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Michigan State 27, Nebraska 22
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Michigan State | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 82 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 76.1% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 32.3 | 34.0 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 18 | 18 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.50 | 2.43 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 54.8% | 37.8% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.512 | 0.310 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Michigan State | Nebraska | |
| Total | 24.9 | 19.2 | |
| Rushing | 12.6 | 6.2 | |
| Passing | 12.3 | 13.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Michigan State | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 35.6% | 23.7% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 36.1% | 17.4% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 34.8% | 27.8% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 40.0% | 25.8% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 26.3% | 21.4% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Michigan State | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.14 | 0.60 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.93 | 0.45 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.48 | 0.66 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.26 | 0.40 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.75 | 0.87 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Michigan State | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.56 | 1.44 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 21.7% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Michigan State | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 12.7 | 17.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Michigan State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Nebraska +0.22 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Michigan State +1.22 | |
| TO Points Margin | Michigan State +4.9 points | |
| Situational | Michigan State | Nebraska |
| Q1 S&P | 0.495 | 0.352 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.576 | 0.191 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.524 | 0.340 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.322 | 0.691 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.610 | 0.415 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.400 | 0.497 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.384 | 0.267 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Michigan State by 10.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Michigan State by 5 | ||
Nebraska actually created more scoring opportunities despite minimal field position advantage and almost no efficiency whatsoever. Weird game.
And yeah, State, you might want to start playing fourth quarters.