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Study Hall: Miami 30, Virginia Tech 6

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Michael Shroyer

Miami 30, Virginia Tech 6

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Miami Virginia Tech Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 69 59
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 46.9%
Avg Starting FP 31.2 21.6 29.8
Possessions 12 11
Scoring Opportunities*
7 3
Points Per Opportunity 4.43 2.33 4.70
Leverage Rate** 43.5% 18.6% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.573 0.218 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Miami Virginia Tech
Total 30.3 13.5
Rushing 23.8 7.1
Passing 6.5 6.3
Success Rate (what's this?) Miami Virginia Tech Nat'l Avg
All (close) 47.5% 20.0% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 51.7% 16.7% 43.4%
Passing (close) 36.4% 21.4% 40.3%
Standard Downs 53.3% 27.3% 47.1%
Passing Downs 30.0% 11.1% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Miami Virginia Tech Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.97 0.29 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.81 0.37 0.73
Passing (close) 1.56 0.27 0.99
Standard Downs 1.05 0.29 0.77
Passing Downs 0.52 0.30 1.14
Line Stats Miami Virginia Tech Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.48 1.17 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 22.2% 7.5%
Turnovers Miami Virginia Tech
Turnovers 0 3
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 15.3
Turnover Margin Miami +3
Exp. TO Margin Miami +1.97
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Miami +1.03
TO Points Margin Miami +15.3 points
Situational Miami Virginia Tech
Q1 S&P 0.502 0.326
Q2 S&P 0.639 0.220
Q3 S&P 0.454 0.559
Q4 S&P 0.639 0.538
1st Down S&P 0.645 0.478
2nd Down S&P 0.498 0.447
3rd Down S&P 0.505 0.231
Projected Scoring Margin: Miami by 32.1
Actual Scoring Margin: Miami by 24

Start 10 yards further up the field, finish drives twice as well, play two and a half times more efficiently, prevent any and all big plays, win the turnovers battle handily.

Damn, it's a wonder Miami didn't win by more than 24.

Miami's up to 16th in the F/+ rankings. That might not be a fluke. When the 'Canes get out of their own way (and they're doing a better job of that of late), they're pretty dangerous.