Georgia Tech 56, NC State 23
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Basics||Georgia Tech||NC State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||63.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||31.6||27.0||29.9|
|Points Per Opportunity||5.25||6.00||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Georgia Tech||NC State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Georgia Tech||NC State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Georgia Tech||NC State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Georgia Tech||NC State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||4.45||4.13||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||10.0%||7.6%|
|Turnovers||Georgia Tech||NC State|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||8.6||28.0|
|Turnover Margin||Georgia Tech +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Georgia Tech +0.52|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Georgia Tech +0.48|
|TO Points Margin||Georgia Tech +19.4 points|
|Situational||Georgia Tech||NC State|
|1st Down S&P||0.630||0.486|
|2nd Down S&P||0.814||0.620|
|3rd Down S&P||0.777||0.502|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 35.9|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 33|
I watched about five minutes of this one, and in those five minutes I saw Georgia Tech pick off a pass (that had gone off a shoe) at its goal line, return it almost all the way for a touchdown, then lose a fumble. Two plays later, Tech scored on a pick six. And then the Jackets scored on a fumble return touchdown.
If not for the return scores, this would still have been a game at halftime, but Tech was clearly the better team (see: N.C. State with zero successful Q3 plays), and ... have you noticed how good the Jackets are this year? Like, top-20 good. I didn't even know a 90-percent leverage rate was possible. The loss to Duke is killing them right now.