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North Carolina 48, Georgia Tech 43
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 69 | 88 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 24.2 | 29.3 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.38 | 6.86 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 75.4% | 80.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.692 | 0.643 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | |
| Total | 41.7 | 41.0 | |
| Rushing | 23.6 | 13.9 | |
| Passing | 18.1 | 27.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 62.3% | 61.4% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 71.4% | 60.0% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 40.0% | 62.5% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 63.5% | 62.0% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 58.8% | 58.8% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 2.26 | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.89 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.22 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Georgia Tech | North Carolina | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.08 | 3.59 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 14.3% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Georgia Tech | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | North Carolina +0.51 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Georgia Tech +0.51 | |
| TO Points Margin | North Carolina +0.7 points | |
| Situational | Georgia Tech | North Carolina |
| Q1 S&P | 0.708 | 0.636 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.638 | 0.681 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.634 | 0.694 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.807 | 0.584 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.656 | 0.657 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.762 | 0.567 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.651 | 0.667 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: North Carolina by 0.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: North Carolina by 5 | ||
So I didn't get to see much of this one ... there were actually varsity defenses on the field, right? I didn't realize success rates could go that high, and for the losing team, no less!
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