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This is the follow up to the article I wrote for Football Study Hall that attempted to relate Team Quality (as measured by FO’s F/+ rating) to recruiting rankings. I chose to focus only on teams in the Automatic Qualifier "power" conferences, for a variety of reasons.
For the purposes of the initial analysis I utilized a simple four year arithmetic average of Scout.com’s average star ranking for each class, as of NSD. I chose to call the measure of recruiting rankings that I used Apparent Talent, because recruiting rankings are imperfect and subjective and also because I did not attempt to control for players that didn’t qualify, transfers, medical retirements, etc..
To summarize, Apparent Talent is a useful predictor of team quality, to a statistically significant degree, but it falls well short of being a truly robust predictive model. The reasons that it doesn’t do a great job of predicting team quality are myriad, but I have a strong hypothesis that is well supported by the data that an awful lot of the deviation between what could be expected based on Apparent Talent and what shows up on Saturdays in the Fall comes down to the impact of coaching staffs on the outcomes. I termed this Coaching Effect.
Some coaching staffs do a great job of taking the talent on hand and producing results well above what could reasonably be expected (i.e. what is predicted by linear regression). Other staffs do the complete opposite. A larger group does neither reliably, at least not to a statistically significant degree.
Refinement to the Analysis
Since the first article, I have downloaded and tabulated recruiting class ranks from a second source: Rivals.com. I re-ran the entire process using Rival’s rankings and compared them to the results from Scout’s. In aggregate, there was no difference worth discussing. The conclusion to draw there is that there isn’t a measurable difference in the "accuracy" of the two services rankings in aggregate, for the purposes of this analysis anyway. At the micro level, there were a few meaningful differences, so going forward I will use a composite of the two rankings to calculate Apparent Talent.
Year | School | 4YR Avg | vs Avg | Est. | Actual | ∆% | ∆ | Coach | |
2007 | West Virginia | 2.57 | -12% | 202.71 | 265.42 | 31% | 2.61 | Rodriguez | |
2007 | Cincinnati | 2.08 | -29% | 185.20 | 242.07 | 31% | 2.59 | B. Kelly | |
2012 | Kansas State | 2.37 | -19% | 195.42 | 253.72 | 30% | 2.52 | Snyder | |
2006 | Louisville | 2.48 | -15% | 199.33 | 258.51 | 30% | 2.51 | Petrino | |
2011 | Alabama | 3.70 | 27% | 242.83 | 307.75 | 27% | 2.26 | Saban | |
2011 | Oklahoma State | 2.99 | 3% | 217.73 | 275.80 | 27% | 2.25 | Gundy | |
2007 | South Florida | 2.36 | -19% | 195.11 | 245.88 | 26% | 2.20 | Leavitt | |
2006 | West Virginia | 2.43 | -17% | 197.68 | 245.76 | 24% | 2.05 | Rodriguez | |
2007 | Kansas | 2.39 | -18% | 196.40 | 244.10 | 24% | 2.05 | Mangino | |
2012 | Alabama | 3.72 | 28% | 243.72 | 301.28 | 24% | 2.00 | Saban | |
2006 | Rutgers | 2.31 | -21% | 193.42 | 237.43 | 23% | 1.92 | Schiano | |
2009 | Virginia Tech | 2.90 | -1% | 214.35 | 262.99 | 23% | 1.92 | Beamer | |
2009 | Iowa | 2.61 | -11% | 204.04 | 250.20 | 23% | 1.91 | Ferentz | |
2011 | LSU | 3.61 | 24% | 239.59 | 293.64 | 23% | 1.91 | Miles | |
2009 | Cincinnati | 2.27 | -22% | 192.17 | 235.08 | 22% | 1.89 | B. Kelly | |
2010 | Stanford | 3.03 | 4% | 219.06 | 266.35 | 22% | 1.82 | Harbaugh | |
2007 | Missouri | 2.60 | -11% | 203.77 | 247.66 | 22% | 1.82 | Pinkel | |
2011 | Wisconsin | 2.87 | -2% | 213.24 | 258.56 | 21% | 1.80 | Bielema | |
2008 | Florida | 3.82 | 31% | 246.97 | 298.74 | 21% | 1.77 | Meyer | |
2010 | Auburn | 3.22 | 11% | 225.95 | 272.94 | 21% | 1.76 | Chizik | |
2012 | Oregon | 3.32 | 14% | 229.24 | 276.60 | 21% | 1.75 | C. Kelly | |
2012 | Texas A&M | 3.17 | 9% | 223.99 | 270.18 | 21% | 1.74 | Sumlin | |
2010 | Arkansas | 2.89 | -1% | 214.04 | 257.06 | 20% | 1.70 | Petrino | |
2007 | Kentucky | 2.31 | -21% | 193.29 | 231.63 | 20% | 1.68 | Brooks | |
2007 | Connecticut | 2.08 | -29% | 185.11 | 221.49 | 20% | 1.66 | Edsall | |
2009 | Alabama | 3.52 | 21% | 236.35 | 282.37 | 19% | 1.65 | Saban | |
2007 | Oregon | 2.89 | -1% | 214.04 | 255.63 | 19% | 1.64 | Bellotti | |
2008 | Cincinnati | 2.17 | -26% | 188.35 | 224.33 | 19% | 1.61 | B. Kelly | |
2008 | Penn State | 3.26 | 12% | 227.37 | 268.08 | 18% | 1.51 | Paterno | |
2008 | Connecticut | 2.20 | -24% | 189.60 | 223.32 | 18% | 1.50 | Edsall | |
2011 | Oregon | 3.28 | 13% | 228.08 | 267.53 | 17% | 1.46 | C. Kelly | |
2007 | Virginia Tech | 2.88 | -1% | 213.68 | 250.14 | 17% | 1.44 | Beamer | |
2006 | Cincinnati | 2.04 | -30% | 183.82 | 215.05 | 17% | 1.44 | B. Kelly | |
2008 | Ole Miss | 2.88 | -1% | 213.77 | 249.95 | 17% | 1.43 | Nutt | |
2009 | Connecticut | 2.23 | -23% | 190.62 | 222.81 | 17% | 1.43 | Edsall | |
2010 | Wisconsin | 2.87 | -2% | 213.24 | 249.23 | 17% | 1.43 | Bielema | |
2010 | Alabama | 3.53 | 21% | 236.75 | 274.94 | 16% | 1.36 | Saban | |
2012 | Oregon State | 2.69 | -8% | 206.97 | 239.92 | 16% | 1.34 | Riley | |
2010 | Virginia Tech | 2.98 | 2% | 217.10 | 250.58 | 15% | 1.30 | Beamer | |
2008 | USC | 4.07 | 39% | 255.85 | 295.19 | 15% | 1.30 | Carroll | |
2006 | Wisconsin | 2.61 | -10% | 204.13 | 235.41 | 15% | 1.29 | Bielema | |
2008 | Wake Forest | 2.33 | -20% | 194.17 | 223.80 | 15% | 1.29 | Grobe | |
2009 | Oregon State | 2.57 | -12% | 202.57 | 233.40 | 15% | 1.29 | Riley | |
2010 | Missouri | 2.90 | 0% | 214.44 | 246.58 | 15% | 1.27 | Pinkel | |
2008 | Missouri | 2.73 | -6% | 208.26 | 239.44 | 15% | 1.26 | Pinkel | |
2012 | Oklahoma State | 3.01 | 3% | 218.22 | 250.52 | 15% | 1.25 | Gundy | |
2008 | Texas Tech | 2.79 | -4% | 210.39 | 241.45 | 15% | 1.25 | Leach | |
2008 | Oklahoma | 3.52 | 21% | 236.35 | 270.83 | 15% | 1.23 | B. Stoops | |
2011 | Stanford | 3.18 | 9% | 224.26 | 256.94 | 15% | 1.23 | Shaw | |
2011 | Michigan State | 2.95 | 1% | 216.08 | 247.57 | 15% | 1.23 | Dantonio | |
2010 | Oklahoma State | 3.01 | 3% | 218.17 | 249.64 | 14% | 1.22 | Gundy | |
2008 | Iowa | 2.83 | -3% | 211.90 | 242.22 | 14% | 1.21 | Ferentz | |
2010 | Iowa | 2.67 | -8% | 206.26 | 235.45 | 14% | 1.20 | Ferentz | |
2007 | Oregon State | 2.48 | -15% | 199.33 | 227.49 | 14% | 1.19 | Riley | |
2011 | Cincinnati | 2.49 | -15% | 199.91 | 228.14 | 14% | 1.19 | B. Jones | |
2006 | Wake Forest | 2.29 | -21% | 192.80 | 219.89 | 14% | 1.19 | Grobe | |
2006 | Boston College | 2.67 | -8% | 206.22 | 235.17 | 14% | 1.19 | O'Brien | |
2009 | Penn State | 3.30 | 13% | 228.52 | 260.55 | 14% | 1.18 | Paterno | |
2006 | South Florida | 2.25 | -23% | 191.24 | 217.80 | 14% | 1.17 | Leavitt | |
2006 | Arkansas | 2.73 | -6% | 208.53 | 237.36 | 14% | 1.17 | Nutt | |
2009 | Wisconsin | 2.82 | -3% | 211.50 | 240.09 | 14% | 1.14 | Bielema | |
2007 | Boston College | 2.66 | -9% | 205.73 | 232.94 | 13% | 1.12 | Jagodzinski | |
2009 | Texas | 3.73 | 28% | 243.77 | 275.74 | 13% | 1.11 | Brown | |
2009 | Florida | 3.89 | 33% | 249.54 | 281.55 | 13% | 1.08 | Meyer | |
2007 | Clemson | 2.95 | 1% | 216.13 | 243.72 | 13% | 1.08 | T. Bowden | |
2006 | Georgia Tech | 2.51 | -14% | 200.57 | 225.96 | 13% | 1.07 | Gailey | |
2007 | Ohio State | 3.53 | 21% | 236.97 | 266.89 | 13% | 1.07 | Tressel | |
2007 | Rutgers | 2.43 | -17% | 197.60 | 222.41 | 13% | 1.06 | Schiano | |
2010 | Oregon | 3.20 | 10% | 224.93 | 253.04 | 12% | 1.06 | C. Kelly | |
2009 | Nebraska | 3.15 | 8% | 223.15 | 251.02 | 12% | 1.06 | Pellini | |
2006 | Virginia Tech | 2.86 | -2% | 212.97 | 239.50 | 12% | 1.05 | Beamer | |
2008 | Texas | 3.70 | 27% | 242.83 | 273.01 | 12% | 1.05 | Brown | |
2012 | Cincinnati | 2.62 | -10% | 204.39 | 228.71 | 12% | 1.01 | B. Jones | |
2012 | Wisconsin | 2.93 | 1% | 215.50 | 240.76 | 12% | 0.99 | Bielema | |
2010 | NC State | 2.77 | -5% | 209.95 | 234.32 | 12% | 0.98 | O'Brien | |
2009 | Texas Tech | 2.85 | -2% | 212.62 | 237.25 | 12% | 0.98 | Leach | |
2007 | Illinois | 2.69 | -8% | 206.97 | 230.83 | 12% | 0.97 | Zook | |
2012 | Syracuse | 2.43 | -17% | 197.73 | 220.49 | 12% | 0.97 | Marrone | |
2007 | LSU | 3.63 | 24% | 240.21 | 267.44 | 11% | 0.96 | Miles | |
2011 | Arkansas | 2.93 | 1% | 215.64 | 239.71 | 11% | 0.94 | Petrino | |
2008 | Alabama | 3.31 | 14% | 229.15 | 254.68 | 11% | 0.94 | Saban | |
2008 | South Florida | 2.42 | -17% | 197.20 | 218.90 | 11% | 0.93 | Leavitt | |
2007 | Wake Forest | 2.27 | -22% | 191.95 | 212.92 | 11% | 0.92 | Grobe | |
2010 | West Virginia | 2.95 | 1% | 216.35 | 239.71 | 11% | 0.91 | Stewart | |
2012 | South Carolina | 3.15 | 8% | 223.33 | 247.39 | 11% | 0.91 | Spurrier | |
2007 | Arizona State | 2.78 | -5% | 210.04 | 232.48 | 11% | 0.90 | Erickson | |
2006 | LSU | 3.57 | 23% | 238.39 | 263.76 | 11% | 0.90 | Miles | |
2011 | Kansas State | 2.58 | -11% | 203.06 | 224.40 | 11% | 0.89 | Snyder | |
2010 | Ohio State | 3.70 | 27% | 243.01 | 267.86 | 10% | 0.86 | Tressel | |
2008 | Oregon State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.39 | 223.01 | 10% | 0.86 | Riley | |
2007 | Arkansas | 2.77 | -5% | 209.77 | 230.74 | 10% | 0.84 | Nutt | |
2012 | Michigan State | 3.04 | 4% | 219.55 | 241.37 | 10% | 0.84 | Dantonio | |
2009 | Boston College | 2.62 | -10% | 204.57 | 224.90 | 10% | 0.84 | Spaziani | |
2009 | Oregon | 3.02 | 4% | 218.84 | 240.31 | 10% | 0.83 | C. Kelly | |
2006 | Clemson | 2.86 | -2% | 213.02 | 233.89 | 10% | 0.83 | T. Bowden | |
2012 | Florida | 3.75 | 29% | 244.48 | 268.32 | 10% | 0.82 | Muschamp | |
