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TCU 37, Oklahoma 33
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma | TCU | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 78 | 81 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 31.2 | 29.6 | 29.7 |
| Possessions | 16 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.43 | 5.17 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 61.5% | 63.0% | 68.4% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.500 | 0.528 | 0.508 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma | TCU | |
| Total | 29.3 | 31.1 | |
| Rushing | 13.6 | 11.4 | |
| Passing | 15.7 | 19.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma | TCU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 37.2% | 44.4% | 42.2% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.0% | 45.0% | 43.6% |
| Passing (close) | 34.2% | 43.9% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 35.4% | 49.0% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 40.0% | 36.7% | 30.7% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma | TCU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.01 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.21 | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.20 | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.74 | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma | TCU | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.78 | 3.26 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 14.2 | 11.3 |
| Turnover Margin | Oklahoma +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma +1.53 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | TCU +0.53 | |
| TO Points Margin | TCU +2.9 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma | TCU |
| Q1 S&P | 0.885 | 0.525 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.550 | 0.597 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.450 | 0.579 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.301 | 0.182 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.529 | 0.443 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.475 | 0.588 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.450 | 0.591 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: TCU by 4.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: TCU by 4 | ||
This was a really, really even game. Basically, TCU had the efficiency edge (as it has all year), Oklahoma's big plays were a little bit bigger, Oklahoma was better on first down, TCU was better on second and third down, and Oklahoma's two turnovers were worth slightly more than TCU's three. And TCU might be a top-10 team again.