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Oklahoma State 27, Kansas 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 78 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.2 | 36.2 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.33 | 3.33 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 62.8% | 61.8% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.438 | 0.420 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Kansas | Oklahoma State | |
| Total | 21.7 | 17.2 | |
| Rushing | 7.9 | 8.5 | |
| Passing | 13.8 | 8.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.6% | 33.8% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 29.0% | 27.3% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 46.9% | 35.7% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 13.8% | 30.8% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.72 | 0.95 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.77 | 0.29 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.98 | 1.61 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Kansas | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.01 | 2.34 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Kansas | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.1 | 9.4 |
| Turnover Margin | Kansas +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma State +0.14 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Kansas +1.14 | |
| TO Points Margin | Kansas +4.3 points | |
| Situational | Kansas | Oklahoma State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.593 | 0.509 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.306 | 0.507 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.401 | 0.355 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.473 | 0.218 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.492 | 0.347 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.406 | 0.278 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.376 | 0.692 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Kansas by 8.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 7 | ||
I've been a fan of Clint Bowen's Kansas defense for a while, and the Jayhawks are now up to 47th in Def. F/+. Good unit.
Still, even against a decent defense, OSU quarterback Daxx Garman's stat line is alarming: 17-for-31, 161 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 sacks for 30 yards. That's 35 pass attempts, 131 yards, 3.7 per attempt.
Kansas' defensive front owned Oklahoma State in this game, and Garman's inefficiencies (he throws a lovely deep ball but struggles otherwise), combined with some pretty impressive turnovers luck for KU, almost cost OSU dearly. But luckily for the 'Pokes, after tying the game at 20-20, Kansas elected to kick to Tyreek Hill. His kick return touchdown with seven minutes left made the difference.