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UCLA 40, Colorado 37
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Colorado | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 91 | 76 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 96.4% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 32.1 | 34.7 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 18 | 18 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.62 | 5.12 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 67.0% | 75.0% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.508 | 0.538 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Colorado | UCLA | |
| Total | 31.4 | 32.2 | |
| Rushing | 14.3 | 22.0 | |
| Passing | 17.1 | 10.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Colorado | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 47.1% | 42.1% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 51.2% | 46.0% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 42.9% | 38.5% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 54.1% | 47.4% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 29.2% | 26.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Colorado | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.66 | 1.01 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.62 | 1.29 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.63 | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.76 | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Colorado | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.33 | 3.76 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Colorado | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 9.2 | 4.2 |
| Turnover Margin | UCLA +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Colorado +0.8 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | UCLA +1.8 | |
| TO Points Margin | UCLA +5.0 points | |
| Situational | Colorado | UCLA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.313 | 0.650 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.672 | 0.647 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.276 | 0.496 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.641 | 0.310 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.538 | 0.616 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.541 | 0.539 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.399 | 0.375 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 5.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 3 | ||
Colorado has now lost 17 straight games to teams ranked in the AP poll. But if you're looking for signs of progress, and the Buffaloes' No. 75 F/+ ranking (their highest since 2010) doesn't do it for you, Saturday provided a few of them. After losing their last 15 games against ranked teams by an average score of 47-14, Colorado fell to No. 25 UCLA in overtime, 40-37, at Folsom Field in Boulder.
The Buffs controlled the ball and the clock against a potent UCLA offense, gaining 500 yards in 91 plays and holding the ball for 35:05 in regulation. Michael Adkins II and Tony Jones combined for 175 yards in 34 carries, and Colorado scored the last 17 points in regulation after trailing 31-14 heading into the fourth quarter.
Alas, CU couldn't punch the ball into the end zone. They had to settle for a field goal with 36 seconds left in the fourth quarter, then stalled on both overtime possessions. That Will Oliver made all three of his field goal attempts gave the Buffs a chance, but UCLA's Brett Hundley scored from eight yards out in the second overtime to give UCLA a three-point win.
You're getting there, Colorado.
In the end, UCLA's bend-don't-break defense stiffened just enough and made just enough near-the-endzone stops to get the job done, but ... I didn't have elite expectations for UCLA this year, and the Bruins are still quite disappointing.