UCLA 40, Colorado 37
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||96.4%|
|Avg Starting FP||32.1||34.7||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.62||5.12||4.70|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Colorado||UCLA||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.33||3.76||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||7.5%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||9.2||4.2|
|Turnover Margin||UCLA +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Colorado +0.8|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||UCLA +1.8|
|TO Points Margin||UCLA +5.0 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.538||0.616|
|2nd Down S&P||0.541||0.539|
|3rd Down S&P||0.399||0.375|
|Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 5.8|
|Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 3|
Colorado has now lost 17 straight games to teams ranked in the AP poll. But if you're looking for signs of progress, and the Buffaloes' No. 75 F/+ ranking (their highest since 2010) doesn't do it for you, Saturday provided a few of them. After losing their last 15 games against ranked teams by an average score of 47-14, Colorado fell to No. 25 UCLA in overtime, 40-37, at Folsom Field in Boulder.
The Buffs controlled the ball and the clock against a potent UCLA offense, gaining 500 yards in 91 plays and holding the ball for 35:05 in regulation. Michael Adkins II and Tony Jones combined for 175 yards in 34 carries, and Colorado scored the last 17 points in regulation after trailing 31-14 heading into the fourth quarter.
Alas, CU couldn't punch the ball into the end zone. They had to settle for a field goal with 36 seconds left in the fourth quarter, then stalled on both overtime possessions. That Will Oliver made all three of his field goal attempts gave the Buffs a chance, but UCLA's Brett Hundley scored from eight yards out in the second overtime to give UCLA a three-point win.
You're getting there, Colorado.
In the end, UCLA's bend-don't-break defense stiffened just enough and made just enough near-the-endzone stops to get the job done, but ... I didn't have elite expectations for UCLA this year, and the Bruins are still quite disappointing.