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Study Hall: Florida 34, Vanderbilt 10

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Florida 34, Vanderbilt 10

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Basics Florida Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 72 69
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 73.8%
Avg Starting FP 36.1 20.3 29.9
Possessions 14 13
Scoring Opportunities*
7 4
Points Per Opportunity 4.86 2.50 4.69
Leverage Rate** 66.1% 64.3% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.538 0.392 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Florida Vanderbilt
Total 28.6 14.3
Rushing 17.3 1.5
Passing 11.4 12.8
Success Rate (what's this?) Florida Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
All (close) 38.7% 35.7% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 35.9% 40.9% 43.5%
Passing (close) 43.5% 30.0% 40.2%
Standard Downs 31.7% 48.2% 47.1%
Passing Downs 52.4% 13.3% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Florida Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.14 0.53 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.14 0.27 0.73
Passing (close) 1.14 0.92 0.98
Standard Downs 1.04 0.55 0.77
Passing Downs 1.26 0.44 1.13
Line Stats Florida Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.85 2.65 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 9.1% 0.0% 7.6%
Turnovers Florida Vanderbilt
Turnovers 0 4
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 17.1
Turnover Margin Florida +4
Exp. TO Margin Florida +1.61
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Florida +2.39
TO Points Margin Florida +17.1 points
Situational Florida Vanderbilt
Q1 S&P 0.585 0.577
Q2 S&P 0.468 0.163
Q3 S&P 0.486 0.264
Q4 S&P 0.577 0.423
1st Down S&P 0.493 0.447
2nd Down S&P 0.551 0.407
3rd Down S&P 0.499 0.283
Projected Scoring Margin: Florida by 31.4
Actual Scoring Margin: Florida by 24

Florida' still a very, very limited team, but if you allow the Gators to drastically tilt the field in their favor, and if you don't capitalize on the socring opportunities you get, they're still more than talented enough to thump you. This game was mostly even from an efficiency standpoint, with Vanderbilt doing better on standard downs and Florida bailing itself on passing downs (Treon Harris was allowed to pass in this game!), but Florida's big plays were infinitely bigger, and the game was played on the Gators' terms.