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Study Hall: Washington State 28, Utah 27

Chris Nicoll-USA TODAY Sports

Washington State 28, Utah 27

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Utah Washington State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 80 86
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 27.4 29.9 29.8
Possessions 14 16
Scoring Opportunities*
4 9
Points Per Opportunity 3.25 3.11 4.72
Leverage Rate** 61.3% 65.1% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.396 0.503 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Utah Washington State
Total 17.0 31.0
Rushing 11.3 5.0
Passing 5.6 26.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Utah Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 33.8% 40.7% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 38.5% 45.5% 43.4%
Passing (close) 29.3% 39.1% 40.8%
Standard Downs 38.8% 46.4% 47.5%
Passing Downs 25.8% 30.0% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Utah Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.63 0.89 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.76 0.50 0.72
Passing (close) 0.47 1.04 0.99
Standard Downs 0.55 0.76 0.77
Passing Downs 0.81 1.25 1.13
Line Stats Utah Washington State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.39 2.61 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 5.6% 2.7% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 7.4% 7.3%
Turnovers Utah Washington State
Turnovers 1 3
Turnover Points (what's this?) 4.0 15.0
Turnover Margin Utah +2
Exp. TO Margin Utah +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Utah +1.78
TO Points Margin Utah +10.9 points
Situational Utah Washington State
Q1 S&P 0.566 0.352
Q2 S&P 0.396 0.472
Q3 S&P 0.342 0.592
Q4 S&P 0.275 0.617
1st Down S&P 0.530 0.325
2nd Down S&P 0.317 0.488
3rd Down S&P 0.513 0.395
Projected Scoring Margin: Washington State by 3.1
Actual Scoring Margin: Washington State by 1

So this is two straight really nice defensive performances from Washington State. I'm not sure how to process that. Basically, Utah took an early lead with a pick six, a punt return TD, and basically the only long play of the day (a 76-yard touchdown run), then did almost nothing offensively for three full quarters. Wazzu's offense wasn't particularly amazing itself, but it was good enough to eventually make up the 21-0 deficit and steal a win.