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West Virginia 34, Oklahoma State 10
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 80 | 74 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 90.9% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 22.8 | 23.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 14 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.50 | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 53.8% | 59.5% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.450 | 0.436 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | |
| Total | 20.8 | 25.5 | |
| Rushing | 9.0 | 11.9 | |
| Passing | 11.8 | 13.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 37.3% | 31.5% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 27.6% | 30.8% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 44.7% | 32.4% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 46.5% | 34.1% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 20.8% | 27.6% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.76 | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.89 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.70 | 1.24 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.80 | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.60 | 0.58 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.39 | 3.24 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 17.7% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma State | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 10.9 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | West Virginia +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma State +0.73 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | West Virginia +2.73 | |
| TO Points Margin | West Virginia +10.9 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma State | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.427 | 0.744 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.573 | 0.346 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.361 | 0.388 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.308 | 0.531 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.528 | 0.556 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.377 | 0.445 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.346 | 0.474 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: West Virginia by 15.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: West Virginia by 24 | ||
Since the start of the 2012 season, West Virginia had won three true road games -- 48-45 over Texas in 2012, 31-24 over Iowa State in 2012, and 30-27 over TCU in 2013. The Mountaineers have now won three in three tries in 2014. They narrowly survived trips to Maryland and Texas Tech earlier in the season, and on Saturday they pummeled Oklahoma State, 34-10, in Stillwater.
Granted, it was only a pummeling on the scoreboard; WVU was only plus-12 in total yardage and basically relied on turnovers and an extreme difference in drive finishing ability (points per scoring opportunity: WVU 5.4, OSU 2.5) to do the deed. Regardless, West Virginia is 3-0 on the road, 6-2 overall, and still very much in the thick of the Big 12 race after an ugly 2013. According to F/+, they've got a top-20 offense and a top-40 defense. This has been one hell of a turnaround by head coach Dana Holgorsen.
Oklahoma State is still 5-3 and will make a bowl game and whatnot, but the 'Pokes are 44th in the F/+ rankings after ranking 12th or better in each of the last four seasons. This game showed us some zero-sum action -- WVU is moving up and basically taking the place, however temporarily, of the tumbling 'Pokes.