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Study Hall: Wisconsin 52, Maryland 7

Mike McGinnis

Wisconsin 52, Maryland 7

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Maryland Wisconsin Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 57 72
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 53.5%
Avg Starting FP 25.1 37.0 29.8
Possessions 14 14
Scoring Opportunities*
2 9
Points Per Opportunity 3.50 5.78 4.70
Leverage Rate** 26.3% 36.1% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.254 0.565 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Maryland Wisconsin
Total 9.5 40.6
Rushing 2.5 25.6
Passing 7.1 15.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Maryland Wisconsin Nat'l Avg
All (close) 20.0% 46.2% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 30.0% 50.0% 43.4%
Passing (close) 15.0% 41.2% 40.3%
Standard Downs 26.7% 61.5% 47.1%
Passing Downs 13.3% 15.4% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Maryland Wisconsin Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.47 0.98 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.22 1.01 0.73
Passing (close) 0.72 0.93 0.99
Standard Downs 0.35 0.92 0.77
Passing Downs 0.71 1.43 1.14
Line Stats Maryland Wisconsin Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 0.74 3.51 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 15.4% 22.2% 7.5%
Turnovers Maryland Wisconsin
Turnovers 1 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 4.3 0.0
Turnover Margin Wisconsin +1
Exp. TO Margin +0
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Wisconsin +1
TO Points Margin Wisconsin +4.3 points
Situational Maryland Wisconsin
Q1 S&P 0.313 0.628
Q2 S&P 0.237 0.514
Q3 S&P 0.186 0.651
Q4 S&P 0.736 0.768
1st Down S&P 0.521 0.725
2nd Down S&P 0.222 0.457
3rd Down S&P 0.265 0.618
Projected Scoring Margin: Wisconsin by 35.3
Actual Scoring Margin: Wisconsin by 45

Wisconsin just went from stagnant and 49th to alive and 29th. It's hard to jump 20 spots in Week 9.

With Minnesota's loss, that makes tomorrow's B1G win projections post pretty interesting. Nebraska's obviously the West favorite at this point, but I'm curious what this performance did for the Badgers' chances.

This outcome was even more impressive considering how questionable Wisconsin's quarterbacking remains. Alex Erickson had five catches for 121 yards, but ... a 15 percent passing downs (non-garbage time) success rate is still awful. And they still won by 45.