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UCLA 62, Arizona State 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 105 | 58 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 68.1% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 21.2 | 31.2 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 14 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.38 | 6.00 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 46.7% | 51.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.527 | 0.654 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona State | UCLA | |
| Total | 34.3 | 37.9 | |
| Rushing | 5.4 | 13.6 | |
| Passing | 28.9 | 24.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 49.3% | 50.0% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 47.6% | 59.1% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 50.0% | 40.9% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 51.0% | 63.3% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 44.4% | 21.4% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.66 | 1.27 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.32 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 0.81 | 2.20 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.69 | 1.35 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.58 | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Arizona State | UCLA | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.80 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.1% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Arizona State | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 18.1 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | UCLA +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | UCLA +2.34 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | UCLA +1.66 | |
| TO Points Margin | UCLA +18.1 points | |
| Situational | Arizona State | UCLA |
| Q1 S&P | 0.569 | 0.438 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.557 | 0.728 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.526 | 0.885 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.405 | 0.675 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.711 | 0.542 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.480 | 0.400 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.760 | 0.574 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 21.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 35 | ||
As happens frequently, turnovers defined this game. Without them, UCLA still held an advantage despite a massive difference in total plays, but four ASU turnovers either took good field position away from the Sun Devils or created it for the Bruins. Throw in a kick return touchdown and the slight, inconvenient fact that only one of two teams was making big plays, and voila. Easy road win.