Oklahoma State 27, Kansas 20
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|Basics||Kansas||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||28.2||36.2||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||3.33||3.33||4.70|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Kansas||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.01||2.34||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||11.1%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||14.3%||11.8%||7.3%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||5.1||9.4|
|Turnover Margin||Kansas +1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Oklahoma State +0.14|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Kansas +1.14|
|TO Points Margin||Kansas +4.3 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.492||0.347|
|2nd Down S&P||0.406||0.278|
|3rd Down S&P||0.376||0.692|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Kansas by 8.9|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 7|
I've been a fan of Clint Bowen's Kansas defense for a while, and the Jayhawks are now up to 47th in Def. F/+. Good unit.
Still, even against a decent defense, OSU quarterback Daxx Garman's stat line is alarming: 17-for-31, 161 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 sacks for 30 yards. That's 35 pass attempts, 131 yards, 3.7 per attempt.
Kansas' defensive front owned Oklahoma State in this game, and Garman's inefficiencies (he throws a lovely deep ball but struggles otherwise), combined with some pretty impressive turnovers luck for KU, almost cost OSU dearly. But luckily for the 'Pokes, after tying the game at 20-20, Kansas elected to kick to Tyreek Hill. His kick return touchdown with seven minutes left made the difference.