2007 | Texas Tech | 2.71 | -7% | 207.77 | 227.93 | 10% | 0.82 | Leach | |
2006 | Oregon State | 2.45 | -16% | 198.35 | 217.55 | 10% | 0.82 | Riley | |
2008 | Boston College | 2.68 | -8% | 206.48 | 226.27 | 10% | 0.81 | Jagodzinski | |
2011 | Baylor | 2.69 | -8% | 207.06 | 226.90 | 10% | 0.81 | Briles | |
2007 | Auburn | 3.08 | 6% | 220.70 | 241.67 | 10% | 0.80 | Tuberville | |
2006 | Ohio State | 3.46 | 19% | 234.21 | 256.04 | 9% | 0.79 | Tressel | |
2008 | Rutgers | 2.54 | -13% | 201.51 | 220.07 | 9% | 0.78 | Schiano | |
2010 | South Carolina | 3.15 | 8% | 223.37 | 243.90 | 9% | 0.78 | Spurrier | |
2006 | Florida | 3.64 | 25% | 240.61 | 262.53 | 9% | 0.77 | Meyer | |
2009 | Wake Forest | 2.39 | -18% | 196.44 | 214.16 | 9% | 0.76 | Grobe | |
2011 | Michigan | 3.40 | 17% | 232.26 | 252.79 | 9% | 0.75 | Hoke | |
2006 | Missouri | 2.60 | -11% | 203.73 | 221.55 | 9% | 0.74 | Pinkel | |
2011 | Texas A&M | 3.13 | 7% | 222.66 | 242.06 | 9% | 0.74 | Sherman | |
2012 | Stanford | 3.37 | 16% | 231.15 | 251.14 | 9% | 0.73 | Shaw | |
2010 | Michigan State | 2.82 | -3% | 211.59 | 229.54 | 8% | 0.72 | Dantonio | |
2007 | Oklahoma | 3.47 | 19% | 234.66 | 254.55 | 8% | 0.72 | B. Stoops | |
2012 | Louisville | 2.77 | -5% | 209.77 | 227.45 | 8% | 0.71 | Strong | |
2010 | Nebraska | 3.11 | 7% | 222.04 | 240.63 | 8% | 0.71 | Pellini | |
2008 | Oklahoma State | 2.90 | 0% | 214.48 | 232.41 | 8% | 0.71 | Gundy | |
2012 | Notre Dame | 3.49 | 20% | 235.28 | 254.87 | 8% | 0.70 | B. Kelly | |
2011 | West Virginia | 2.90 | 0% | 214.57 | 232.35 | 8% | 0.70 | Holgorsen | |
2006 | South Carolina | 2.85 | -2% | 212.66 | 230.10 | 8% | 0.69 | Spurrier | |
2012 | Northwestern | 2.74 | -6% | 208.79 | 225.85 | 8% | 0.69 | Fitzgerald | |
2010 | Oklahoma | 3.55 | 22% | 237.50 | 256.83 | 8% | 0.69 | B. Stoops | |
2009 | Oklahoma | 3.49 | 20% | 235.37 | 254.52 | 8% | 0.69 | B. Stoops | |
2009 | Pittsburgh | 3.18 | 9% | 224.21 | 241.91 | 8% | 0.67 | Wannstedt | |
2008 | West Virginia | 2.66 | -9% | 205.77 | 221.99 | 8% | 0.67 | Stewart | |
2012 | Georgia | 3.61 | 24% | 239.55 | 258.20 | 8% | 0.66 | Richt | |
2009 | Georgia Tech | 2.91 | 0% | 214.93 | 231.64 | 8% | 0.66 | P. Johnson | |
2012 | Florida State | 3.64 | 25% | 240.61 | 259.04 | 8% | 0.65 | Fisher | |
2009 | Purdue | 2.43 | -17% | 197.77 | 212.67 | 8% | 0.64 | Hope | |
2011 | Vanderbilt | 2.51 | -14% | 200.57 | 215.49 | 7% | 0.63 | Franklin | |
2008 | North Carolina | 2.90 | 0% | 214.53 | 230.43 | 7% | 0.63 | B. Davis | |
2009 | Arkansas | 2.88 | -1% | 213.68 | 228.93 | 7% | 0.60 | Petrino | |
2009 | Ole Miss | 3.01 | 3% | 218.30 | 233.84 | 7% | 0.60 | Nutt | |
2008 | Vanderbilt | 2.22 | -24% | 190.31 | 203.59 | 7% | 0.59 | Bo. Johnson | |
2008 | Northwestern | 2.39 | -18% | 196.35 | 210.04 | 7% | 0.59 | Fitzgerald | |
2012 | Oklahoma | 3.57 | 22% | 238.17 | 253.94 | 7% | 0.56 | B. Stoops | |
2012 | Baylor | 2.81 | -4% | 211.15 | 225.01 | 7% | 0.55 | Briles | |
2008 | Oregon | 3.00 | 3% | 217.82 | 232.06 | 7% | 0.55 | Bellotti | |
2008 | Pittsburgh | 3.03 | 4% | 219.19 | 233.25 | 6% | 0.54 | Wannstedt | |
2010 | Texas A&M | 3.16 | 8% | 223.50 | 237.67 | 6% | 0.54 | Sherman | |
2011 | Rutgers | 2.80 | -4% | 210.88 | 224.23 | 6% | 0.53 | Schiano | |
2006 | Auburn | 3.04 | 4% | 219.46 | 233.08 | 6% | 0.52 | Tuberville | |
2012 | Nebraska | 3.22 | 11% | 225.86 | 239.79 | 6% | 0.52 | Pellini | |
2007 | Florida | 3.73 | 28% | 244.08 | 258.92 | 6% | 0.51 | Meyer | |
2011 | Oklahoma | 3.65 | 25% | 241.06 | 255.39 | 6% | 0.50 | B. Stoops | |
2006 | Kentucky | 2.34 | -20% | 194.66 | 206.06 | 6% | 0.49 | Brooks | |
2012 | LSU | 3.57 | 23% | 238.26 | 251.89 | 6% | 0.48 | Miles | |
2007 | Louisville | 2.67 | -8% | 206.31 | 218.06 | 6% | 0.48 | Kragthorpe | |
2011 | Missouri | 2.98 | 2% | 217.15 | 229.07 | 5% | 0.46 | Pinkel | |
2011 | Florida State | 3.49 | 20% | 235.55 | 248.30 | 5% | 0.46 | Fisher | |
2006 | California | 3.11 | 7% | 221.77 | 233.50 | 5% | 0.45 | Tedford | |
2007 | Mississippi State | 2.47 | -15% | 199.28 | 209.75 | 5% | 0.44 | Croom | |
2007 | Michigan State | 2.66 | -9% | 206.04 | 216.74 | 5% | 0.44 | Dantonio | |
2006 | Tennessee | 3.32 | 14% | 229.24 | 241.00 | 5% | 0.43 | Fulmer | |
2012 | TCU | 2.89 | -1% | 213.99 | 224.65 | 5% | 0.42 | Patterson | |
2006 | Vanderbilt | 2.15 | -26% | 187.73 | 197.05 | 5% | 0.42 | Bo. Johnson | |
2011 | South Florida | 2.73 | -6% | 208.44 | 218.78 | 5% | 0.42 | S. Holtz | |
2010 | Mississippi State | 2.81 | -4% | 211.28 | 221.75 | 5% | 0.42 | Mullen | |
2010 | Cincinnati | 2.34 | -20% | 194.35 | 203.95 | 5% | 0.42 | B. Jones | |
2009 | Stanford | 2.87 | -1% | 213.50 | 223.82 | 5% | 0.41 | Harbaugh | |
2006 | Oklahoma State | 2.74 | -6% | 208.79 | 218.61 | 5% | 0.40 | Gundy | |
2007 | Wisconsin | 2.68 | -8% | 206.53 | 216.13 | 5% | 0.39 | Bielema | |
2011 | Virginia Tech | 3.00 | 3% | 218.08 | 228.00 | 5% | 0.38 | Beamer | |
2009 | Northwestern | 2.41 | -17% | 197.06 | 206.02 | 5% | 0.38 | Fitzgerald | |
2012 | Arizona | 2.78 | -5% | 210.26 | 219.59 | 4% | 0.37 | Rodriguez | |
2011 | South Carolina | 3.11 | 7% | 221.77 | 231.51 | 4% | 0.37 | Spurrier | |
2009 | Ohio State | 3.76 | 29% | 244.83 | 255.56 | 4% | 0.37 | Tressel | |
2009 | Clemson | 3.35 | 15% | 230.44 | 240.49 | 4% | 0.37 | Swinney | |
2008 | Michigan State | 2.62 | -10% | 204.35 | 213.00 | 4% | 0.36 | Dantonio | |
2011 | Connecticut | 2.34 | -20% | 194.48 | 202.72 | 4% | 0.36 | Pasqualoni | |
2007 | Georgia | 3.56 | 22% | 237.77 | 247.55 | 4% | 0.35 | Richt | |
2006 | Pittsburgh | 2.61 | -10% | 204.13 | 212.50 | 4% | 0.35 | Wannstedt | |
2010 | Illinois | 2.84 | -3% | 212.17 | 220.76 | 4% | 0.34 | Zook | |
2006 | Minnesota | 2.37 | -19% | 195.73 | 203.23 | 4% | 0.32 | Mason | |
2007 | UCLA | 3.09 | 6% | 221.15 | 229.48 | 4% | 0.32 | Dorrell | |
2006 | Nebraska | 2.97 | 2% | 216.97 | 225.14 | 4% | 0.32 | Callahan | |
2008 | Kansas | 2.60 | -11% | 203.59 | 211.05 | 4% | 0.31 | Mangino | |
2011 | Notre Dame | 3.57 | 23% | 238.30 | 246.90 | 4% | 0.30 | B. Kelly | |
2010 | South Florida | 2.68 | -8% | 206.53 | 213.84 | 4% | 0.30 | S. Holtz | |
2007 | USC | 4.11 | 41% | 257.28 | 266.21 | 3% | 0.29 | Carroll | |
2006 | Michigan | 3.60 | 24% | 239.37 | 247.44 | 3% | 0.28 | Carr | |
2010 | Pittsburgh | 3.17 | 9% | 223.95 | 231.00 | 3% | 0.27 | Wannstedt | |
2008 | Arizona | 3.11 | 7% | 221.77 | 228.66 | 3% | 0.26 | M. Stoops | |
2008 | Ohio State | 3.71 | 27% | 243.32 | 250.28 | 3% | 0.24 | Tressel | |
2006 | Kansas | 2.43 | -17% | 197.73 | 203.35 | 3% | 0.24 | Mangino | |
2012 | Michigan | 3.40 | 17% | 232.12 | 238.70 | 3% | 0.24 | Hoke | |
2008 | Virginia Tech | 2.92 | 0% | 214.97 | 221.03 | 3% | 0.24 | Beamer | |
2010 | Florida State | 3.38 | 16% | 231.50 | 237.94 | 3% | 0.24 | Fisher | |
2006 | Texas Tech | 2.74 | -6% | 208.79 | 214.60 | 3% | 0.23 | Leach | |
2012 | Arizona State | 2.84 | -2% | 212.44 | 218.07 | 3% | 0.22 | Graham | |
2009 | Arizona | 2.99 | 3% | 217.68 | 223.45 | 3% | 0.22 | M. Stoops | |
2012 | Iowa State | 2.47 | -15% | 199.11 | 204.38 | 3% | 0.22 | Rhoads | |
2012 | Clemson | 3.36 | 15% | 230.70 | 236.72 | 3% | 0.22 | Swinney | |
2009 | Oklahoma State | 2.99 | 3% | 217.73 | 223.31 | 3% | 0.22 | Gundy | |
2010 | Connecticut | 2.28 | -22% | 192.40 | 197.24 | 3% | 0.21 | Edsall | |
2012 | Ohio State | 3.62 | 24% | 240.03 | 245.87 | 2% | 0.21 | Meyer | |
2007 | Indiana | 2.14 | -26% | 187.55 | 192.00 | 2% | 0.20 | Lynch | |
2007 | Arizona | 2.93 | 0% | 215.37 | 220.45 | 2% | 0.20 | M. Stoops | |
2008 | Georgia Tech | 2.80 | -4% | 210.71 | 215.67 | 2% | 0.20 | P. Johnson | |
2012 | Penn State | 3.19 | 9% | 224.75 | 229.93 | 2% | 0.19 | O'Brien | |
2012 | Vanderbilt | 2.71 | -7% | 207.55 | 212.19 | 2% | 0.19 | Franklin | |
2011 | Georgia | 3.63 | 25% | 240.52 | 245.54 | 2% | 0.18 | Richt | |
2010 | Louisville | 2.70 | -7% | 207.33 | 211.35 | 2% | 0.16 | Strong | |
2012 | Rutgers | 2.92 | 0% | 215.15 | 219.28 | 2% | 0.16 | Flood | |
2006 | USC | 3.90 | 34% | 249.81 | 254.59 | 2% | 0.16 | Carroll | |
2010 | Maryland | 2.88 | -1% | 213.86 | 217.86 | 2% | 0.16 | Friedgen | |
2007 | Oklahoma State | 2.83 | -3% | 211.90 | 215.79 | 2% | 0.16 | Gundy | |
2009 | Michigan State | 2.69 | -8% | 207.11 | 210.87 | 2% | 0.15 | Dantonio | |
2007 | Tennessee | 3.41 | 17% | 232.44 | 236.54 | 2% | 0.15 | Fulmer | |
2012 | Connecticut | 2.40 | -18% | 196.53 | 199.93 | 2% | 0.15 | Pasqualoni | |
2010 | Miami-FL | 3.33 | 14% | 229.81 | 233.53 | 2% | 0.14 | Shannon | |
2007 | California | 3.19 | 10% | 224.79 | 228.41 | 2% | 0.14 | Tedford | |
2011 | Louisville | 2.70 | -7% | 207.37 | 210.69 | 2% | 0.14 | Strong | |
2009 | Kentucky | 2.52 | -13% | 201.02 | 204.15 | 2% | 0.13 | Brooks | |
2011 | Iowa | 2.71 | -7% | 207.51 | 210.59 | 1% | 0.13 | Ferentz | |
2007 | South Carolina | 2.94 | 1% | 215.95 | 219.00 | 1% | 0.12 | Spurrier | |
2009 | Miami-FL | 3.41 | 17% | 232.48 | 235.59 | 1% | 0.11 | Shannon | |
2006 | Washington State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.35 | 205.04 | 1% | 0.11 | Doba | |
2007 | Georgia Tech | 2.68 | -8% | 206.62 | 209.02 | 1% | 0.10 | Gailey | |
2010 | Oregon State | 2.62 | -10% | 204.39 | 206.74 | 1% | 0.10 | Riley | |
2011 | Nebraska | 3.16 | 8% | 223.50 | 225.98 | 1% | 0.09 | Pellini | |
2007 | Vanderbilt | 2.21 | -24% | 189.73 | 191.55 | 1% | 0.08 | Bo. Johnson | |
2007 | Virginia | 2.82 | -3% | 211.50 | 213.47 | 1% | 0.08 | Groh | |
2008 | Clemson | 3.22 | 11% | 225.81 | 227.81 | 1% | 0.07 | Swinney | |
2006 | Oregon | 2.78 | -5% | 210.13 | 211.81 | 1% | 0.07 | Bellotti | |
