its first full FBS season. The Monarchs are 4-6 and 111th, though they probably don't have much of a chance of finishing .500 with a smoking hot Louisiana Tech team visiting in two weeks.