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Duke 31, Georgia Tech 25
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 72 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 93.8% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 34.5 | 31.6 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 11 | 10 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.17 | 3.86 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 76.7% | 68.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.550 | 0.549 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | |
| Total | 25.3 | 29.0 | |
| Rushing | 17.0 | 19.1 | |
| Passing | 8.3 | 9.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 52.1% | 50.8% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 60.4% | 57.5% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 36.0% | 39.1% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 57.1% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 35.3% | 50.0% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.08 | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Duke | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.37 | 4.16 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Duke | Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 9.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Duke +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Duke +0.29 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Duke +2.71 | |
| TO Points Margin | Duke +9.6 points | |
| Situational | Duke | Georgia Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.492 | 0.570 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.606 | 0.547 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.605 | 0.454 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.506 | 0.689 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.567 | 0.520 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.542 | 0.620 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.555 | 0.662 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Duke by 5.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Duke by 6 | ||
Both teams were crazy-efficient here, on both standard downs and passing downs, and field position was reasonably even. So the game boiled down to turnovers and finishing drives (like seemingly every other game in Week 7). Duke won both of those battles handily, forcing Georgia Tech to settle for three field goals, picking a ball off at its 5, and dabbling in a little bit of turnovers luck.