2006 | Oklahoma | 3.55 | 22% | 237.55 | 239.43 | 1% | 0.07 | B. Stoops | |
2006 | Arizona State | 2.82 | -3% | 211.68 | 212.98 | 1% | 0.05 | Koetter | |
2010 | Kentucky | 2.56 | -12% | 202.35 | 203.47 | 1% | 0.05 | Phillips | |
2009 | West Virginia | 2.80 | -4% | 210.84 | 211.99 | 1% | 0.05 | Stewart | |
2007 | Washington | 2.74 | -6% | 208.57 | 209.48 | 0% | 0.04 | Willingham | |
2009 | North Carolina | 3.10 | 6% | 221.41 | 222.34 | 0% | 0.04 | B. Davis | |
2006 | Texas A&M | 3.05 | 5% | 219.81 | 220.62 | 0% | 0.03 | Franchione | |
2007 | Penn State | 3.23 | 11% | 225.99 | 226.80 | 0% | 0.03 | Paterno | |
2010 | Arizona | 2.89 | -1% | 213.99 | 214.75 | 0% | 0.03 | M. Stoops | |
2010 | LSU | 3.67 | 26% | 241.86 | 242.04 | 0% | 0.01 | Miles | |
2008 | California | 3.26 | 12% | 227.33 | 227.10 | 0% | (0.01) | Tedford | |
2009 | Kansas | 2.70 | -7% | 207.24 | 206.91 | 0% | (0.01) | Mangino | |
2009 | Tennessee | 3.32 | 14% | 229.50 | 229.06 | 0% | (0.02) | Kiffen | |
2006 | Notre Dame | 3.25 | 11% | 226.70 | 226.21 | 0% | (0.02) | Weis | |
2007 | Alabama | 3.08 | 6% | 220.84 | 220.36 | 0% | (0.02) | Saban | |
2011 | USC | 3.85 | 32% | 248.03 | 247.36 | 0% | (0.02) | Kiffen | |
2006 | UCLA | 2.94 | 1% | 215.73 | 215.14 | 0% | (0.02) | Dorrell | |
2010 | Kansas State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.35 | 201.46 | 0% | (0.04) | Snyder | |
2011 | Georgia Tech | 2.90 | 0% | 214.48 | 213.54 | 0% | (0.04) | P. Johnson | |
2008 | NC State | 2.69 | -8% | 206.88 | 205.94 | 0% | (0.04) | O'Brien | |
2012 | Ole Miss | 3.07 | 5% | 220.35 | 219.28 | 0% | (0.04) | Freeze | |
2007 | Pittsburgh | 2.77 | -5% | 209.77 | 208.75 | 0% | (0.04) | Wannstedt | |
2010 | Syracuse | 2.39 | -18% | 196.31 | 195.24 | -1% | (0.05) | Marrone | |
2010 | Boston College | 2.66 | -9% | 205.99 | 204.75 | -1% | (0.05) | Spaziani | |
2007 | Maryland | 2.84 | -2% | 212.39 | 211.01 | -1% | (0.06) | Friedgen | |
2008 | Baylor | 2.36 | -19% | 195.24 | 193.84 | -1% | (0.06) | Briles | |
2010 | Clemson | 3.32 | 14% | 229.32 | 227.66 | -1% | (0.06) | Swinney | |
2007 | Colorado | 2.59 | -11% | 203.28 | 201.63 | -1% | (0.07) | Hawkins | |
2010 | Notre Dame | 3.62 | 24% | 239.86 | 237.63 | -1% | (0.08) | B. Kelly | |
2009 | Missouri | 2.73 | -6% | 208.44 | 206.50 | -1% | (0.08) | Pinkel | |
2006 | Alabama | 2.96 | 2% | 216.62 | 214.46 | -1% | (0.08) | Shula | |
2006 | Connecticut | 2.03 | -30% | 183.64 | 181.51 | -1% | (0.10) | Edsall | |
2008 | Wisconsin | 2.77 | -5% | 209.91 | 207.41 | -1% | (0.10) | Bielema | |
2009 | South Florida | 2.59 | -11% | 203.33 | 200.80 | -1% | (0.10) | Leavitt | |
2007 | Kansas State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.39 | 199.66 | -1% | (0.11) | Prince | |
2011 | Miami-FL | 3.17 | 9% | 224.17 | 221.03 | -1% | (0.12) | Golden | |
2011 | Syracuse | 2.39 | -18% | 196.22 | 193.43 | -1% | (0.12) | Marrone | |
2006 | Iowa | 2.76 | -5% | 209.51 | 206.48 | -1% | (0.12) | Ferentz | |
2012 | Virginia Tech | 3.01 | 3% | 218.48 | 215.14 | -2% | (0.13) | Beamer | |
2012 | Texas Tech | 2.98 | 2% | 217.28 | 213.77 | -2% | (0.14) | Tuberville | |
2012 | West Virginia | 2.97 | 2% | 216.75 | 213.18 | -2% | (0.14) | Holgorsen | |
2012 | Georgia Tech | 2.94 | 1% | 215.95 | 212.28 | -2% | (0.14) | P. Johnson | |
2009 | South Carolina | 3.15 | 8% | 223.37 | 219.49 | -2% | (0.15) | Spurrier | |
2012 | UCLA | 3.25 | 12% | 226.97 | 222.44 | -2% | (0.17) | Mora | |
2011 | Arizona State | 2.93 | 1% | 215.59 | 211.28 | -2% | (0.17) | Erickson | |
2007 | Purdue | 2.64 | -9% | 205.15 | 200.98 | -2% | (0.17) | Tiller | |
2008 | Florida State | 3.44 | 18% | 233.68 | 228.80 | -2% | (0.18) | B. Bowden | |
2007 | Texas | 3.64 | 25% | 240.57 | 235.52 | -2% | (0.18) | Brown | |
2010 | Arizona State | 2.97 | 2% | 216.93 | 212.30 | -2% | (0.18) | Erickson | |
2011 | Mississippi State | 2.87 | -1% | 213.46 | 208.84 | -2% | (0.18) | Mullen | |
2006 | Texas | 3.56 | 22% | 237.99 | 232.83 | -2% | (0.18) | Brown | |
2011 | Iowa State | 2.42 | -17% | 197.28 | 192.87 | -2% | (0.19) | Rhoads | |
2008 | Illinois | 2.86 | -2% | 213.15 | 208.16 | -2% | (0.20) | Zook | |
2011 | Wake Forest | 2.56 | -12% | 202.17 | 197.34 | -2% | (0.20) | Grobe | |
2011 | Northwestern | 2.64 | -9% | 205.15 | 199.81 | -3% | (0.22) | Fitzgerald | |
2011 | Illinois | 2.76 | -5% | 209.55 | 204.00 | -3% | (0.22) | Zook | |
2006 | Northwestern | 2.24 | -23% | 191.02 | 185.89 | -3% | (0.23) | Fitzgerald | |
2006 | Georgia | 3.51 | 20% | 236.04 | 229.57 | -3% | (0.23) | Richt | |
2012 | Pittsburgh | 3.00 | 3% | 218.04 | 212.05 | -3% | (0.23) | Chryst | |
2006 | Penn State | 3.18 | 9% | 224.44 | 218.15 | -3% | (0.24) | Paterno | |
2009 | Auburn | 3.23 | 11% | 226.13 | 219.63 | -3% | (0.24) | Chizik | |
2007 | Washington State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.35 | 196.00 | -3% | (0.27) | Doba | |
2011 | Penn State | 3.29 | 13% | 228.30 | 221.08 | -3% | (0.27) | Paterno/Bradley | |
2008 | Maryland | 2.85 | -2% | 212.66 | 205.86 | -3% | (0.27) | Friedgen | |
2008 | Nebraska | 3.18 | 9% | 224.53 | 217.32 | -3% | (0.27) | Pellini | |
2006 | Temple | 2.10 | -28% | 186.04 | 179.92 | -3% | (0.28) | Addazio | |
2008 | Kentucky | 2.38 | -18% | 196.04 | 189.37 | -3% | (0.29) | Brooks | |
2011 | Virginia | 2.71 | -7% | 207.55 | 200.47 | -3% | (0.29) | London | |
2008 | South Carolina | 3.07 | 5% | 220.30 | 212.66 | -3% | (0.29) | Spurrier | |
2006 | Maryland | 2.89 | -1% | 213.95 | 206.17 | -4% | (0.31) | Friedgen | |
2008 | Georgia | 3.62 | 24% | 239.90 | 231.10 | -4% | (0.31) | Richt | |
2009 | Mississippi State | 2.77 | -5% | 209.82 | 201.99 | -4% | (0.32) | Mullen | |
2006 | Syracuse | 2.30 | -21% | 193.11 | 185.61 | -4% | (0.33) | Robinson | |
2012 | North Carolina | 3.13 | 7% | 222.53 | 213.59 | -4% | (0.34) | Fedora | |
2009 | Rutgers | 2.71 | -7% | 207.82 | 199.38 | -4% | (0.34) | Schiano | |
2009 | Duke | 2.43 | -17% | 197.60 | 189.54 | -4% | (0.34) | Cutcliffe | |
2011 | Pittsburgh | 3.04 | 4% | 219.33 | 210.06 | -4% | (0.36) | Graham | |
2011 | Clemson | 3.35 | 15% | 230.35 | 220.49 | -4% | (0.36) | Swinney | |
2011 | Utah | 2.82 | -3% | 211.68 | 202.47 | -4% | (0.37) | Whittingham | |
2007 | Michigan | 3.56 | 22% | 237.99 | 227.34 | -4% | (0.38) | Carr | |
2008 | Stanford | 2.75 | -6% | 209.11 | 199.71 | -4% | (0.38) | Harbaugh | |
2012 | NC State | 2.75 | -6% | 209.15 | 199.54 | -5% | (0.39) | O'Brien | |
2006 | Kansas State | 2.71 | -7% | 207.82 | 198.25 | -5% | (0.39) | Prince | |
2010 | North Carolina | 3.18 | 9% | 224.39 | 214.03 | -5% | (0.39) | B. Davis | |
2006 | Indiana | 2.14 | -26% | 187.51 | 178.40 | -5% | (0.41) | Hoeppner | |
2008 | Virginia | 2.73 | -6% | 208.44 | 198.02 | -5% | (0.42) | Groh | |
2008 | Duke | 2.41 | -17% | 196.88 | 187.01 | -5% | (0.42) | Cutcliffe | |
2009 | Notre Dame | 3.68 | 26% | 242.12 | 229.98 | -5% | (0.42) | Weis | |
2006 | Arizona | 2.87 | -1% | 213.42 | 202.57 | -5% | (0.43) | M. Stoops | |
2011 | NC State | 2.81 | -4% | 211.24 | 200.46 | -5% | (0.43) | O'Brien | |
2010 | Baylor | 2.58 | -12% | 203.02 | 192.56 | -5% | (0.44) | Briles | |
2010 | Texas Tech | 2.85 | -2% | 212.62 | 201.42 | -5% | (0.44) | Tuberville | |
2009 | Iowa State | 2.34 | -20% | 194.35 | 183.83 | -5% | (0.46) | Rhoads | |
2008 | LSU | 3.65 | 25% | 240.92 | 227.79 | -5% | (0.46) | Miles | |
2006 | Colorado | 2.66 | -9% | 205.73 | 194.36 | -6% | (0.47) | Hawkins | |
2009 | Texas A&M | 3.14 | 8% | 222.79 | 210.17 | -6% | (0.48) | Sherman | |
2009 | Florida State | 3.37 | 16% | 231.06 | 217.94 | -6% | (0.48) | B. Bowden | |
2006 | Washington | 2.76 | -5% | 209.46 | 197.52 | -6% | (0.48) | Willingham | |
2009 | LSU | 3.67 | 26% | 241.81 | 227.48 | -6% | (0.50) | Miles | |
2006 | Baylor | 2.23 | -24% | 190.49 | 179.08 | -6% | (0.51) | Morriss | |
2011 | North Carolina | 3.21 | 10% | 225.46 | 211.83 | -6% | (0.51) | Withers | |
2008 | Purdue | 2.57 | -12% | 202.66 | 190.19 | -6% | (0.52) | Tiller | |
2007 | Stanford | 2.66 | -9% | 206.04 | 193.27 | -6% | (0.52) | Harbaugh | |
2012 | Washington | 2.98 | 2% | 217.24 | 203.54 | -6% | (0.53) | Sarkisian | |
2011 | California | 3.24 | 11% | 226.66 | 212.37 | -6% | (0.53) | Tedford | |
2009 | Vanderbilt | 2.33 | -20% | 194.22 | 181.70 | -6% | (0.54) | Bo. Johnson | |
2012 | Texas | 3.82 | 31% | 247.19 | 231.23 | -6% | (0.55) | Brown | |
2007 | NC State | 2.70 | -7% | 207.19 | 193.72 | -7% | (0.55) | O'Brien | |
2006 | Illinois | 2.60 | -11% | 203.59 | 190.13 | -7% | (0.56) | Zook | |
2009 | Arizona State | 2.96 | 2% | 216.57 | 202.22 | -7% | (0.56) | Erickson | |
2007 | North Carolina | 2.75 | -6% | 209.15 | 195.18 | -7% | (0.56) | B. Davis | |
2009 | NC State | 2.65 | -9% | 205.55 | 191.77 | -7% | (0.57) | O'Brien | |
2010 | Georgia | 3.60 | 24% | 239.41 | 223.22 | -7% | (0.57) | Richt | |
2008 | Minnesota | 2.53 | -13% | 201.37 | 187.70 | -7% | (0.57) | Brewster | |
2011 | Texas | 3.80 | 30% | 246.26 | 229.45 | -7% | (0.58) | Brown | |
2009 | Kansas State | 2.52 | -13% | 201.02 | 187.10 | -7% | (0.59) | Snyder | |
2006 | Purdue | 2.68 | -8% | 206.44 | 192.09 | -7% | (0.59) | Tiller | |
2009 | Minnesota | 2.64 | -9% | 205.11 | 190.46 | -7% | (0.60) | Brewster | |
2010 | Duke | 2.43 | -17% | 197.68 | 183.50 | -7% | (0.61) | Cutcliffe | |
2010 | Northwestern | 2.56 | -12% | 202.26 | 187.16 | -7% | (0.63) | Fitzgerald | |
2006 | Mississippi State | 2.50 | -14% | 200.35 | 185.16 | -8% | (0.64) | Croom | |
2012 | Indiana | 2.57 | -12% | 202.53 | 187.09 | -8% | (0.64) | Wilson | |
