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TCU 82, Texas Tech 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | TCU | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 86 | 69 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 61.9% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 38.4 | 22.5 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 16 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
15 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.47 | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 62.1% | 68.4% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.566 | 0.603 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | TCU | Texas Tech | |
| Total | 57.3 | 28.6 | |
| Rushing | 21.4 | 5.9 | |
| Passing | 35.9 | 22.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | TCU | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 36.2% | 36.8% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 36.4% | 18.2% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 36.1% | 44.4% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 38.9% | 34.6% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 31.8% | 41.7% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | TCU | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.38 | 1.54 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.22 | 1.80 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.48 | 1.50 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.25 | 1.57 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.65 | 1.49 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | TCU | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.02 | 1.76 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.5% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | TCU | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 16.2 |
| Turnover Margin | TCU +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | TCU +0.14 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | TCU +3.86 | |
| TO Points Margin | TCU +16.2 points | |
| Situational | TCU | Texas Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.731 | 0.706 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.389 | 0.417 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.847 | 0.477 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.719 | N/A |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.632 | 0.538 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.634 | 0.541 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.777 | 0.440 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: TCU by 44.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: TCU by 55 | ||
Four field goals. TCU settled for four field goals. With better execution near the end zone, the Frogs might have scored 90. Of course, when you generate 15 scoring opportunities in 16 games, you can afford to waste some. Goodness.
The funniest part: relatively speaking, it took TCU's offense a little while to get going, as the Frogs needed some big gains on passing downs to overcome sketchy success rates. And then when the game reached garbage-time status, they wreaked havoc.