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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Third Downs: Duke 8-for-15, UNC 2-for-12.
Both teams did a pretty good job of staying out of passing downs, but Duke was infinitely more effective when falling behind schedule, and the Blue Devils figured out ways to move the chains when UNC couldn't, usually via air.
Duke 27, North Carolina 25 |
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| Duke | UNC | Duke | UNC | |||
| Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 48.2% | 46.7% | Success Rate | 51.7% | 62.0% | |
| Leverage % | 71.6% | 66.7% | PPP | 0.48 | 0.63 | |
| S&P | 0.997 | 1.250 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 41.3 | 40.7 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 48.2% | 48.0% | Success Rate | 39.1% | 20.0% | |
| Close PPP | 0.51 | 0.54 | PPP | 0.58 | 0.37 | |
| Close S&P | 0.991 | 1.023 | S&P | 0.976 | 0.567 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 16.5 | 20.2 | Number | 1 | 2 | |
| Close Success Rate | 43.5% | 61.5% | Turnover Pts | 4.1 | 6.6 | |
| Close PPP | 0.36 | 0.52 | Turnover Pts Margin | +2.5 | -2.5 | |
| Close S&P | 0.793 | 1.132 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 3.20 | 4.30 | Q1 S&P | 0.948 | 1.747 | |
| Q2 S&P | 1.160 | 0.753 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.922 | 1.020 | |||
| EqPts | 24.8 | 20.5 | Q4 S&P | 0.925 | 0.747 | |
| Close Success Rate | 54.3% | 33.3% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.71 | 0.57 | 1st Down S&P | 0.933 | 1.142 | |
| Close S&P | 1.252 | 0.904 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.173 | 1.011 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 0.0% | 0.0% / 0.0% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.844 | 0.564 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Duke +3.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Duke +2 | ||||||