2012 | Arkansas | 2.98 | 2% | 217.42 | 200.79 | -8% | (0.65) | J.L. Smith | |
2012 | Missouri | 3.01 | 3% | 218.44 | 201.45 | -8% | (0.66) | Pinkel | |
2006 | Michigan State | 2.59 | -11% | 203.33 | 187.49 | -8% | (0.66) | J.L. Smith | |
2011 | Duke | 2.51 | -14% | 200.48 | 184.73 | -8% | (0.66) | Cutcliffe | |
2009 | Washington | 2.85 | -2% | 212.62 | 195.88 | -8% | (0.66) | Sarkisian | |
2006 | Florida State | 3.53 | 21% | 236.79 | 218.03 | -8% | (0.67) | B. Bowden | |
2006 | Virginia | 2.85 | -2% | 212.48 | 195.57 | -8% | (0.67) | Groh | |
2012 | Mississippi State | 2.98 | 2% | 217.15 | 199.84 | -8% | (0.67) | Mullen | |
2010 | Indiana | 2.35 | -19% | 194.97 | 179.34 | -8% | (0.68) | Lynch | |
2009 | Virginia | 2.61 | -10% | 204.08 | 187.70 | -8% | (0.68) | Groh | |
2010 | Iowa State | 2.36 | -19% | 195.15 | 179.42 | -8% | (0.68) | Rhoads | |
2012 | USC | 3.86 | 33% | 248.66 | 228.45 | -8% | (0.69) | Kiffen | |
2011 | Purdue | 2.52 | -13% | 201.02 | 184.48 | -8% | (0.70) | Hope | |
2006 | NC State | 2.83 | -3% | 211.82 | 193.85 | -8% | (0.72) | Amato | |
2010 | Ole Miss | 3.03 | 4% | 218.97 | 200.05 | -9% | (0.73) | Nutt | |
2007 | Northwestern | 2.33 | -20% | 194.13 | 177.29 | -9% | (0.73) | Fitzgerald | |
2009 | Syracuse | 2.40 | -18% | 196.66 | 179.51 | -9% | (0.74) | Marrone | |
2012 | Purdue | 2.61 | -10% | 204.22 | 186.23 | -9% | (0.74) | Hope | |
2012 | Duke | 2.53 | -13% | 201.20 | 183.40 | -9% | (0.75) | Cutcliffe | |
2009 | Georgia | 3.65 | 25% | 241.10 | 219.57 | -9% | (0.75) | Richt | |
2011 | Boston College | 2.66 | -9% | 205.86 | 187.27 | -9% | (0.76) | Spaziani | |
2009 | Indiana | 2.29 | -21% | 192.75 | 175.28 | -9% | (0.77) | Lynch | |
2007 | Iowa | 2.81 | -4% | 211.24 | 191.67 | -9% | (0.78) | Ferentz | |
2012 | Utah | 2.84 | -3% | 212.26 | 192.47 | -9% | (0.79) | Whittingham | |
2011 | Ohio State | 3.65 | 25% | 241.23 | 218.74 | -9% | (0.79) | Fickell | |
2010 | Colorado | 2.80 | -4% | 210.93 | 190.60 | -10% | (0.81) | Hawkins | |
2007 | Florida State | 3.47 | 19% | 234.66 | 211.80 | -10% | (0.82) | B. Bowden | |
2006 | Miami-FL | 3.52 | 21% | 236.52 | 213.47 | -10% | (0.82) | Coker | |
2009 | California | 3.15 | 8% | 223.33 | 201.49 | -10% | (0.83) | Tedford | |
2008 | Indiana | 2.18 | -25% | 188.80 | 170.23 | -10% | (0.83) | Lynch | |
2007 | Texas A&M | 3.01 | 3% | 218.22 | 196.61 | -10% | (0.84) | Franchione | |
2010 | Washington | 2.93 | 1% | 215.46 | 194.02 | -10% | (0.84) | Sarkisian | |
2011 | Washington | 2.99 | 3% | 217.55 | 195.61 | -10% | (0.85) | Sarkisian | |
2008 | Arkansas | 2.83 | -3% | 211.90 | 190.53 | -10% | (0.85) | Petrino | |
2006 | Iowa State | 2.34 | -20% | 194.48 | 174.59 | -10% | (0.86) | McCarney | |
2011 | Tennessee | 3.30 | 13% | 228.79 | 205.39 | -10% | (0.86) | Dooley | |
2010 | Georgia Tech | 3.03 | 4% | 218.97 | 196.49 | -10% | (0.87) | P. Johnson | |
2012 | Minnesota | 2.67 | -8% | 206.35 | 185.05 | -10% | (0.87) | Kill | |
2006 | Ole Miss | 2.73 | -6% | 208.26 | 186.71 | -10% | (0.87) | Orgeron | |
2012 | Iowa | 2.77 | -5% | 209.82 | 188.07 | -10% | (0.88) | Ferentz | |
2010 | Penn State | 3.31 | 14% | 229.10 | 205.03 | -11% | (0.89) | Paterno | |
2011 | Florida | 3.76 | 29% | 245.01 | 218.99 | -11% | (0.90) | Muschamp | |
2009 | USC | 4.02 | 38% | 254.21 | 226.75 | -11% | (0.91) | Carroll | |
2010 | Purdue | 2.49 | -15% | 199.86 | 178.11 | -11% | (0.92) | Hope | |
2012 | South Florida | 2.80 | -4% | 211.02 | 187.62 | -11% | (0.94) | S. Holtz | |
2008 | Arizona State | 2.94 | 1% | 215.77 | 191.79 | -11% | (0.94) | Erickson | |
2010 | Virginia | 2.67 | -8% | 206.39 | 182.87 | -11% | (0.96) | London | |
2008 | Tennessee | 3.34 | 15% | 230.21 | 203.75 | -11% | (0.97) | Fulmer | |
2007 | Minnesota | 2.34 | -20% | 194.57 | 171.94 | -12% | (0.98) | Brewster | |
2012 | Miami-FL | 3.16 | 9% | 223.77 | 197.33 | -12% | (1.00) | Golden | |
2009 | Baylor | 2.44 | -16% | 198.13 | 174.29 | -12% | (1.02) | Briles | |
2010 | Florida | 3.89 | 34% | 249.72 | 219.63 | -12% | (1.02) | Meyer | |
2008 | Kansas State | 2.63 | -10% | 204.79 | 179.61 | -12% | (1.04) | Prince | |
2010 | Michigan | 3.48 | 19% | 235.10 | 205.91 | -12% | (1.05) | Rodriguez | |
2008 | Syracuse | 2.44 | -16% | 198.08 | 173.13 | -13% | (1.06) | Robinson | |
2012 | Tennessee | 3.37 | 16% | 231.24 | 201.59 | -13% | (1.08) | Dooley | |
2010 | Tennessee | 3.37 | 16% | 231.10 | 201.41 | -13% | (1.09) | Dooley | |
2011 | Washington State | 2.47 | -15% | 199.02 | 173.39 | -13% | (1.09) | Wulff | |
2007 | Nebraska | 3.06 | 5% | 220.04 | 191.35 | -13% | (1.10) | Callahan | |
2009 | UCLA | 3.39 | 16% | 231.86 | 201.51 | -13% | (1.11) | Neuheisel | |
2007 | Iowa State | 2.34 | -20% | 194.40 | 168.86 | -13% | (1.11) | Chizik | |
2008 | Notre Dame | 3.59 | 23% | 238.88 | 207.45 | -13% | (1.11) | Weis | |
2011 | Arizona | 2.82 | -3% | 211.68 | 183.59 | -13% | (1.12) | M. Stoops | |
2012 | Boston College | 2.65 | -9% | 205.51 | 177.89 | -13% | (1.14) | Spaziani | |
2008 | Iowa State | 2.38 | -18% | 195.91 | 169.31 | -14% | (1.15) | Chizik | |
2008 | Auburn | 3.22 | 11% | 225.95 | 195.00 | -14% | (1.16) | Tuberville | |
2012 | Virginia | 2.82 | -3% | 211.46 | 182.30 | -14% | (1.17) | London | |
2010 | Minnesota | 2.72 | -7% | 208.13 | 179.25 | -14% | (1.17) | Brewster | |
2011 | Auburn | 3.31 | 14% | 229.15 | 197.31 | -14% | (1.17) | Chizik | |
2008 | Miami-FL | 3.49 | 20% | 235.50 | 202.69 | -14% | (1.18) | Shannon | |
2009 | Colorado | 2.81 | -4% | 211.06 | 181.59 | -14% | (1.18) | Hawkins | |
2007 | Ole Miss | 2.84 | -3% | 212.17 | 182.18 | -14% | (1.19) | Orgeron | |
2011 | Oregon State | 2.67 | -8% | 206.17 | 176.94 | -14% | (1.20) | Riley | |
2011 | Kentucky | 2.71 | -7% | 207.82 | 178.24 | -14% | (1.20) | Phillips | |
2009 | Maryland | 2.87 | -1% | 213.46 | 182.79 | -14% | (1.21) | Friedgen | |
2010 | Rutgers | 2.77 | -5% | 209.91 | 179.55 | -14% | (1.22) | Schiano | |
2010 | USC | 4.07 | 39% | 255.85 | 217.12 | -15% | (1.28) | Kiffen | |
2006 | North Carolina | 2.73 | -6% | 208.44 | 176.69 | -15% | (1.29) | Bunting | |
2010 | Vanderbilt | 2.44 | -16% | 198.08 | 167.46 | -15% | (1.31) | Caldwell | |
2011 | Texas Tech | 2.98 | 2% | 217.28 | 183.66 | -15% | (1.31) | Tuberville | |
2006 | Duke | 2.32 | -20% | 193.95 | 163.79 | -16% | (1.31) | Roof | |
2009 | Michigan | 3.57 | 23% | 238.26 | 200.97 | -16% | (1.32) | Rodriguez | |
2007 | Duke | 2.30 | -21% | 193.06 | 162.21 | -16% | (1.35) | Roof | |
2008 | Louisville | 2.81 | -4% | 211.24 | 176.80 | -16% | (1.38) | Kragthorpe | |
2012 | Maryland | 2.86 | -2% | 213.15 | 178.25 | -16% | (1.38) | Edsall | |
2010 | Wake Forest | 2.47 | -15% | 198.97 | 165.36 | -17% | (1.43) | Grobe | |
2012 | Washington State | 2.56 | -12% | 202.22 | 166.82 | -18% | (1.48) | Leach | |
2008 | Mississippi State | 2.61 | -11% | 203.99 | 167.92 | -18% | (1.49) | Croom | |
2012 | California | 3.24 | 11% | 226.66 | 185.95 | -18% | (1.52) | Tedford | |
2009 | Louisville | 2.74 | -6% | 208.62 | 171.14 | -18% | (1.52) | Kragthorpe | |
2010 | California | 3.19 | 9% | 224.61 | 184.03 | -18% | (1.53) | Tedford | |
2007 | Miami-FL | 3.50 | 20% | 235.72 | 193.02 | -18% | (1.53) | Shannon | |
2011 | Maryland | 2.89 | -1% | 213.99 | 174.15 | -19% | (1.57) | Edsall | |
2007 | Baylor | 2.22 | -24% | 190.35 | 154.89 | -19% | (1.57) | Morriss | |
2006 | Stanford | 2.65 | -9% | 205.68 | 167.05 | -19% | (1.59) | Harris | |
2008 | Colorado | 2.79 | -4% | 210.53 | 170.65 | -19% | (1.60) | Hawkins | |
2009 | Illinois | 2.90 | 0% | 214.48 | 173.17 | -19% | (1.63) | Zook | |
2011 | Minnesota | 2.78 | -5% | 210.08 | 169.48 | -19% | (1.63) | Kill | |
2007 | Syracuse | 2.34 | -20% | 194.62 | 156.86 | -19% | (1.64) | Robinson | |
2010 | Washington State | 2.49 | -15% | 199.82 | 159.88 | -20% | (1.69) | Wulff | |
2010 | Texas | 3.80 | 30% | 246.26 | 196.23 | -20% | (1.72) | Brown | |
2012 | Wake Forest | 2.61 | -10% | 204.08 | 161.74 | -21% | (1.75) | Grobe | |
2011 | Indiana | 2.46 | -16% | 198.66 | 156.98 | -21% | (1.77) | Wilson | |
2008 | Michigan | 3.59 | 23% | 238.83 | 188.46 | -21% | (1.78) | Rodriguez | |
2012 | Kansas | 2.74 | -6% | 208.66 | 164.00 | -21% | (1.81) | Weis | |
2012 | Illinois | 2.70 | -7% | 207.24 | 161.45 | -22% | (1.87) | Beckman | |
2008 | UCLA | 3.31 | 14% | 229.06 | 178.23 | -22% | (1.87) | Neuheisel | |
2010 | UCLA | 3.50 | 20% | 235.64 | 183.35 | -22% | (1.87) | Neuheisel | |
2011 | UCLA | 3.35 | 15% | 230.35 | 178.43 | -23% | (1.90) | Neuheisel | |
2011 | Ole Miss | 3.02 | 4% | 218.62 | 166.72 | -24% | (2.01) | Nutt | |
2007 | Notre Dame | 3.31 | 14% | 228.97 | 172.19 | -25% | (2.10) | Weis | |
2012 | Kentucky | 2.79 | -4% | 210.44 | 158.06 | -25% | (2.10) | Phillips | |
2011 | Colorado | 2.76 | -5% | 209.46 | 154.69 | -26% | (2.21) | Embree | |
2008 | Texas A&M | 3.13 | 7% | 222.53 | 163.12 | -27% | (2.26) | Sherman | |
2010 | Kansas | 2.75 | -6% | 209.11 | 153.00 | -27% | (2.27) | Gill | |
2011 | Kansas | 2.86 | -2% | 212.84 | 152.71 | -28% | (2.39) | Gill | |
2012 | Auburn | 3.48 | 19% | 235.06 | 162.87 | -31% | (2.59) | Chizik | |
2008 | Washington | 2.81 | -4% | 211.24 | 143.28 | -32% | (2.72) | Willingham | |
2008 | Washington State | 2.45 | -16% | 198.57 | 125.55 | -37% | (3.11) | Wulff | |
2009 | Washington State | 2.49 | -15% | 199.77 | 125.81 | -37% | (3.13) | Wulff | |
2012 | Colorado | 2.67 | -8% | 206.22 | 128.02 | -38% | (3.20) | Embree | |
Average | 2.91 | 214.94 | 214.93 | 0.00 | |||||
Standard Deviation | 0.43 | 15.34 | 29.58 | 0.12 |
"I was told there would be no math."
