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Study Hall: Ole Miss 34, Tennessee 3

Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

Ole Miss 34, Tennessee 3

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Basics Ole Miss Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 78 62
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 78.6%
Avg Starting FP 31.0 28.7 29.8
Possessions 16 15
Scoring Opportunities*
6 3
Points Per Opportunity 5.67 1.00 4.69
Leverage Rate** 42.3% 45.2% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.466 0.303 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Ole Miss Tennessee
Total 26.7 8.0
Rushing 14.4 1.7
Passing 12.3 6.2
Success Rate (what's this?) Ole Miss Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 28.6% 24.1% 42.0%
Rushing (close) 28.0% 25.0% 43.5%
Passing (close) 29.0% 23.7% 40.4%
Standard Downs 39.4% 28.6% 47.3%
Passing Downs 13.0% 19.2% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Ole Miss Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.19 0.55 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.06 0.36 0.73
Passing (close) 1.29 0.63 0.99
Standard Downs 1.32 0.25 0.77
Passing Downs 0.61 1.03 1.14
Line Stats Ole Miss Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.23 1.02 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 9.1% 16.7% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 15.0% 20.0% 7.4%
Turnovers Ole Miss Tennessee
Turnovers 0 4
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 12.8
Turnover Margin Ole Miss +4
Exp. TO Margin Ole Miss +1.75
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Ole Miss +2.25
TO Points Margin Ole Miss +12.8 points
Situational Ole Miss Tennessee
Q1 S&P 0.229 0.362
Q2 S&P 0.599 0.407
Q3 S&P 0.529 0.330
Q4 S&P 0.541 0.258
1st Down S&P 0.600 0.252
2nd Down S&P 0.345 0.317
3rd Down S&P 0.399 0.382
Projected Scoring Margin: Ole Miss by 31.6
Actual Scoring Margin: Ole Miss by 31

Like Nebraska-Northwestern, this was an eventual blowout. Unlike Nebraska-Northwestern, the blowout victim really never pretended to have a chance. Tennessee's defense showed well -- have you noticed the Vols are up to 10th in Def. F/+ http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/fplus2014? -- but holy smokes, Ole Miss' defense is just on a different level at this point. Put that unit up against Tennessee's offense, and ... yeah.