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Florida Atlantic 41, UTSA 37
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 79 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 24.7 | 41.3 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 9 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.83 | 4.11 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 68.7% | 73.4% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.554 | 0.536 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | |
| Total | 29.4 | 27.6 | |
| Rushing | 10.0 | 12.1 | |
| Passing | 19.4 | 15.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 44.8% | 49.4% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.0% | 53.9% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 48.7% | 45.0% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 55.2% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 33.3% | 33.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.98 | 0.71 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 1.08 | 0.86 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.01 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.89 | 0.72 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.08 | 2.73 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.2% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Florida Atlantic | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 9.2 | 15.4 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida Atlantic +0.08 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | UTSA +0.08 | |
| TO Points Margin | Florida Atlantic +6.1 points | |
| Situational | Florida Atlantic | UTSA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.493 | 0.493 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.509 | 0.654 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.602 | 0.555 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.641 | 0.364 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.593 | 0.564 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.404 | 0.469 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.565 | 0.662 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Florida Atlantic by 8.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Florida Atlantic by 4 | ||
You confuse me, FAU.
I thought the Owls were going to be legitimately decent this year, but against Nebraska and Alabama to start the season, they looked like they were 2012 FAU against 1995 Nebraska and 2011 Alabama. I didn't expect them to win either game, but I didn't expect them to lose by a combined 96-7 either.
Since then, the Owls have also lost a tight one at Wyoming, but they've whipped Tulsa at home, and on Saturday, they beat what I thought might be the best team in the CUSA West. So ... pretty good now? Just good at home? Mirage? I have no idea. But hey, nice win despite a massive field position disadvantage and an efficiency loss.