I will be the first to admit that I am not a statistician. My unspectacular grades in my undergrad and graduate stats classes are proof positive of that fact. I do utilize lots of numbers and some statistical analyses in my professional life, but I am seldom the person actually designing the stat studies. A few extremely quant-savvy and helpful readers pointed out some of the pitfalls in the regression analysis I was doing. But I have to admit, when concepts like serial correlation and heteroscedasticity enter the fray, I am rapidly getting out of my depth.
Several other readers pointed out that the r-squared value of the statistical relationship between Apparent Talent and Team Quality didn’t exactly knock their socks off. I can recall multiple stats professors and quant professionals telling me not to get too wrapped up in r-squared because while it is intuitively appealing it isn’t the silver bullet of stats interpretation that most non-nerds think it is. They instead extolled the virtues of t-tests, z-scores, and P-values and…zzzzzzz.
Anyway, I wanted to get away from the heavy duty regression-centric discussion and couch the relationship in terms that most of us can relate to better. In order to do this, I ranked all 466 team seasons from AQ conferences in terms of Team Quality and then looked at the distribution. Lo and behold, the distribution was extremely close to a normal distribution that even those among us who struggled with Stats 101 ought to be familiar with:

In this case, instead of using just F/+ as the proxy for Team Quality, I decided to be a bit more democratic and inclusive and used an equally weighted composite of FO’s F/+, FO’s S&P+, and Jeff Sagarin’s Predictor ranking. I call this three-headed bastard Quality Composite. You will recall also that I am now using a composite of Scout and Rivals four year average star rankings as my Apparent Talent measure.
Year | School | Coach | Apparent Talent | F/+ Rtg | S&P+ | Sagarin Predictor | Quality Composite | Rank |
2011 | Alabama | Saban | 3.70 | 307.75 | 332.95 | 102.72 | 300.00 | 1 |
2012 | Alabama | Saban | 3.72 | 301.28 | 312.27 | 101.75 | 290.74 | 2 |
2008 | USC | Carroll | 4.07 | 295.19 | 311.86 | 102.16 | 289.04 | 3 |
2008 | Florida | Meyer | 3.82 | 298.74 | 299.39 | 102.62 | 286.89 | 4 |
2011 | LSU | Miles | 3.61 | 293.64 | 297.47 | 98.31 | 280.46 | 5 |
2009 | Alabama | Saban | 3.52 | 282.37 | 284.40 | 97.87 | 272.45 | 6 |
2009 | Florida | Meyer | 3.89 | 281.55 | 290.92 | 94.68 | 271.03 | 7 |
2008 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.52 | 270.83 | 278.74 | 97.91 | 267.04 | 8 |
2010 | Alabama | Saban | 3.53 | 274.94 | 272.85 | 96.36 | 265.09 | 9 |
2010 | Stanford | Harbaugh | 3.03 | 266.35 | 263.92 | 100.91 | 264.05 | 10 |
2012 | Oregon | C. Kelly | 3.32 | 276.60 | 270.46 | 95.37 | 263.96 | 11 |
2009 | Texas | Brown | 3.73 | 275.74 | 280.50 | 92.51 | 263.90 | 12 |
2011 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 2.99 | 275.80 | 266.21 | 95.86 | 262.89 | 13 |
2008 | Texas | Brown | 3.70 | 273.01 | 268.61 | 95.25 | 262.11 | 14 |
2012 | Texas A&M | Sumlin | 3.17 | 270.18 | 263.59 | 96.34 | 260.75 | 15 |
2008 | Penn State | Paterno | 3.26 | 268.08 | 268.77 | 94.30 | 259.63 | 16 |
2006 | LSU | Miles | 3.57 | 263.76 | 280.79 | 91.80 | 259.41 | 17 |
2010 | Auburn | Chizik | 3.22 | 272.94 | 259.35 | 93.56 | 257.66 | 18 |
2010 | Ohio State | Tressel | 3.70 | 267.86 | 271.78 | 90.34 | 256.61 | 19 |
2011 | Oregon | C. Kelly | 3.28 | 267.53 | 264.62 | 92.48 | 256.44 | 20 |
2006 | Louisville | Petrino | 2.48 | 258.51 | 274.76 | 92.26 | 256.34 | 21 |
2007 | Ohio State | Tressel | 3.53 | 266.89 | 277.63 | 87.96 | 255.73 | 22 |
2006 | Florida | Meyer | 3.64 | 262.53 | 268.57 | 91.93 | 255.46 | 23 |
2007 | LSU | Miles | 3.63 | 267.44 | 261.24 | 92.43 | 255.34 | 24 |
2007 | USC | Carroll | 4.11 | 266.21 | 262.35 | 92.38 | 255.23 | 25 |
2006 | Ohio State | Tressel | 3.46 | 256.04 | 271.52 | 92.64 | 254.93 | 26 |
2009 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 2.90 | 262.99 | 255.38 | 92.71 | 252.41 | 27 |
2006 | USC | Carroll | 3.90 | 254.59 | 254.15 | 95.21 | 251.75 | 28 |
2010 | Oregon | C. Kelly | 3.20 | 253.04 | 248.91 | 97.28 | 251.68 | 29 |
2012 | Florida | Muschamp | 3.75 | 268.32 | 258.45 | 88.97 | 251.42 | 30 |
2011 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.87 | 258.56 | 255.60 | 92.90 | 251.22 | 31 |
2009 | Penn State | Paterno | 3.30 | 260.55 | 275.43 | 85.60 | 250.72 | 32 |
2011 | Stanford | Shaw | 3.18 | 256.94 | 252.84 | 93.01 | 249.98 | 33 |
2012 | Georgia | Richt | 3.61 | 258.20 | 254.59 | 91.96 | 249.89 | 34 |
2012 | Florida State | Fisher | 3.64 | 259.04 | 263.43 | 88.89 | 249.83 | 35 |
2009 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.49 | 254.52 | 269.03 | 88.52 | 249.68 | 36 |
2011 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.65 | 255.39 | 252.87 | 93.02 | 249.49 | 37 |
2007 | West Virginia | Rodriguez | 2.57 | 265.42 | 259.85 | 87.33 | 249.31 | 38 |
2007 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.47 | 254.55 | 247.88 | 94.55 | 249.21 | 39 |
2007 | Florida | Meyer | 3.73 | 258.92 | 249.26 | 92.23 | 248.79 | 40 |
2008 | Alabama | Saban | 3.31 | 254.68 | 261.76 | 89.00 | 248.02 | 41 |
2009 | Nebraska | Pellini | 3.15 | 251.02 | 260.00 | 89.64 | 246.92 | 42 |
2007 | Oregon | Bellotti | 2.89 | 255.63 | 243.97 | 92.98 | 246.86 | 43 |
2012 | Notre Dame | B. Kelly | 3.49 | 254.87 | 253.35 | 90.23 | 246.75 | 44 |
2009 | Ohio State | Tressel | 3.76 | 255.56 | 251.73 | 89.08 | 245.37 | 45 |
2006 | Michigan | Carr | 3.60 | 247.44 | 261.63 | 88.73 | 245.36 | 46 |
2010 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.55 | 256.83 | 249.67 | 88.66 | 244.75 | 47 |
2010 | Arkansas | Petrino | 2.89 | 257.06 | 250.46 | 87.09 | 243.54 | 48 |
2008 | Ohio State | Tressel | 3.71 | 250.28 | 252.64 | 87.87 | 242.75 | 49 |
2010 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 3.01 | 249.64 | 246.28 | 89.11 | 241.84 | 50 |
2011 | Michigan | Hoke | 3.40 | 252.79 | 246.91 | 87.34 | 241.33 | 51 |
2006 | West Virginia | Rodriguez | 2.43 | 245.76 | 253.51 | 87.33 | 241.01 | 52 |
2007 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 2.88 | 250.14 | 247.10 | 87.75 | 240.92 | 53 |
2012 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.57 | 253.94 | 246.27 | 86.18 | 240.38 | 54 |
2012 | LSU | Miles | 3.57 | 251.89 | 246.04 | 86.47 | 239.92 | 55 |
2012 | Kansas State | Snyder | 2.37 | 253.72 | 232.50 | 89.82 | 239.71 | 56 |
2012 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 3.01 | 250.52 | 241.35 | 88.10 | 239.66 | 57 |
2008 | Ole Miss | Nutt | 2.88 | 249.95 | 244.38 | 87.34 | 239.64 | 58 |
2012 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 3.15 | 247.39 | 242.25 | 88.38 | 239.18 | 59 |
2012 | Stanford | Shaw | 3.37 | 251.14 | 237.97 | 86.86 | 237.64 | 60 |
2010 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 2.98 | 250.58 | 241.74 | 85.83 | 237.59 | 61 |
2008 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.83 | 242.22 | 242.06 | 88.20 | 237.27 | 62 |
2009 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.61 | 250.20 | 248.18 | 83.50 | 237.13 | 63 |
2011 | USC | Kiffen | 3.85 | 247.36 | 239.82 | 86.97 | 237.07 | 64 |
2010 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.87 | 249.23 | 244.32 | 84.88 | 237.00 | 65 |
2011 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 2.95 | 247.57 | 245.33 | 85.03 | 236.91 | 66 |
2011 | Georgia | Richt | 3.63 | 245.54 | 251.21 | 83.64 | 236.66 | 67 |
2011 | Florida State | Fisher | 3.49 | 248.30 | 246.84 | 83.99 | 236.58 | 68 |
2007 | Georgia | Richt | 3.56 | 247.55 | 231.00 | 88.61 | 236.08 | 69 |
2010 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.90 | 246.58 | 241.33 | 85.66 | 236.00 | 70 |
2006 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.31 | 237.43 | 245.35 | 87.47 | 235.99 | 71 |
2011 | Notre Dame | B. Kelly | 3.57 | 246.90 | 248.81 | 83.15 | 235.90 | 72 |
2011 | Texas A&M | Sherman | 3.13 | 242.06 | 241.28 | 86.71 | 235.53 | 73 |
2006 | Oklahoma | B. Stoops | 3.55 | 239.43 | 246.21 | 85.84 | 235.31 | 74 |
2008 | Texas Tech | Leach | 2.79 | 241.45 | 238.47 | 87.15 | 234.92 | 75 |
2010 | LSU | Miles | 3.67 | 242.04 | 233.33 | 88.14 | 234.53 | 76 |
2006 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 2.86 | 239.50 | 251.02 | 83.32 | 234.33 | 77 |
2008 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.73 | 239.44 | 244.85 | 84.65 | 233.75 | 78 |
2011 | Arkansas | Petrino | 2.93 | 239.71 | 234.61 | 87.43 | 233.47 | 79 |
2010 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 3.15 | 243.90 | 242.38 | 83.35 | 233.19 | 80 |
2006 | Tennessee | Fulmer | 3.32 | 241.00 | 245.82 | 83.16 | 233.10 | 81 |
2006 | California | Tedford | 3.11 | 233.50 | 228.41 | 90.98 | 233.05 | 82 |
2007 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.60 | 247.66 | 248.60 | 79.52 | 232.55 | 83 |
2007 | Clemson | T. Bowden | 2.95 | 243.72 | 239.58 | 83.60 | 232.54 | 84 |
2009 | Pittsburgh | Wannstedt | 3.18 | 241.91 | 240.55 | 83.73 | 232.37 | 85 |
2010 | Florida State | Fisher | 3.38 | 237.94 | 232.29 | 87.59 | 232.35 | 86 |
2012 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.69 | 239.92 | 234.30 | 85.82 | 231.88 | 87 |
2006 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.61 | 235.41 | 244.30 | 84.14 | 231.78 | 88 |
2009 | Oregon | C. Kelly | 3.02 | 240.31 | 230.51 | 85.77 | 230.81 | 89 |
2012 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.93 | 240.76 | 237.34 | 83.21 | 230.52 | 90 |
2012 | Ohio State | Meyer | 3.62 | 245.87 | 234.28 | 82.34 | 230.42 | 91 |
2007 | Texas | Brown | 3.64 | 235.52 | 236.04 | 85.13 | 230.30 | 92 |
2010 | Notre Dame | B. Kelly | 3.62 | 237.63 | 238.04 | 83.54 | 230.04 | 93 |
2011 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 3.11 | 231.51 | 235.50 | 86.24 | 229.91 | 94 |
2006 | Texas | Brown | 3.56 | 232.83 | 235.26 | 85.85 | 229.89 | 95 |
2012 | Clemson | Swinney | 3.36 | 236.72 | 235.87 | 84.34 | 229.87 | 96 |
2008 | Oregon | Bellotti | 3.00 | 232.06 | 236.04 | 85.78 | 229.80 | 97 |
2006 | Arkansas | Nutt | 2.73 | 237.36 | 240.32 | 82.59 | 229.71 | 98 |
2007 | Auburn | Tuberville | 3.08 | 241.67 | 233.68 | 83.02 | 229.53 | 99 |
2012 | Michigan | Hoke | 3.40 | 238.70 | 237.73 | 82.37 | 229.15 | 100 |
