Clemson 23, Louisville 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||28.8||31.4||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||1.80||4.25||4.70|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Clemson||Louisville|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Clemson||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Clemson||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Clemson||Louisville||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.42||2.07||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||3.6%||6.3%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||14.3%||16.7%||7.3%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||6.2||10.0|
|Exp. TO Margin||Clemson +0.5|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Louisville +0.5|
|TO Points Margin||Clemson +3.8 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.455||0.528|
|2nd Down S&P||0.381||0.410|
|3rd Down S&P||0.179||0.263|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Louisville by 1.0|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Clemson by 6|
A Chad Morris offense and a Bobby Petrino offense combining for 493 yards, 22 first downs, and one offensive touchdown. I wouldn't have thought that possible.
This wasn't the most quarterback-friendly week of the season, and we won't get to watch DeShaun Watson play for a while, which stinks. The Clemson offense wasn't doing anything in particular before he got hurt (2-for-6 for minus-5 yards, three rushes for 10 yards), but it also didn't do anything with Cole Stoudt taking over again (20-for-33, 162 yards, one pick, three sacks). Despite the names on the sidelines, this was a battle of two flawed offenses (Off. F/+ Rank: Clemson 34, Louisville 66) and two hellacious defenses (Def. F/+ Rank: Louisville 1, Clemson 7). And turnovers and an early punt return touchdown gave Clemson the narrowest of edges despite a field position loss and horrific red zone execution.