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Georgia 45, Arkansas 32
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arkansas | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 82 | 56 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 49.3% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.6 | 40.8 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.00 | 4.75 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 26.8% | 51.8% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.436 | 0.639 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arkansas | Georgia | |
| Total | 31.4 | 29.6 | |
| Rushing | 11.3 | 16.7 | |
| Passing | 20.1 | 12.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arkansas | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.7% | 53.7% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 45.0% | 60.0% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 28.6% | 43.8% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 45.5% | 58.6% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 20.0% | 41.7% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arkansas | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.55 | 1.05 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.61 | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.27 | 1.22 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.58 | 0.89 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.31 | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Arkansas | Georgia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.24 | 3.67 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 25.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 33.3% | 16.7% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Arkansas | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 20.6 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Georgia +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Georgia +3.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Georgia +0.42 | |
| TO Points Margin | Georgia +20.6 points | |
| Situational | Arkansas | Georgia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.604 | 0.664 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.382 | 0.718 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.614 | 0.318 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.589 | 0.592 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.492 | 0.595 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.567 | 0.575 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.535 | 0.676 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia by 18.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia by 13 | ||
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So basically, this game played out like we would have guessed in the preseason -- Arkansas was able to run pretty efficiently, couldn't pass a lick (pre-garbage time), and couldn't stop Georgia's running game.
Granted, we didn't know in the preseason that this Arkansas team would be quite a bit better (and it is, even if the degree is diminishing at the moment), and granted, we didn't know that Georgia's running back would mainly be Nick Chubb and not Todd Gurley. So I guess that makes this a second straight surprisingly impressive Georgia performance, huh?