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Tulane 12, Connecticut 3
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Connecticut | Tulane | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 54 | 59 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 31.3 | 23.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 11 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 2 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 0.60 | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.7% | 62.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.372 | 0.424 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Connecticut | Tulane | |
| Total | 9.5 | 13.8 | |
| Rushing | 3.8 | 5.4 | |
| Passing | 5.6 | 8.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Connecticut | Tulane | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 33.3% | 37.3% | 42.0% |
| Rushing (close) | 29.2% | 33.3% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 36.7% | 42.3% | 40.6% |
| Standard Downs | 36.1% | 48.7% | 47.3% |
| Passing Downs | 27.8% | 18.2% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Connecticut | Tulane | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.51 | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.64 | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Connecticut | Tulane | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.24 | 2.98 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 16.7% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Connecticut | Tulane |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.9 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Tulane +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Tulane +1.97 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Tulane +1.03 | |
| TO Points Margin | Tulane +11.9 points | |
| Situational | Connecticut | Tulane |
| Q1 S&P | 0.342 | 0.726 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.293 | 0.379 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.497 | 0.414 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.421 | 0.258 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.418 | 0.476 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.289 | 0.459 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.448 | 0.276 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Tulane by 16.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Tulane by 9 | ||
Tulane generated two scoring opportunities in 11 possessions and won.
UConn generated five scoring opportunities and scored three points.
Tulane drove 80 yards in six plays on its first possession. The Green Wave gained 222 yards in 57 plays (3.9) and scored three points (offensively) thereafter. And won.
There were four gains of 20+ in the entire game. Neither team had big-play capability, which means field position becomes doubly important. UConn won field position by a significant margin ... and lost.
Yeah, I'd say this game looks about like I thought it would on paper.
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