:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/40588748/20140927_jla_st3_1075.jpg.0.jpg)
Nebraska 45, Illinois 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Illinois | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 62 | 91 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 60.1% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.9 | 34.6 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 10 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.80 | 4.50 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 38.7% | 49.5% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.551 | 0.646 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Illinois | Nebraska | |
| Total | 19.7 | 40.0 | |
| Rushing | 7.3 | 30.0 | |
| Passing | 12.4 | 10.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Illinois | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 36.4% | 59.3% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 46.7% | 63.8% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 27.8% | 41.7% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 41.7% | 64.4% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 22.2% | 42.9% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Illinois | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.30 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.99 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 1.73 | 1.71 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.26 | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.54 | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Illinois | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.30 | 4.39 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 20.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Illinois | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 19.3 | 8.7 |
| Turnover Margin | Nebraska +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Illinois +0.14 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Nebraska +1.14 | |
| TO Points Margin | Nebraska +10.5 points | |
| Situational | Illinois | Nebraska |
| Q1 S&P | 0.670 | 0.685 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.519 | 0.654 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.267 | 0.554 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.354 | 0.514 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.577 | 0.622 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.364 | 0.597 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.297 | 0.472 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 30.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 31 | ||
If you're getting gashed on the ground and are struggling to catch up, it's probably not very good to blow more than half of your scoring opportunities and badly lose the turnover battle. At least, that formula didn't work out very well for Illinois.