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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Pre-game win probability: Wisconsin 99%. When PSU scored early, I said to a friend (and minor PSU fan), "Well, there's PSU's touchdown." And then they scored 24 more points. Kudos, Fightin' O'Briens.
Penn State 31, Wisconsin 24 |
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| Penn State | Wisconsin | Penn State | Wisconsin | |||
| Close % | 81.6% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 39.7% | 39.8% | Success Rate | 35.3% | 51.2% | |
| Leverage % | 61.8% | 68.3% | PPP | 0.52 | 0.44 | |
| S&P | 0.868 | 0.947 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 43.8 | 41.3 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 40.0% | 48.3% | Success Rate | 47.6% | 42.1% | |
| Close PPP | 0.80 | 0.52 | PPP | 1.25 | 0.69 | |
| Close S&P | 1.195 | 0.999 | S&P | 1.724 | 1.111 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 11.3 | 11.8 | Number | 0 | 3 | |
| Close Success Rate | 26.9% | 50.0% | Turnover Pts | 0.0 | 15.0 | |
| Close PPP | 0.43 | 0.43 | Turnover Pts Margin | +15.0 | -15.0 | |
| Close S&P | 0.701 | 0.930 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 2.47 | 3.53 | Q1 S&P | 1.333 | 0.654 | |
| Q2 S&P | 1.059 | 1.254 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.017 | 0.808 | |||
| EqPts | 32.5 | 29.6 | Q4 S&P | 1.119 | 0.994 | |
| Close Success Rate | 51.7% | 47.2% | ||||
| Close PPP | 1.12 | 0.57 | 1st Down S&P | 0.856 | 1.098 | |
| Close S&P | 1.638 | 1.046 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.157 | 0.778 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 0.0% | 4.0% / 0.0% | 3rd Down S&P | 1.635 | 1.024 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Penn State +17.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Penn State +7 | ||||||