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West Virginia 41, Baylor 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 85 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 34.8 | 21.2 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 16 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.86 | 5.86 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 65.8% | 69.4% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.403 | 0.507 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | |
| Total | 19.6 | 29.3 | |
| Rushing | 6.9 | 9.6 | |
| Passing | 12.7 | 19.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 29.1% | 43.5% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 29.0% | 40.4% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 29.3% | 47.4% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 38.5% | 49.2% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 11.1% | 30.8% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.85 | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.63 | 0.51 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.06 | 1.09 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.61 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 2.47 | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.29 | 2.72 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.5% | 12.5% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Baylor | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 14.1 |
| Turnover Margin | Baylor +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Baylor +0.51 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Baylor +2.49 | |
| TO Points Margin | Baylor +14.1 points | |
| Situational | Baylor | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.390 | 0.431 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.485 | 0.578 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.437 | 0.345 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.321 | 0.612 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.441 | 0.539 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.321 | 0.447 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.572 | 0.527 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 4.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: West Virginia by 14 | ||
Penalties rarely actually matter in determining a winner, and I therefore don't pay them any mind here. But ... in creating an 18-point difference between what this box score projected and what the game actually produced, I would say that penalties played a pretty big role. That said...
...only one team was able to a) pass and b) finish drives. That probably played an even bigger role.
Still, that's a hell of a difference considering there weren't any special teams touchdowns. Strange game. Strange, unwatchable game.