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Georgia Tech 56, NC State 23
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Georgia Tech | NC State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 72 | 63 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 63.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 31.6 | 27.0 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 8 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.25 | 6.00 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 91.2% | 70.6% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.773 | 0.537 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | NC State | |
| Total | 40.9 | 24.4 | |
| Rushing | 35.6 | 11.9 | |
| Passing | 5.3 | 12.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | NC State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 73.5% | 49.0% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 73.3% | 63.6% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 75.0% | 37.9% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 74.2% | 52.8% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 66.7% | 40.0% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | NC State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.93 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.97 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.91 | 0.50 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.06 | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Georgia Tech | NC State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.45 | 4.13 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Georgia Tech | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 8.6 | 28.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Georgia Tech +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Georgia Tech +0.52 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Georgia Tech +0.48 | |
| TO Points Margin | Georgia Tech +19.4 points | |
| Situational | Georgia Tech | NC State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.807 | 0.608 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.692 | 0.464 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.653 | N/A |
| Q4 S&P | 0.759 | 0.836 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.630 | 0.486 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.814 | 0.620 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.777 | 0.502 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 35.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 33 | ||
I watched about five minutes of this one, and in those five minutes I saw Georgia Tech pick off a pass (that had gone off a shoe) at its goal line, return it almost all the way for a touchdown, then lose a fumble. Two plays later, Tech scored on a pick six. And then the Jackets scored on a fumble return touchdown.
If not for the return scores, this would still have been a game at halftime, but Tech was clearly the better team (see: N.C. State with zero successful Q3 plays), and ... have you noticed how good the Jackets are this year? Like, top-20 good. I didn't even know a 90-percent leverage rate was possible. The loss to Duke is killing them right now.
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