2009 | Texas Tech | Leach | 2.85 | 237.25 | 236.75 | 83.05 | 229.05 | 101 |
2009 | Clemson | Swinney | 3.35 | 240.49 | 230.12 | 83.83 | 228.87 | 102 |
2006 | Clemson | T. Bowden | 2.86 | 233.89 | 240.93 | 82.36 | 228.54 | 103 |
2012 | Nebraska | Pellini | 3.22 | 239.79 | 240.62 | 80.24 | 228.30 | 104 |
2006 | Auburn | Tuberville | 3.04 | 233.08 | 233.44 | 84.43 | 228.04 | 105 |
2007 | South Florida | Leavitt | 2.36 | 245.88 | 239.16 | 78.32 | 227.97 | 106 |
2008 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 2.90 | 232.41 | 236.52 | 83.61 | 227.95 | 107 |
2010 | Texas A&M | Sherman | 3.16 | 237.67 | 236.89 | 81.49 | 227.71 | 108 |
2010 | Nebraska | Pellini | 3.11 | 240.63 | 234.29 | 81.22 | 227.63 | 109 |
2010 | West Virginia | Stewart | 2.95 | 239.71 | 239.12 | 79.82 | 227.41 | 110 |
2010 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.77 | 234.32 | 227.05 | 85.28 | 227.35 | 111 |
2008 | Georgia | Richt | 3.62 | 231.10 | 236.69 | 83.36 | 227.33 | 112 |
2009 | Cincinnati | B. Kelly | 2.27 | 235.08 | 230.84 | 83.74 | 227.24 | 113 |
2009 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.82 | 240.09 | 237.23 | 80.04 | 227.18 | 114 |
2007 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.43 | 222.41 | 231.07 | 87.47 | 226.82 | 115 |
2010 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.67 | 235.45 | 231.45 | 82.93 | 226.75 | 116 |
2012 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 3.04 | 241.37 | 241.35 | 77.73 | 226.59 | 117 |
2008 | California | Tedford | 3.26 | 227.10 | 232.88 | 84.96 | 226.45 | 118 |
2009 | Ole Miss | Nutt | 3.01 | 233.84 | 231.08 | 82.68 | 225.88 | 119 |
2007 | Louisville | Kragthorpe | 2.67 | 218.06 | 216.94 | 92.26 | 225.83 | 120 |
2006 | Boston College | O'Brien | 2.67 | 235.17 | 236.31 | 80.46 | 225.72 | 121 |
2006 | Georgia | Richt | 3.51 | 229.57 | 226.41 | 85.02 | 225.37 | 122 |
2008 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 3.11 | 228.66 | 230.10 | 84.11 | 225.29 | 123 |
2009 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.57 | 233.40 | 245.30 | 77.61 | 225.07 | 124 |
2007 | Tennessee | Fulmer | 3.41 | 236.54 | 227.01 | 82.19 | 225.06 | 125 |
2006 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 2.85 | 230.10 | 237.00 | 81.21 | 225.01 | 126 |
2011 | Texas | Brown | 3.80 | 229.45 | 226.83 | 84.28 | 224.73 | 127 |
2009 | Miami-FL | Shannon | 3.41 | 235.59 | 225.48 | 82.63 | 224.71 | 128 |
2011 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.98 | 229.07 | 223.42 | 85.00 | 224.29 | 129 |
2009 | Georgia Tech | P. Johnson | 2.91 | 231.64 | 222.14 | 84.45 | 224.20 | 130 |
2009 | Arkansas | Petrino | 2.88 | 228.93 | 229.17 | 82.93 | 223.95 | 131 |
2008 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.56 | 223.01 | 226.31 | 85.54 | 223.71 | 132 |
2007 | Penn State | Paterno | 3.23 | 226.80 | 237.48 | 80.76 | 223.64 | 133 |
2010 | Pittsburgh | Wannstedt | 3.17 | 231.00 | 231.10 | 81.15 | 223.47 | 134 |
2007 | Boston College | Jagodzinski | 2.66 | 232.94 | 231.11 | 80.46 | 223.43 | 135 |
2007 | Texas Tech | Leach | 2.71 | 227.93 | 233.54 | 81.15 | 223.21 | 136 |
2007 | Kansas | Mangino | 2.39 | 244.10 | 245.14 | 71.91 | 222.95 | 137 |
2011 | Baylor | Briles | 2.69 | 226.90 | 227.25 | 83.11 | 222.89 | 138 |
2012 | Texas | Brown | 3.82 | 231.23 | 220.63 | 83.52 | 222.71 | 139 |
2010 | Miami-FL | Shannon | 3.33 | 233.53 | 231.28 | 79.45 | 222.69 | 140 |
2012 | Baylor | Briles | 2.81 | 225.01 | 221.83 | 84.71 | 222.21 | 141 |
2009 | Tennessee | Kiffen | 3.32 | 229.06 | 233.60 | 79.62 | 222.10 | 142 |
2008 | LSU | Miles | 3.65 | 227.79 | 225.75 | 82.34 | 221.98 | 143 |
2007 | Arkansas | Nutt | 2.77 | 230.74 | 221.60 | 82.59 | 221.94 | 144 |
2012 | Penn State | O'Brien | 3.19 | 229.93 | 230.92 | 79.78 | 221.73 | 145 |
2008 | Florida State | B. Bowden | 3.44 | 228.80 | 219.08 | 83.78 | 221.71 | 146 |
2011 | West Virginia | Holgorsen | 2.90 | 232.35 | 224.39 | 80.86 | 221.61 | 147 |
2006 | Nebraska | Callahan | 2.97 | 225.14 | 229.66 | 81.64 | 221.61 | 148 |
2009 | USC | Carroll | 4.02 | 226.75 | 224.45 | 82.41 | 221.32 | 149 |
2012 | USC | Kiffen | 3.86 | 228.45 | 227.19 | 80.87 | 221.20 | 150 |
2008 | Clemson | Swinney | 3.22 | 227.81 | 228.05 | 80.78 | 221.16 | 151 |
2009 | LSU | Miles | 3.67 | 227.48 | 216.99 | 84.21 | 221.07 | 152 |
2008 | Pittsburgh | Wannstedt | 3.03 | 233.25 | 227.24 | 78.53 | 220.49 | 153 |
2007 | Michigan | Carr | 3.56 | 227.34 | 225.05 | 80.97 | 220.29 | 154 |
2009 | Notre Dame | Weis | 3.68 | 229.98 | 230.33 | 78.29 | 220.12 | 155 |
2007 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.48 | 227.49 | 225.02 | 80.45 | 219.82 | 156 |
2007 | UCLA | Dorrell | 3.09 | 229.48 | 222.43 | 80.57 | 219.81 | 157 |
2011 | Nebraska | Pellini | 3.16 | 225.98 | 226.12 | 80.49 | 219.70 | 158 |
2006 | Penn State | Paterno | 3.18 | 218.15 | 231.82 | 81.29 | 219.65 | 159 |
2012 | Ole Miss | Freeze | 3.07 | 219.28 | 229.22 | 81.59 | 219.53 | 160 |
2011 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 3.00 | 228.00 | 229.47 | 78.54 | 219.47 | 161 |
2012 | Arizona State | Graham | 2.84 | 218.07 | 221.29 | 83.77 | 218.87 | 162 |
2006 | Notre Dame | Weis | 3.25 | 226.21 | 227.09 | 79.26 | 218.87 | 163 |
2006 | Georgia Tech | Gailey | 2.51 | 225.96 | 229.34 | 78.61 | 218.83 | 164 |
2007 | Cincinnati | B. Kelly | 2.08 | 242.07 | 232.32 | 72.17 | 218.69 | 165 |
2007 | California | Tedford | 3.19 | 228.41 | 221.33 | 79.56 | 218.14 | 166 |
2010 | Georgia | Richt | 3.60 | 223.22 | 227.28 | 78.84 | 217.55 | 167 |
2010 | Mississippi State | Mullen | 2.81 | 221.75 | 215.35 | 83.00 | 217.54 | 168 |
2010 | Arizona State | Erickson | 2.97 | 212.30 | 218.22 | 84.97 | 217.25 | 169 |
2007 | Kentucky | Brooks | 2.31 | 231.63 | 225.35 | 76.24 | 217.17 | 170 |
2012 | TCU | Patterson | 2.89 | 224.65 | 222.12 | 79.56 | 217.16 | 171 |
2006 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.60 | 221.55 | 225.58 | 79.52 | 217.16 | 172 |
2007 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.68 | 216.13 | 216.33 | 84.14 | 217.11 | 173 |
2008 | Boston College | Jagodzinski | 2.68 | 226.27 | 222.53 | 78.82 | 217.09 | 174 |
2010 | Florida | Meyer | 3.89 | 219.63 | 216.98 | 82.38 | 216.73 | 175 |
2012 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.74 | 225.85 | 215.14 | 80.76 | 216.62 | 176 |
2008 | Nebraska | Pellini | 3.18 | 217.32 | 226.04 | 80.16 | 216.54 | 177 |
2008 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 2.92 | 221.03 | 217.13 | 81.54 | 216.41 | 178 |
2009 | Connecticut | Edsall | 2.23 | 222.81 | 221.16 | 79.61 | 216.33 | 179 |
2011 | Penn State | Paterno/Bradley | 3.29 | 221.08 | 228.85 | 77.81 | 216.32 | 180 |
2010 | USC | Kiffen | 4.07 | 217.12 | 217.00 | 82.74 | 216.28 | 181 |
2010 | Illinois | Zook | 2.84 | 220.76 | 222.14 | 79.92 | 216.25 | 182 |
2009 | Stanford | Harbaugh | 2.87 | 223.82 | 213.30 | 81.61 | 216.24 | 183 |
2007 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 2.83 | 215.79 | 224.99 | 80.59 | 216.15 | 184 |
2010 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 2.82 | 229.54 | 230.15 | 74.41 | 216.15 | 185 |
2007 | Arizona State | Erickson | 2.78 | 232.48 | 220.04 | 76.38 | 215.99 | 186 |
2006 | Texas Tech | Leach | 2.74 | 214.60 | 223.42 | 81.15 | 215.83 | 187 |
2010 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 2.89 | 214.75 | 224.24 | 80.78 | 215.77 | 188 |
2008 | North Carolina | B. Davis | 2.90 | 230.43 | 212.53 | 79.08 | 215.69 | 189 |
2006 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 2.74 | 218.61 | 222.07 | 79.73 | 215.35 | 190 |
2006 | Florida State | B. Bowden | 3.53 | 218.03 | 222.80 | 79.61 | 215.27 | 191 |
2011 | Cincinnati | B. Jones | 2.49 | 228.14 | 215.76 | 78.35 | 215.21 | 192 |
2009 | North Carolina | B. Davis | 3.10 | 222.34 | 218.90 | 79.31 | 215.20 | 193 |
2012 | UCLA | Mora | 3.25 | 222.44 | 217.27 | 79.62 | 215.05 | 194 |
2009 | Oklahoma State | Gundy | 2.99 | 223.31 | 227.48 | 76.07 | 214.94 | 195 |
2009 | Boston College | Spaziani | 2.62 | 224.90 | 223.18 | 76.68 | 214.76 | 196 |
2008 | West Virginia | Stewart | 2.66 | 221.99 | 221.34 | 78.21 | 214.75 | 197 |
2006 | South Florida | Leavitt | 2.25 | 217.80 | 225.44 | 78.32 | 214.73 | 198 |
2012 | Louisville | Strong | 2.77 | 227.45 | 219.22 | 77.01 | 214.72 | 199 |
2008 | Connecticut | Edsall | 2.20 | 223.32 | 226.31 | 76.01 | 214.53 | 200 |
2011 | Florida | Muschamp | 3.76 | 218.99 | 223.15 | 78.33 | 214.44 | 201 |
2009 | Auburn | Chizik | 3.23 | 219.63 | 222.86 | 78.09 | 214.32 | 202 |
2006 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.45 | 217.55 | 217.35 | 80.45 | 214.29 | 203 |
2009 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 3.15 | 219.49 | 230.60 | 75.66 | 214.24 | 204 |
2008 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.33 | 223.80 | 213.96 | 78.86 | 213.75 | 205 |
2012 | Cincinnati | B. Jones | 2.62 | 228.71 | 213.44 | 77.35 | 213.72 | 206 |
2011 | Kansas State | Snyder | 2.58 | 224.40 | 206.56 | 80.86 | 213.67 | 207 |
2010 | Clemson | Swinney | 3.32 | 227.66 | 218.91 | 75.93 | 213.64 | 208 |
2007 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 2.94 | 219.00 | 215.89 | 79.51 | 213.41 | 209 |
2006 | Texas A&M | Franchione | 3.05 | 220.62 | 223.00 | 76.73 | 213.36 | 210 |
2009 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 2.99 | 223.45 | 221.28 | 76.29 | 213.34 | 211 |
2006 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.29 | 219.89 | 213.80 | 79.60 | 213.15 | 212 |
2009 | Georgia | Richt | 3.65 | 219.57 | 213.52 | 79.38 | 212.75 | 213 |
2008 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.54 | 220.07 | 221.05 | 76.89 | 212.75 | 214 |
2006 | Pittsburgh | Wannstedt | 2.61 | 212.50 | 219.83 | 79.65 | 212.62 | 215 |
2009 | Florida State | B. Bowden | 3.37 | 217.94 | 220.34 | 77.48 | 212.42 | 216 |
2008 | Cincinnati | B. Kelly | 2.17 | 224.33 | 222.18 | 74.73 | 212.37 | 217 |
2008 | Kansas | Mangino | 2.60 | 211.05 | 222.05 | 78.91 | 212.09 | 218 |
2012 | Georgia Tech | P. Johnson | 2.94 | 212.28 | 225.21 | 77.49 | 212.06 | 219 |
2007 | Alabama | Saban | 3.08 | 220.36 | 210.60 | 79.14 | 211.90 | 220 |
2010 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.62 | 206.74 | 219.39 | 80.96 | 211.88 | 221 |
2007 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 2.93 | 220.45 | 213.22 | 78.20 | 211.80 | 222 |
2012 | Syracuse | Marrone | 2.43 | 220.49 | 212.22 | 78.37 | 211.68 | 223 |
