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Wisconsin 52, Maryland 7
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Maryland | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 57 | 72 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 53.5% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.1 | 37.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 14 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
2 | 9 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.50 | 5.78 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 26.3% | 36.1% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.254 | 0.565 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Maryland | Wisconsin | |
| Total | 9.5 | 40.6 | |
| Rushing | 2.5 | 25.6 | |
| Passing | 7.1 | 15.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Maryland | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 20.0% | 46.2% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 30.0% | 50.0% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 15.0% | 41.2% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 26.7% | 61.5% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 13.3% | 15.4% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Maryland | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.47 | 0.98 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.22 | 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.72 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.35 | 0.92 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.71 | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Maryland | Wisconsin | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 0.74 | 3.51 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.4% | 22.2% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | Maryland | Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Wisconsin +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | +0 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Wisconsin +1 | |
| TO Points Margin | Wisconsin +4.3 points | |
| Situational | Maryland | Wisconsin |
| Q1 S&P | 0.313 | 0.628 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.237 | 0.514 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.186 | 0.651 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.736 | 0.768 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.521 | 0.725 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.222 | 0.457 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.265 | 0.618 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Wisconsin by 35.3 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Wisconsin by 45 | ||
Wisconsin just went from stagnant and 49th to alive and 29th. It's hard to jump 20 spots in Week 9.
With Minnesota's loss, that makes tomorrow's B1G win projections post pretty interesting. Nebraska's obviously the West favorite at this point, but I'm curious what this performance did for the Badgers' chances.
This outcome was even more impressive considering how questionable Wisconsin's quarterbacking remains. Alex Erickson had five catches for 121 yards, but ... a 15 percent passing downs (non-garbage time) success rate is still awful. And they still won by 45.