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Study Hall: Minnesota 51, Iowa 14

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Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota 51, Iowa 14

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Iowa Minnesota Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 56 73
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 51.2%
Avg Starting FP 19.2 44.8 29.9
Possessions 12 13
Scoring Opportunities*
2 9
Points Per Opportunity 7.00 5.78 4.69
Leverage Rate** 67.7% 82.9% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.377 0.702 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Iowa Minnesota
Total 12.1 36.3
Rushing 5.3 21.8
Passing 6.8 14.5
Success Rate (what's this?) Iowa Minnesota Nat'l Avg
All (close) 32.3% 60.0% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 31.3% 53.9% 43.5%
Passing (close) 33.3% 77.8% 40.2%
Standard Downs 33.3% 55.2% 47.1%
Passing Downs 30.0% 83.3% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Iowa Minnesota Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.59 1.11 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.48 0.83 0.73
Passing (close) 0.70 1.67 0.98
Standard Downs 0.52 1.07 0.77
Passing Downs 0.76 1.23 1.13
Line Stats Iowa Minnesota Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 1.82 4.17 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 12.5% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 7.6%
Turnovers Iowa Minnesota
Turnovers 3 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 10.7 0.0
Turnover Margin Minnesota +3
Exp. TO Margin Minnesota +2.05
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Minnesota +0.95
TO Points Margin Minnesota +10.7 points
Situational Iowa Minnesota
Q1 S&P 0.479 0.598
Q2 S&P 0.190 0.728
Q3 S&P 0.150 0.645
Q4 S&P 0.519 0.470
1st Down S&P 0.368 0.548
2nd Down S&P 0.368 0.695
3rd Down S&P 0.459 0.677
Projected Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 34.9
Actual Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 37

The only reason this wasn't even worse is because Iowa took full advantage of its two -- TWO -- scoring opportunities. And honestly, a 37-point loss isn't bad considering Iowa lost massively in terms of field position, efficiency, explosiveness, AND turnovers. So hey, cheer up, Hawkeyes! It could have been worse!