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Nebraska 38, Northwestern 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Nebraska | Northwestern | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 74 | 73 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 87.8% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 42.2 | 19.2 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 13 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
9 | 3 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.22 | 5.67 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 59.5% | 61.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.589 | 0.455 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Nebraska | Northwestern | |
| Total | 33.3 | 16.2 | |
| Rushing | 20.1 | 9.9 | |
| Passing | 13.2 | 6.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Nebraska | Northwestern | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 48.5% | 41.3% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 52.6% | 46.7% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 42.9% | 36.4% | 40.4% |
| Standard Downs | 56.8% | 44.4% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 31.8% | 33.3% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Nebraska | Northwestern | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.01 | 0.62 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.96 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.09 | 0.52 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.88 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.47 | 0.54 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Nebraska | Northwestern | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.45 | 3.52 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | Nebraska | Northwestern |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 2.5 |
| Turnover Margin | Nebraska +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Nebraska +0.95 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Nebraska +0.05 | |
| TO Points Margin | Nebraska +2.5 points | |
| Situational | Nebraska | Northwestern |
| Q1 S&P | 0.376 | 0.557 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.676 | 0.482 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.520 | 0.297 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.650 | N/A |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.589 | 0.476 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.538 | 0.386 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.559 | 0.309 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 19.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 21 | ||
I guess the biggest surprise here is that, despite starting 30 yards further upfield on a given possession, Nebraska still outgained Northwestern by 181 yards.
This was a damn blowout. Eventually. Nebraska went three-and-out, punted two more times, and missed a field goal in its first eight possessions and managed to trail 17-14 at halftime before cranking out the last 24 points of the game.
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