2006 | UCLA | Dorrell | 2.94 | 215.14 | 216.10 | 78.47 | 211.20 | 224 |
2008 | South Florida | Leavitt | 2.42 | 218.90 | 220.75 | 75.70 | 211.12 | 225 |
2012 | Arizona | Rodriguez | 2.78 | 219.59 | 220.87 | 75.41 | 211.10 | 226 |
2010 | Maryland | Friedgen | 2.88 | 217.86 | 213.69 | 78.06 | 210.97 | 227 |
2011 | Vanderbilt | Franklin | 2.51 | 215.49 | 218.92 | 77.07 | 210.80 | 228 |
2011 | Miami-FL | Golden | 3.17 | 221.03 | 213.05 | 76.63 | 210.41 | 229 |
2011 | California | Tedford | 3.24 | 212.37 | 219.90 | 77.24 | 210.25 | 230 |
2011 | Ohio State | Fickell | 3.65 | 218.74 | 217.25 | 75.85 | 210.17 | 231 |
2008 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 2.62 | 213.00 | 217.30 | 77.54 | 209.96 | 232 |
2012 | Texas Tech | Tuberville | 2.98 | 213.77 | 214.46 | 77.97 | 209.78 | 233 |
2012 | North Carolina | Fedora | 3.13 | 213.59 | 211.24 | 78.78 | 209.54 | 234 |
2012 | Vanderbilt | Franklin | 2.71 | 212.19 | 209.40 | 79.78 | 209.51 | 235 |
2006 | Oregon | Bellotti | 2.78 | 211.81 | 217.30 | 77.30 | 209.34 | 236 |
2011 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.80 | 224.23 | 203.63 | 76.99 | 208.97 | 237 |
2011 | Clemson | Swinney | 3.35 | 220.49 | 211.92 | 75.57 | 208.86 | 238 |
2012 | Rutgers | Flood | 2.92 | 219.28 | 215.31 | 74.76 | 208.70 | 239 |
2006 | Arizona State | Koetter | 2.82 | 212.98 | 216.17 | 76.38 | 208.49 | 240 |
2007 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.27 | 212.92 | 205.53 | 79.60 | 208.41 | 241 |
2011 | South Florida | S. Holtz | 2.73 | 218.78 | 216.83 | 74.09 | 208.34 | 242 |
2006 | Miami-FL | Coker | 3.52 | 213.47 | 220.15 | 74.82 | 208.32 | 243 |
2009 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.39 | 214.16 | 221.80 | 74.04 | 208.28 | 244 |
2009 | Texas A&M | Sherman | 3.14 | 210.17 | 231.32 | 72.19 | 208.04 | 245 |
2008 | South Carolina | Spurrier | 3.07 | 212.66 | 213.15 | 76.84 | 207.92 | 246 |
2010 | North Carolina | B. Davis | 3.18 | 214.03 | 213.98 | 76.10 | 207.90 | 247 |
2006 | Cincinnati | B. Kelly | 2.04 | 215.05 | 225.55 | 72.17 | 207.88 | 248 |
2006 | Alabama | Shula | 2.96 | 214.46 | 220.94 | 73.76 | 207.85 | 249 |
2006 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.76 | 206.48 | 216.04 | 77.73 | 207.65 | 250 |
2007 | Illinois | Zook | 2.69 | 230.83 | 234.46 | 63.87 | 207.60 | 251 |
2011 | Arizona State | Erickson | 2.93 | 211.28 | 210.00 | 77.62 | 207.29 | 252 |
2007 | Georgia Tech | Gailey | 2.68 | 209.02 | 208.79 | 78.61 | 207.15 | 253 |
2012 | Virginia Tech | Beamer | 3.01 | 215.14 | 216.25 | 74.11 | 207.00 | 254 |
2011 | Mississippi State | Mullen | 2.87 | 208.84 | 213.05 | 77.19 | 206.99 | 255 |
2012 | West Virginia | Holgorsen | 2.97 | 213.18 | 217.15 | 74.44 | 206.96 | 256 |
2007 | Florida State | B. Bowden | 3.47 | 211.80 | 210.12 | 76.75 | 206.65 | 257 |
2006 | Minnesota | Mason | 2.37 | 203.23 | 212.49 | 78.36 | 206.14 | 258 |
2008 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.39 | 210.04 | 212.45 | 75.59 | 205.65 | 259 |
2009 | West Virginia | Stewart | 2.80 | 211.99 | 205.22 | 76.95 | 205.43 | 260 |
2010 | Louisville | Strong | 2.70 | 211.35 | 212.96 | 74.60 | 205.26 | 261 |
2008 | Georgia Tech | P. Johnson | 2.80 | 215.67 | 209.53 | 74.00 | 205.05 | 262 |
2009 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 2.69 | 210.87 | 208.93 | 75.75 | 205.01 | 263 |
2008 | Illinois | Zook | 2.86 | 208.16 | 221.34 | 72.46 | 204.66 | 264 |
2009 | South Florida | Leavitt | 2.59 | 200.80 | 215.84 | 76.57 | 204.62 | 265 |
2006 | Kentucky | Brooks | 2.34 | 206.06 | 210.42 | 76.24 | 204.38 | 266 |
2011 | Georgia Tech | P. Johnson | 2.90 | 213.54 | 216.11 | 71.98 | 204.37 | 267 |
2009 | Kansas | Mangino | 2.70 | 206.91 | 215.98 | 73.52 | 203.67 | 268 |
2012 | Pittsburgh | Chryst | 3.00 | 212.05 | 206.82 | 74.00 | 203.06 | 269 |
2009 | Missouri | Pinkel | 2.73 | 206.50 | 215.91 | 73.01 | 203.02 | 270 |
2010 | South Florida | S. Holtz | 2.68 | 213.84 | 206.48 | 73.42 | 202.97 | 271 |
2011 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.71 | 210.59 | 207.11 | 74.24 | 202.91 | 272 |
2007 | Michigan State | Dantonio | 2.66 | 216.74 | 218.81 | 68.50 | 202.83 | 273 |
2011 | Illinois | Zook | 2.76 | 204.00 | 218.96 | 72.70 | 202.83 | 274 |
2012 | Missouri | Pinkel | 3.01 | 201.45 | 208.82 | 76.64 | 202.79 | 275 |
2007 | Connecticut | Edsall | 2.08 | 221.49 | 216.98 | 67.39 | 202.74 | 276 |
2012 | Mississippi State | Mullen | 2.98 | 199.84 | 210.44 | 76.62 | 202.73 | 277 |
2011 | Tennessee | Dooley | 3.30 | 205.39 | 213.63 | 73.49 | 202.44 | 278 |
2009 | Purdue | Hope | 2.43 | 212.67 | 217.33 | 69.90 | 202.43 | 279 |
2011 | North Carolina | Withers | 3.21 | 211.83 | 208.49 | 72.80 | 202.32 | 280 |
2009 | Mississippi State | Mullen | 2.77 | 201.99 | 209.52 | 75.72 | 202.27 | 281 |
2006 | Washington State | Doba | 2.56 | 205.04 | 204.67 | 76.19 | 202.27 | 282 |
2007 | Maryland | Friedgen | 2.84 | 211.01 | 207.57 | 73.22 | 202.19 | 283 |
2007 | Texas A&M | Franchione | 3.01 | 196.61 | 214.40 | 75.90 | 202.17 | 284 |
2011 | Utah | Whittingham | 2.82 | 202.47 | 207.51 | 76.04 | 202.14 | 285 |
2008 | Wisconsin | Bielema | 2.77 | 207.41 | 213.81 | 71.60 | 201.31 | 286 |
2008 | Notre Dame | Weis | 3.59 | 207.45 | 206.88 | 73.69 | 201.28 | 287 |
2008 | Miami-FL | Shannon | 3.49 | 202.69 | 199.96 | 77.18 | 201.05 | 288 |
2009 | Kentucky | Brooks | 2.52 | 204.15 | 201.89 | 76.02 | 200.98 | 289 |
2007 | Washington | Willingham | 2.74 | 209.48 | 208.44 | 72.21 | 200.97 | 290 |
2010 | Washington | Sarkisian | 2.93 | 194.02 | 206.43 | 77.98 | 200.96 | 291 |
2009 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.71 | 199.38 | 207.33 | 75.88 | 200.92 | 292 |
2012 | Tennessee | Dooley | 3.37 | 201.59 | 212.27 | 73.54 | 200.85 | 293 |
2012 | Washington | Sarkisian | 2.98 | 203.54 | 206.18 | 74.76 | 200.84 | 294 |
2010 | California | Tedford | 3.19 | 184.03 | 206.05 | 81.16 | 200.69 | 295 |
2010 | Tennessee | Dooley | 3.37 | 201.41 | 208.40 | 74.31 | 200.38 | 296 |
2006 | Maryland | Friedgen | 2.89 | 206.17 | 206.19 | 73.22 | 200.20 | 297 |
2008 | Tennessee | Fulmer | 3.34 | 203.75 | 210.59 | 72.64 | 200.17 | 298 |
2008 | Vanderbilt | Bo. Johnson | 2.22 | 203.59 | 204.69 | 74.32 | 199.98 | 299 |
2008 | Stanford | Harbaugh | 2.75 | 199.71 | 205.86 | 75.20 | 199.93 | 300 |
2010 | Penn State | Paterno | 3.31 | 205.03 | 210.09 | 72.09 | 199.90 | 301 |
2009 | California | Tedford | 3.15 | 201.49 | 207.51 | 74.05 | 199.89 | 302 |
2007 | Virginia | Groh | 2.82 | 213.47 | 208.30 | 69.36 | 199.45 | 303 |
2012 | Iowa State | Rhoads | 2.47 | 204.38 | 202.37 | 74.12 | 199.35 | 304 |
2009 | UCLA | Neuheisel | 3.39 | 201.51 | 204.94 | 74.19 | 199.25 | 305 |
2007 | Pittsburgh | Wannstedt | 2.77 | 208.75 | 205.06 | 71.34 | 198.87 | 306 |
2007 | Washington State | Doba | 2.56 | 196.00 | 202.00 | 76.19 | 198.53 | 307 |
2010 | Boston College | Spaziani | 2.66 | 204.75 | 206.72 | 71.73 | 198.45 | 308 |
2008 | Baylor | Briles | 2.36 | 193.84 | 212.79 | 73.36 | 198.31 | 309 |
2012 | Miami-FL | Golden | 3.16 | 197.33 | 205.73 | 74.07 | 198.02 | 310 |
2012 | Arkansas | J.L. Smith | 2.98 | 200.79 | 214.97 | 70.03 | 197.99 | 311 |
2008 | Maryland | Friedgen | 2.85 | 205.86 | 204.57 | 71.45 | 197.89 | 312 |
2009 | Arizona State | Erickson | 2.96 | 202.22 | 207.44 | 71.77 | 197.88 | 313 |
2006 | Kansas | Mangino | 2.43 | 203.35 | 204.80 | 71.91 | 197.59 | 314 |
2011 | Louisville | Strong | 2.70 | 210.69 | 200.77 | 70.56 | 197.45 | 315 |
2009 | Washington | Sarkisian | 2.85 | 195.88 | 201.74 | 74.97 | 197.23 | 316 |
2011 | Pittsburgh | Graham | 3.04 | 210.06 | 203.03 | 69.80 | 197.19 | 317 |
2010 | Texas Tech | Tuberville | 2.85 | 201.42 | 206.23 | 71.62 | 197.11 | 318 |
2010 | Kansas State | Snyder | 2.56 | 201.46 | 200.56 | 73.34 | 197.10 | 319 |
2010 | Michigan | Rodriguez | 3.48 | 205.91 | 213.59 | 67.54 | 196.81 | 320 |
2010 | Cincinnati | B. Jones | 2.34 | 203.95 | 209.19 | 69.50 | 196.76 | 321 |
2008 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.69 | 205.94 | 197.82 | 71.82 | 196.25 | 322 |
2012 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.75 | 199.54 | 204.08 | 71.94 | 196.17 | 323 |
2009 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.41 | 206.02 | 206.43 | 68.87 | 195.99 | 324 |
2011 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.64 | 199.81 | 200.33 | 72.65 | 195.82 | 325 |
2011 | Auburn | Chizik | 3.31 | 197.31 | 201.45 | 72.82 | 195.51 | 326 |
2007 | Kansas State | Prince | 2.56 | 199.66 | 207.59 | 70.11 | 195.48 | 327 |
2010 | Kentucky | Phillips | 2.56 | 203.47 | 205.16 | 69.45 | 195.34 | 328 |
2009 | Michigan | Rodriguez | 3.57 | 200.97 | 207.18 | 69.59 | 195.27 | 329 |
2011 | Washington | Sarkisian | 2.99 | 195.61 | 199.83 | 73.48 | 195.11 | 330 |
2007 | Purdue | Tiller | 2.64 | 200.98 | 210.65 | 68.22 | 194.99 | 331 |
2008 | Virginia | Groh | 2.73 | 198.02 | 197.90 | 73.14 | 194.99 | 332 |
2006 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 2.87 | 202.57 | 196.65 | 71.95 | 194.93 | 333 |
2007 | Mississippi State | Croom | 2.47 | 209.75 | 202.39 | 67.60 | 194.75 | 334 |
2010 | Baylor | Briles | 2.58 | 192.56 | 210.34 | 70.51 | 194.39 | 335 |
2007 | Nebraska | Callahan | 3.06 | 191.35 | 207.28 | 71.77 | 194.30 | 336 |
2010 | Texas | Brown | 3.80 | 196.23 | 205.53 | 70.67 | 194.29 | 337 |
2008 | Arizona State | Erickson | 2.94 | 191.79 | 199.60 | 73.51 | 193.83 | 338 |
2010 | Syracuse | Marrone | 2.39 | 195.24 | 199.23 | 71.82 | 193.20 | 339 |
2011 | Connecticut | Pasqualoni | 2.34 | 202.72 | 199.70 | 69.10 | 193.12 | 340 |
2006 | Kansas State | Prince | 2.71 | 198.25 | 200.90 | 70.11 | 193.01 | 341 |
2006 | Vanderbilt | Bo. Johnson | 2.15 | 197.05 | 198.51 | 71.06 | 192.83 | 342 |
2010 | Connecticut | Edsall | 2.28 | 197.24 | 197.73 | 70.81 | 192.41 | 343 |
2006 | Washington | Willingham | 2.76 | 197.52 | 192.60 | 72.21 | 192.32 | 344 |
2007 | Colorado | Hawkins | 2.59 | 201.63 | 202.12 | 67.63 | 192.06 | 345 |
2012 | Utah | Whittingham | 2.84 | 192.47 | 193.43 | 73.36 | 192.05 | 346 |
2011 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.81 | 200.46 | 193.83 | 70.39 | 191.88 | 347 |
2010 | Ole Miss | Nutt | 3.03 | 200.05 | 201.27 | 68.05 | 191.70 | 348 |
2010 | Georgia Tech | P. Johnson | 3.03 | 196.49 | 200.62 | 69.38 | 191.65 | 349 |
