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Study Hall: Alabama 59, Texas A&M 0

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Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama 59, Texas A&M 0

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Basics Alabama Texas A&M Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 80 55
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 44.4%
Avg Starting FP 32.7 26.1 29.8
Possessions 13 14
Scoring Opportunities*
9 3
Points Per Opportunity 6.56 0.00 4.69
Leverage Rate** 43.8% 18.2% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.685 0.259 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Alabama Texas A&M
Total 45.9 7.0
Rushing 23.0 2.5
Passing 22.9 4.4
Success Rate (what's this?) Alabama Texas A&M Nat'l Avg
All (close) 62.2% 13.3% 42.0%
Rushing (close) 77.3% 0.0% 43.5%
Passing (close) 47.8% 20.0% 40.4%
Standard Downs 60.0% 10.0% 47.3%
Passing Downs 70.0% 20.0% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Alabama Texas A&M Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.93 0.76 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.13 N/A 0.73
Passing (close) 0.64 0.60 0.99
Standard Downs 1.07 0.73 0.77
Passing Downs 0.53 0.80 1.14
Line Stats Alabama Texas A&M Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 4.91 1.72 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 16.7% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 7.4%
Turnovers Alabama Texas A&M
Turnovers 0 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 4.9
Turnover Margin Alabama +1
Exp. TO Margin Alabama +0.73
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Alabama +0.27
TO Points Margin Alabama +4.9 points
Situational Alabama Texas A&M
Q1 S&P 0.679 N/A
Q2 S&P 0.752 0.257
Q3 S&P 0.607 0.394
Q4 S&P 0.509 N/A
1st Down S&P 0.659 0.297
2nd Down S&P 0.628 0.297
3rd Down S&P 0.645 0.318
Projected Scoring Margin: Alabama by 43.8
Actual Scoring Margin: Alabama by 59

The scariest part here: there was only one turnover. So we can't even say "Well, it was really more like a 42-point win than a 59-point win because turnovers luck" or something. This was as thorough as a 59-point win can be, and ... well, 59-point wins are pretty thorough.

The second-scariest part: A&M had a 0.0% success rate running the ball in non-garbage time and had a 0.0% success rate in the first quarter. Alabama was angry.