Nebraska 38, Northwestern 17
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|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||87.8%|
|Avg Starting FP||42.2||19.2||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||4.22||5.67||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Nebraska||Northwestern|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Nebraska||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Nebraska||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Nebraska||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.45||3.52||2.93|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||9.5%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||8.3%||7.4%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||0.0||2.5|
|Turnover Margin||Nebraska +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Nebraska +0.95|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Nebraska +0.05|
|TO Points Margin||Nebraska +2.5 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.589||0.476|
|2nd Down S&P||0.538||0.386|
|3rd Down S&P||0.559||0.309|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 19.6|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 21|
I guess the biggest surprise here is that, despite starting 30 yards further upfield on a given possession, Nebraska still outgained Northwestern by 181 yards.
This was a damn blowout. Eventually. Nebraska went three-and-out, punted two more times, and missed a field goal in its first eight possessions and managed to trail 17-14 at halftime before cranking out the last 24 points of the game.