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Northwestern 29, Penn State 6
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Northwestern | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 71 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 82.2% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 44.6 | 24.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 3 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.00 | 2.00 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 54.7% | 53.5% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.475 | 0.354 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Northwestern | Penn State | |
| Total | 25.2 | 11.1 | |
| Rushing | 10.5 | 2.5 | |
| Passing | 14.6 | 8.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Northwestern | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 39.3% | 30.5% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 34.8% | 28.6% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 42.1% | 31.1% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 46.3% | 34.2% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 25.0% | 23.8% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Northwestern | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.80 | 0.55 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 0.91 | 0.62 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.64 | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.39 | 0.56 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Northwestern | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.78 | 1.65 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Northwestern | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 3.6 | 13.8 |
| Turnover Margin | Northwestern +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Northwestern +1.39 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Penn State +0.39 | |
| TO Points Margin | Northwestern +10.2 points | |
| Situational | Northwestern | Penn State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.626 | 0.310 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.325 | 0.393 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.367 | 0.363 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.514 | 0.255 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.542 | 0.430 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.363 | 0.317 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.580 | 0.244 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Northwestern by 24.3 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Northwestern by 23 | ||
Northwestern was deserving of some good breaks and played really well ... but damn, what an egg to lay, Penn State. The offensive line fell apart, the success rate sank below 33%, there were next to no big plays, and ... damn, what an egg to lay, Penn State.