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Study Hall: Florida 10, Tennessee 9

Joe Robbins

Florida 10, Tennessee 9

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Florida Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 75 68
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 30.5 30.5 29.7
Possessions 15 14
Scoring Opportunities*
5 4
Points Per Opportunity 2.00 2.25 4.69
Leverage Rate** 64.0% 58.8% 68.4%
Close S&P*** 0.369 0.340 0.508
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Florida Tennessee
Total 11.9 9.8
Rushing 9.6 2.5
Passing 2.2 7.3
Success Rate (what's this?) Florida Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 34.7% 30.9% 42.2%
Rushing (close) 40.0% 34.8% 43.6%
Passing (close) 26.7% 28.9% 40.7%
Standard Downs 43.8% 35.0% 47.5%
Passing Downs 18.5% 25.0% 30.7%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Florida Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.46 0.47 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.54 0.31 0.73
Passing (close) 0.28 0.56 0.99
Standard Downs 0.48 0.40 0.77
Passing Downs 0.36 0.59 1.14
Line Stats Florida Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.49 2.93 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 11.1% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 20.0% 14.8% 7.3%
Turnovers Florida Tennessee
Turnovers 3 3
Turnover Points (what's this?) 12.6 11.7
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Florida +0.51
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Tennessee +0.51
TO Points Margin Tennessee +0.9 points
Situational Florida Tennessee
Q1 S&P 0.303 0.352
Q2 S&P 0.421 0.394
Q3 S&P 0.226 0.331
Q4 S&P 0.486 0.291
1st Down S&P 0.434 0.316
2nd Down S&P 0.318 0.363
3rd Down S&P 0.334 0.325
Projected Scoring Margin: Florida by 1.2
Actual Scoring Margin: Florida by 1

How do you win a game while committing three turnovers? By forcing three turnovers!