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Michigan State 35, Michigan 11
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Michigan | Michigan State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 57 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 64.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 35.9 | 24.4 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 14 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.00 | 4.67 | 4.70 |
| Close S&P*** | 0.240 | 0.600 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Michigan | Michigan State | |
| Total | 10.4 | 28.4 | |
| Rushing | 5.1 | 15.8 | |
| Passing | 5.3 | 12.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Michigan | Michigan State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 20.6% | 52.2% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 20.0% | 60.0% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 21.1% | 42.9% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 28.6% | 60.6% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 7.7% | 30.8% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Michigan | Michigan State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.37 | 0.91 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.23 | 1.40 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.23 | 0.90 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.27 | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Michigan | Michigan State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.47 | 3.34 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 20.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Michigan | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 15.9 | 8.5 |
| Turnover Margin | Michigan State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Michigan State +1.76 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Michigan +0.76 | |
| TO Points Margin | Michigan State +7.4 points | |
| Situational | Michigan | Michigan State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.278 | 0.547 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.235 | 0.603 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.301 | 0.651 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.560 | 0.600 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.355 | 0.596 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.349 | 0.608 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.447 | 0.608 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Michigan State by 25.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Michigan State by 24 | ||
In the end, even with State's late touchdown, the final score of Michigan State 35, Michigan 11 was kind to the losing team. The Spartans doubled the Wolverines on a per-play basis (6.6 yards to 3.3) and more than doubled them up in total yardage (446 to 186). And the game was played at a snail's pace, too (125 total plays) -- even an average pace would have resulted in a Spartan win of 30-plus points.
Actually, I'll just stop there. I could go on about how Michigan has been surpassed by its "little brother" in every possible way, and how Brady Hoke's tenure is going to come to a merciful end before the calendar year, but you already know all of that.
I ... don't really have anything to add to that. As far as I can tell, only field position kept Michigan in this game (relatively speaking) for a while. Utter domination.