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Study Hall: Kansas State 23, Texas 0

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Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Via Matt Mills:

Kansas State 23, Texas 0

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Kansas State Texas Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 73 52
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 87.2%
Avg Starting FP 29.0 27.3 29.8
Possessions 11 10
Scoring Opportunities*
6 2
Points Per Opportunity 3.83 0.00 4.70
Leverage Rate** 60.3% 63.5% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.463 0.377 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Kansas State Texas
Total 23.1 8.1
Rushing 12.9 4.9
Passing 10.2 3.2
Success Rate (what's this?) Kansas State Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 36.5% 34.8% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 40.6% 40.9% 43.4%
Passing (close) 32.3% 29.2% 40.3%
Standard Downs 40.9% 39.4% 47.1%
Passing Downs 26.3% 23.1% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Kansas State Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.86 0.49 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.75 0.54 0.73
Passing (close) 1.00 0.44 0.99
Standard Downs 0.69 0.49 0.77
Passing Downs 1.44 0.50 1.14
Line Stats Kansas State Texas Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.03 3.26 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 6.7% 7.7% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 6.3% 9.1% 7.5%
Turnovers Kansas State Texas
Turnovers 0 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 3.9
Turnover Margin Kansas State +1
Exp. TO Margin Kansas State +0.66
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Kansas State +0.34
TO Points Margin Kansas State +3.9 points
Situational Kansas State Texas
Q1 S&P 0.443 0.323
Q2 S&P 0.440 0.349
Q3 S&P 0.379 0.489
Q4 S&P 0.637 0.206
1st Down S&P 0.463 0.417
2nd Down S&P 0.364 0.320
3rd Down S&P 0.632 0.319
Projected Scoring Margin: Kansas State by 19.0
Actual Scoring Margin: Kansas State by 23

From today's Numerical:

In the decade between 1994-2003, Bill Snyder's heyday, Kansas State pitched 16 shutouts, six against major-conference teams (and three against major-conference teams not named Missouri). They had three shutouts each in 1995, 1999, and 2002.

Since Snyder's return to the Bill Snyder Family Stadium sidelines in 2009, KSU had allowed a goose egg just once, in 2011 against Kent State. We're using past tense here because the Wildcats did it again on Saturday, allowing 196 total yards (3.8 per play) and cruising to a 23-0 win over Texas.

KSU has employed more of a bend-don't-break style than a suffocate-you-completely style since Snyder's de-retirement, and it has paid off in the offense-crazy Big 12. And while Texas had its scoring opportunities, the Wildcats always made a play when they needed to.

  • First quarter (6-0 KSU): Will Geary and Dante Barnett stopped Jaxon Shipley for a gain of one on third-and-4 from the KSU 45, forcing a punt.
  • Second quarter (6-0 KSU): After a holding penalty forced a third-and-19 from the KSU 26, Elijah Lee sacked Tyrone Swoopes for a 10-yard loss, forcing a punt instead of a field goal.
  • Second quarter (6-0 KSU): From the 50, Barnett broke up a third-and-5 pass intended for Geoff Swaim, forcing a punt.
  • Second quarter (13-0 KSU): On first down from the KSU 45, Ryan Mueller sacked Swoopes for a loss of eight, then Barnett broke up a pass to Shipley, forcing another punt.
  • Third quarter (13-0 KSU): Valentino Coleman (real name) fell on a D'Onta Foreman fumble at the KSU 49.
  • Fourth quarter (16-0 KSU): Barnett and Jonathan Truman helped to stuff Johnathan Gray for no gain on fourth-and-1 from the KSU 14.

That'll do it.

Barring a couple of passing downs glitches, Texas' defense once again did pretty good work on Saturday. But the Longhorns never really know what they're going to get from either unit, offense or defense. The defense barely showed up against Iowa State while the offense went nuts ... and then the offense disappeared while the defense played alright against KSU.