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Clemson 23, Louisville 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Clemson | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 71 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.8 | 31.4 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 18 | 18 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 1.80 | 4.25 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 73.2% | 61.8% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.367 | 0.405 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Clemson | Louisville | |
| Total | 12.4 | 17.2 | |
| Rushing | 4.3 | 4.9 | |
| Passing | 8.1 | 12.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Clemson | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 32.4% | 27.9% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 31.0% | 35.3% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 33.3% | 20.6% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 40.4% | 38.1% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 10.5% | 11.5% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Clemson | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.54 | 0.91 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.58 | 1.76 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.51 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.89 | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Clemson | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.42 | 2.07 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 14.3% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Clemson | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 6.2 | 10.0 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Clemson +0.5 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Louisville +0.5 | |
| TO Points Margin | Clemson +3.8 points | |
| Situational | Clemson | Louisville |
| Q1 S&P | 0.136 | 0.374 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.390 | 0.350 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.378 | 0.472 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.475 | 0.487 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.455 | 0.528 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.381 | 0.410 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.179 | 0.263 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Louisville by 1.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Clemson by 6 | ||
A Chad Morris offense and a Bobby Petrino offense combining for 493 yards, 22 first downs, and one offensive touchdown. I wouldn't have thought that possible.
This wasn't the most quarterback-friendly week of the season, and we won't get to watch DeShaun Watson play for a while, which stinks. The Clemson offense wasn't doing anything in particular before he got hurt (2-for-6 for minus-5 yards, three rushes for 10 yards), but it also didn't do anything with Cole Stoudt taking over again (20-for-33, 162 yards, one pick, three sacks). Despite the names on the sidelines, this was a battle of two flawed offenses (Off. F/+ Rank: Clemson 34, Louisville 66) and two hellacious defenses (Def. F/+ Rank: Louisville 1, Clemson 7). And turnovers and an early punt return touchdown gave Clemson the narrowest of edges despite a field position loss and horrific red zone execution.
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