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Study Hall: Tulane 12, UConn 3

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Glenn Andrews-USA TODAY Sports

Tulane 12, Connecticut 3

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Connecticut Tulane Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 54 59
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 31.3 23.0 29.8
Possessions 11 11
Scoring Opportunities*
5 2
Points Per Opportunity 0.60 5.00 4.70
Leverage Rate** 66.7% 62.7% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.372 0.424 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Connecticut Tulane
Total 9.5 13.8
Rushing 3.8 5.4
Passing 5.6 8.4
Success Rate (what's this?) Connecticut Tulane Nat'l Avg
All (close) 33.3% 37.3% 42.0%
Rushing (close) 29.2% 33.3% 43.4%
Passing (close) 36.7% 42.3% 40.6%
Standard Downs 36.1% 48.7% 47.3%
Passing Downs 27.8% 18.2% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Connecticut Tulane Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.53 0.63 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.55 0.49 0.73
Passing (close) 0.51 0.76 0.99
Standard Downs 0.48 0.59 0.77
Passing Downs 0.64 0.82 1.14
Line Stats Connecticut Tulane Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.24 2.98 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 16.7% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 0.0% 7.3%
Turnovers Connecticut Tulane
Turnovers 3 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 11.9 0.0
Turnover Margin Tulane +3
Exp. TO Margin Tulane +1.97
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Tulane +1.03
TO Points Margin Tulane +11.9 points
Situational Connecticut Tulane
Q1 S&P 0.342 0.726
Q2 S&P 0.293 0.379
Q3 S&P 0.497 0.414
Q4 S&P 0.421 0.258
1st Down S&P 0.418 0.476
2nd Down S&P 0.289 0.459
3rd Down S&P 0.448 0.276
Projected Scoring Margin: Tulane by 16.2
Actual Scoring Margin: Tulane by 9

Tulane generated two scoring opportunities in 11 possessions and won.

UConn generated five scoring opportunities and scored three points.

Tulane drove 80 yards in six plays on its first possession. The Green Wave gained 222 yards in 57 plays (3.9) and scored three points (offensively) thereafter. And won.

There were four gains of 20+ in the entire game. Neither team had big-play capability, which means field position becomes doubly important. UConn won field position by a significant margin ... and lost.

Yeah, I'd say this game looks about like I thought it would on paper.