2008 | Auburn | Tuberville | 3.22 | 195.00 | 196.37 | 71.10 | 191.56 | 350 |
2006 | Virginia | Groh | 2.85 | 195.57 | 199.77 | 69.36 | 191.07 | 351 |
2008 | Purdue | Tiller | 2.57 | 190.19 | 202.83 | 69.98 | 190.84 | 352 |
2011 | Virginia | London | 2.71 | 200.47 | 202.90 | 66.40 | 190.72 | 353 |
2008 | Kentucky | Brooks | 2.38 | 189.37 | 193.52 | 72.70 | 190.43 | 354 |
2011 | Iowa State | Rhoads | 2.42 | 192.87 | 191.49 | 71.89 | 190.17 | 355 |
2011 | Arizona | M. Stoops | 2.82 | 183.59 | 201.35 | 71.86 | 190.09 | 356 |
2008 | Arkansas | Petrino | 2.83 | 190.53 | 205.13 | 68.11 | 189.83 | 357 |
2007 | Vanderbilt | Bo. Johnson | 2.21 | 191.55 | 192.91 | 71.06 | 189.36 | 358 |
2007 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.70 | 193.72 | 194.70 | 69.22 | 188.81 | 359 |
2011 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.56 | 197.34 | 193.97 | 68.03 | 188.61 | 360 |
2009 | NC State | O'Brien | 2.65 | 191.77 | 197.80 | 68.19 | 188.11 | 361 |
2006 | NC State | Amato | 2.83 | 193.85 | 191.86 | 69.22 | 188.00 | 362 |
2006 | Purdue | Tiller | 2.68 | 192.09 | 196.67 | 68.22 | 187.90 | 363 |
2011 | Texas Tech | Tuberville | 2.98 | 183.66 | 197.59 | 70.52 | 187.68 | 364 |
2009 | Kansas State | Snyder | 2.52 | 187.10 | 195.11 | 69.90 | 187.45 | 365 |
2006 | Colorado | Hawkins | 2.66 | 194.36 | 194.14 | 67.63 | 187.30 | 366 |
2007 | Minnesota | Brewster | 2.34 | 171.94 | 183.12 | 78.36 | 187.15 | 367 |
2007 | Miami-FL | Shannon | 3.50 | 193.02 | 195.80 | 67.34 | 187.08 | 368 |
2008 | Duke | Cutcliffe | 2.41 | 187.01 | 188.03 | 71.59 | 186.93 | 369 |
2010 | Colorado | Hawkins | 2.80 | 190.60 | 198.95 | 66.84 | 186.76 | 370 |
2012 | Connecticut | Pasqualoni | 2.40 | 199.93 | 199.83 | 63.45 | 186.75 | 371 |
2007 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.81 | 191.67 | 195.05 | 67.60 | 186.67 | 372 |
2010 | UCLA | Neuheisel | 3.50 | 183.35 | 194.35 | 70.42 | 186.50 | 373 |
2009 | Iowa State | Rhoads | 2.34 | 183.83 | 198.36 | 68.34 | 185.84 | 374 |
2011 | Purdue | Hope | 2.52 | 184.48 | 194.48 | 69.13 | 185.65 | 375 |
2009 | Virginia | Groh | 2.61 | 187.70 | 184.57 | 71.10 | 185.64 | 376 |
2012 | California | Tedford | 3.24 | 185.95 | 200.96 | 66.56 | 185.58 | 377 |
2009 | Minnesota | Brewster | 2.64 | 190.46 | 186.42 | 69.37 | 185.41 | 378 |
2006 | Syracuse | Robinson | 2.30 | 185.61 | 190.60 | 69.65 | 185.36 | 379 |
2012 | Purdue | Hope | 2.61 | 186.23 | 197.42 | 67.07 | 185.10 | 380 |
2006 | Michigan State | J.L. Smith | 2.59 | 187.49 | 191.24 | 68.50 | 185.04 | 381 |
2011 | UCLA | Neuheisel | 3.35 | 178.43 | 198.04 | 69.38 | 185.00 | 382 |
2009 | Duke | Cutcliffe | 2.43 | 189.54 | 191.74 | 67.34 | 184.73 | 383 |
2008 | Minnesota | Brewster | 2.53 | 187.70 | 191.10 | 68.05 | 184.64 | 384 |
2007 | Ole Miss | Orgeron | 2.84 | 182.18 | 193.00 | 69.22 | 184.55 | 385 |
2012 | Iowa | Ferentz | 2.77 | 188.07 | 188.75 | 68.55 | 184.54 | 386 |
2012 | Minnesota | Kill | 2.67 | 185.05 | 191.84 | 68.37 | 184.31 | 387 |
2008 | Michigan | Rodriguez | 3.59 | 188.46 | 195.48 | 65.79 | 184.00 | 388 |
2006 | Illinois | Zook | 2.60 | 190.13 | 199.51 | 63.87 | 183.88 | 389 |
2007 | Indiana | Lynch | 2.14 | 192.00 | 203.76 | 61.87 | 183.82 | 390 |
2011 | Syracuse | Marrone | 2.39 | 193.43 | 189.54 | 64.90 | 182.96 | 391 |
2006 | Ole Miss | Orgeron | 2.73 | 186.71 | 186.94 | 67.64 | 182.66 | 392 |
2012 | South Florida | S. Holtz | 2.80 | 187.62 | 197.04 | 64.15 | 182.59 | 393 |
2008 | Kansas State | Prince | 2.63 | 179.61 | 189.33 | 68.99 | 182.39 | 394 |
2012 | Indiana | Wilson | 2.57 | 187.09 | 188.97 | 66.29 | 182.08 | 395 |
2010 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.56 | 187.16 | 187.94 | 66.37 | 181.88 | 396 |
2009 | Colorado | Hawkins | 2.81 | 181.59 | 191.27 | 66.63 | 181.32 | 397 |
2006 | Connecticut | Edsall | 2.03 | 181.51 | 188.44 | 67.39 | 181.18 | 398 |
2012 | Duke | Cutcliffe | 2.53 | 183.40 | 190.35 | 66.17 | 181.18 | 399 |
2006 | Mississippi State | Croom | 2.50 | 185.16 | 183.76 | 67.60 | 181.16 | 400 |
2007 | North Carolina | B. Davis | 2.75 | 195.18 | 195.06 | 60.58 | 180.98 | 401 |
2012 | Virginia | London | 2.82 | 182.30 | 195.13 | 64.73 | 180.86 | 402 |
2011 | Boston College | Spaziani | 2.66 | 187.27 | 186.40 | 64.88 | 180.00 | 403 |
2006 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.24 | 185.89 | 190.80 | 63.73 | 179.75 | 404 |
2010 | Iowa State | Rhoads | 2.36 | 179.42 | 188.75 | 66.48 | 179.71 | 405 |
2009 | Syracuse | Marrone | 2.40 | 179.51 | 193.02 | 65.11 | 179.69 | 406 |
2010 | Virginia | London | 2.67 | 182.87 | 187.10 | 65.34 | 179.23 | 407 |
2008 | UCLA | Neuheisel | 3.31 | 178.23 | 192.63 | 65.18 | 179.22 | 408 |
2011 | Oregon State | Riley | 2.67 | 176.94 | 190.56 | 66.24 | 179.21 | 409 |
2009 | Maryland | Friedgen | 2.87 | 182.79 | 190.23 | 64.37 | 179.19 | 410 |
2010 | Duke | Cutcliffe | 2.43 | 183.50 | 190.06 | 63.21 | 178.24 | 411 |
2011 | Washington State | Wulff | 2.47 | 173.39 | 185.19 | 67.64 | 177.81 | 412 |
2009 | Baylor | Briles | 2.44 | 174.29 | 191.74 | 65.24 | 177.73 | 413 |
2009 | Vanderbilt | Bo. Johnson | 2.33 | 181.70 | 185.47 | 64.59 | 177.62 | 414 |
2006 | Baylor | Morriss | 2.23 | 179.08 | 185.36 | 65.47 | 177.60 | 415 |
2007 | Northwestern | Fitzgerald | 2.33 | 177.29 | 190.93 | 63.73 | 177.00 | 416 |
2011 | Kentucky | Phillips | 2.71 | 178.24 | 187.21 | 63.78 | 176.23 | 417 |
2010 | Minnesota | Brewster | 2.72 | 179.25 | 188.43 | 63.00 | 176.17 | 418 |
2009 | Illinois | Zook | 2.90 | 173.17 | 185.28 | 65.30 | 175.49 | 419 |
2011 | Duke | Cutcliffe | 2.51 | 184.73 | 187.37 | 60.51 | 175.21 | 420 |
2007 | Stanford | Harbaugh | 2.66 | 193.27 | 187.48 | 57.10 | 174.70 | 421 |
2008 | Louisville | Kragthorpe | 2.81 | 176.80 | 191.31 | 61.02 | 174.31 | 422 |
2010 | Indiana | Lynch | 2.35 | 179.34 | 188.71 | 60.97 | 174.31 | 423 |
2010 | Rutgers | Schiano | 2.77 | 179.55 | 179.80 | 63.62 | 174.28 | 424 |
2006 | Temple | Addazio | 2.10 | 179.92 | 183.71 | 62.06 | 174.06 | 425 |
2012 | Boston College | Spaziani | 2.65 | 177.89 | 183.65 | 62.63 | 173.93 | 426 |
2006 | Indiana | Hoeppner | 2.14 | 178.40 | 185.41 | 61.87 | 173.89 | 427 |
2009 | Indiana | Lynch | 2.29 | 175.28 | 178.83 | 64.75 | 173.70 | 428 |
2010 | Purdue | Hope | 2.49 | 178.11 | 186.13 | 61.25 | 173.41 | 429 |
2012 | Maryland | Edsall | 2.86 | 178.25 | 180.44 | 62.67 | 173.12 | 430 |
2008 | Colorado | Hawkins | 2.79 | 170.65 | 176.83 | 66.20 | 173.01 | 431 |
2011 | Minnesota | Kill | 2.78 | 169.48 | 185.30 | 63.92 | 172.95 | 432 |
2006 | Iowa State | McCarney | 2.34 | 174.59 | 178.79 | 64.07 | 172.80 | 433 |
2011 | Maryland | Edsall | 2.89 | 174.15 | 183.81 | 62.22 | 172.37 | 434 |
2012 | Auburn | Chizik | 3.48 | 162.87 | 184.72 | 65.31 | 171.98 | 435 |
2007 | Iowa State | Chizik | 2.34 | 168.86 | 181.17 | 64.07 | 171.65 | 436 |
2007 | Notre Dame | Weis | 3.31 | 172.19 | 180.00 | 63.03 | 171.37 | 437 |
2009 | Louisville | Kragthorpe | 2.74 | 171.14 | 177.17 | 63.49 | 170.63 | 438 |
2008 | Iowa State | Chizik | 2.38 | 169.31 | 183.88 | 61.96 | 170.56 | 439 |
2006 | North Carolina | Bunting | 2.73 | 176.69 | 179.98 | 60.58 | 170.44 | 440 |
2007 | Syracuse | Robinson | 2.34 | 156.86 | 171.46 | 69.65 | 170.27 | 441 |
2008 | Texas A&M | Sherman | 3.13 | 163.12 | 182.88 | 63.84 | 170.08 | 442 |
2008 | Syracuse | Robinson | 2.44 | 173.13 | 183.50 | 59.07 | 168.88 | 443 |
2012 | Kansas | Weis | 2.74 | 164.00 | 179.58 | 62.79 | 168.35 | 444 |
2012 | Washington State | Leach | 2.56 | 166.82 | 180.03 | 61.50 | 168.15 | 445 |
2010 | Washington State | Wulff | 2.49 | 159.88 | 171.79 | 66.19 | 167.98 | 446 |
2011 | Ole Miss | Nutt | 3.02 | 166.72 | 180.94 | 60.77 | 167.68 | 447 |
2008 | Mississippi State | Croom | 2.61 | 167.92 | 178.86 | 60.95 | 167.62 | 448 |
2007 | Baylor | Morriss | 2.22 | 154.89 | 176.97 | 65.47 | 167.22 | 449 |
2010 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.47 | 165.36 | 178.57 | 61.06 | 166.80 | 450 |
2012 | Kentucky | Phillips | 2.79 | 158.06 | 182.21 | 61.92 | 166.37 | 451 |
2008 | Indiana | Lynch | 2.18 | 170.23 | 185.68 | 56.29 | 165.88 | 452 |
2010 | Vanderbilt | Caldwell | 2.44 | 167.46 | 174.94 | 58.06 | 163.48 | 453 |
2011 | Colorado | Embree | 2.76 | 154.69 | 179.47 | 60.37 | 162.94 | 454 |
2012 | Wake Forest | Grobe | 2.61 | 161.74 | 174.88 | 57.05 | 160.62 | 455 |
2011 | Kansas | Gill | 2.86 | 152.71 | 172.88 | 60.49 | 160.43 | 456 |
2006 | Stanford | Harris | 2.65 | 167.05 | 166.96 | 57.10 | 160.01 | 457 |
2012 | Illinois | Beckman | 2.70 | 161.45 | 174.31 | 56.49 | 159.81 | 458 |
2007 | Duke | Roof | 2.30 | 162.21 | 170.43 | 54.62 | 157.07 | 459 |
2011 | Indiana | Wilson | 2.46 | 156.98 | 167.77 | 56.62 | 156.52 | 460 |
2006 | Duke | Roof | 2.32 | 163.79 | 159.22 | 54.62 | 154.22 | 461 |
2010 | Kansas | Gill | 2.75 | 153.00 | 160.60 | 54.55 | 151.06 | 462 |
2008 | Washington | Willingham | 2.81 | 143.28 | 159.30 | 57.05 | 149.94 | 463 |
2012 | Colorado | Embree | 2.67 | 128.02 | 153.55 | 50.69 | 137.06 | 464 |
2009 | Washington State | Wulff | 2.49 | 125.81 | 143.30 | 52.01 | 134.55 | 465 |
2008 | Washington State | Wulff | 2.45 | 125.55 | 148.32 | 49.70 | 133.73 | 466 |
If the hypothesis that Apparent Talent is predictive of ultimate Team Quality holds, the relationship ought to be plain to see, without the use of fancy statistical sorcery, as we inspect the various slices of the distribution.
Have a look and draw your own conclusions. And please, feel free to discuss them in the comments section.
+2 Std Dev & better |
+1 Std Dev, < +2 Std Dev |
+0.5 Std Dev, < +1 Std Dev |
-0.5 Std Dev to +0.5 Std Dev |
-0.5 Std Dev, > -1 Std Dev |
-1 Std Dev, > -2 Std Dev |
-2 Std Dev and Worse |
|
Avg. Quality Composite | 275.20 | 247.05 | 228.81 | 209.79 | 189.89 | 173.67 | 145.30 |
Average Win% | 0.914 | 0.819 | 0.719 | 0.579 | 0.431 | 0.289 | 0.093 |
Number of Teams | 13 | 56 | 69 | 183 | 69 | 69 | 7 |
% of All Observations | 2.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 39.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 1.5% |
Avg. Apparent Talent | 3.57 | 3.30 | 3.02 | 2.91 | 2.73 | 2.60 | 2.56 |
Median Apparent Talent | 3.61 | 3.39 | 3.00 | 2.87 | 2.67 | 2.61 | 2.49 |
Max Apparent Talent | 4.07 | 4.11 | 3.80 | 4.07 | 3.80 | 3.48 | 2.81 |
Min Apparent Talent | 2.99 | 2.37 | 2.27 | 2.04 | 2.14 | 2.03 | 2.32 |
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