Minnesota 39, Purdue 38
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|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||33.4||31.2||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||5.12||5.43||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Minnesota||Purdue|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Minnesota||Purdue||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Minnesota||Purdue||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Minnesota||Purdue||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.65||3.08||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||7.4%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||5.9||9.7|
|Turnover Margin||Minnesota +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||+0|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Minnesota +1|
|TO Points Margin||Minnesota +3.8 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.528||0.563|
|2nd Down S&P||0.672||0.493|
|3rd Down S&P||0.566||0.759|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 4.3|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 1|
So basically, Minnesota was more efficient, Purdue had bigger big plays, Minnesota was slightly lucky from a turnovers perspective, and Minnesota created one more scoring chance. Purdue was better in the first quarter, things were about even in the second and third, and Minnesota was better in the fourth.
Sound about right?