Duke 20, Virginia 13
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||28.6||23.0||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||5.00||2.60||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Duke||Virginia|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Duke||Virginia||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Duke||Virginia||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Duke||Virginia||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.78||3.33||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||7.4%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||0.0||4.0|
|Turnover Margin||Duke +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Duke +1.54|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Virginia +0.54|
|TO Points Margin||Duke +4.0 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.504||0.450|
|2nd Down S&P||0.588||0.546|
|3rd Down S&P||0.340||0.525|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Duke by 2.7|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Duke by 7|
Finish, finish, finish. Virginia gained more yards and created more scoring opportunities. But Duke scored two touchdowns and kicked two field goals in four opportunities, and Virginia scored one TD, settled for three field goals (missing one), and punted. Duke won. Success rates, etc., were almost exactly even, but only one team finished.
Side note, based on a radio conversation I had yesterday: Hey Florida, just hire David Cutcliffe. You're welcome.