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Oregon 42, UCLA 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oregon | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 68 | 92 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 66.9% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 36.3 | 19.4 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
9 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.67 | 5.17 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 57.4% | 43.5% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.632 | 0.497 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oregon | UCLA | |
| Total | 35.2 | 33.8 | |
| Rushing | 20.0 | 17.7 | |
| Passing | 15.2 | 16.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oregon | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 56.0% | 47.4% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 60.0% | 54.6% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 50.0% | 37.5% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 59.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 45.5% | 41.2% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oregon | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.92 | 0.59 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.03 | 0.62 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.78 | 0.43 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.57 | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Oregon | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.43 | 4.00 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Oregon | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 11.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Oregon +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | UCLA +0.29 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oregon +2.29 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oregon +11.6 points | |
| Situational | Oregon | UCLA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.507 | 0.476 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.621 | 0.552 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.724 | 0.340 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.615 | 0.701 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.609 | 0.575 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.663 | 0.409 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.669 | 0.652 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oregon by 13.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oregon by 12 | ||
Oregon recovered all three of the game's fumbles -- one (by UCLA's Brett Hundley) at the UCLA 13, one (by Oregon's Marcus Mariota) at the UCLA 23, and one (by Oregon's Charles Nelson) at the Oregon 31. The Ducks soon scored after all three recoveries. That was lucky, but the Ducks still did enough to win overall thanks to the type of Oregon run efficiency we're used to seeing (but didn't see in a loss to Arizona). UCLA's defense isn't nearly as good as it was supposed to be, but this was still a lovely win for a team that needed it.