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Eastern Michigan 37, Buffalo 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 81 | 67 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 84.5% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 33.7 | 32.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
9 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.00 | 5.43 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 51.9% | 74.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.451 | 0.589 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | |
| Total | 31.3 | 34.7 | |
| Rushing | 7.4 | 23.9 | |
| Passing | 23.9 | 10.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 32.8% | 37.5% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 43.3% | 37.8% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 22.6% | 36.8% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 33.3% | 38.0% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 31.6% | 35.7% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.95 | 1.45 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.64 | 1.40 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.50 | 1.55 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.86 | 1.28 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.15 | 2.07 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.09 | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.6 | 5.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Eastern Michigan +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Eastern Michigan +1.39 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Eastern Michigan +0.61 | |
| TO Points Margin | Eastern Michigan +6.6 points | |
| Situational | Buffalo | Eastern Michigan |
| Q1 S&P | 0.571 | 0.244 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.470 | 0.457 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.323 | 0.687 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.571 | 0.809 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.523 | 0.526 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.381 | 0.721 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.633 | 0.458 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Eastern Michigan by 10.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Eastern Michigan by 10 | ||
A hell of a day for EMU quarterback Reginald Bell: 8-for-13 passing for 144 yards and a touchdown ... and 17 carries for 202 yards and three scores. EMU let UB go up 10-0, then scored 37 of the next 47 points, capping the game with a 72-yard run by Bell with 2:25 left. EMU avoided psasing downs, did just enough through the air to keep UB from ganging up on the run, blocked better, and won the turnover battle. Not a bad recipe. And it earned the Eagles their first win over an FBS team not named WMU since October 2012. (They were 2-0 against WMU, 2-0 against MEAC teams, and 0-18 against everybody else.)