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Utah 29, Oregon State 23
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oregon State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 83 | 64 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.6 | 37.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 16 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.83 | 4.83 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 69.9% | 68.8% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.414 | 0.441 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oregon State | Utah | |
| Total | 19.5 | 19.1 | |
| Rushing | 6.0 | 17.2 | |
| Passing | 13.5 | 1.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oregon State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.9% | 31.3% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 39.0% | 40.5% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 31.0% | 13.6% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 39.7% | 36.4% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 24.0% | 20.0% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oregon State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.67 | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.38 | 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.04 | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.49 | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Oregon State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.0% | 30.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 23.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Oregon State | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 8.2 | 8.5 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oregon State +0.8 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Utah +0.8 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oregon State +0.3 points | |
| Situational | Oregon State | Utah |
| Q1 S&P | 0.235 | 0.336 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.413 | 0.190 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.319 | 0.386 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.551 | 0.572 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.398 | 0.384 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.497 | 0.432 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.229 | 0.586 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oregon State by 0.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Utah by 6 | ||
Seven field goal attempts, 17 tackles for loss, and two overtimes of bonus football!
And yes, Utah is third in Adj. Sack Rate, first in passing downs sack rate, and 11th in overall Havoc Rate. They're also 15th in IsoPPP (big-play prevention) and first in Special Teams F/+. The offense stinks, sure, but we should maybe be taking the Utes a bit more seriously in the Pac-12 South race ... not as the front-runner (because: stinky offense), but as a player.