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Study Hall: Penn State 31, Wisconsin 24

Advanced stats from Penn State's 31-24 upset of Wisconsin in Madison on Saturday.

Mary Langenfeld-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Pre-game win probability: Wisconsin 99%. When PSU scored early, I said to a friend (and minor PSU fan), "Well, there's PSU's touchdown." And then they scored 24 more points. Kudos, Fightin' O'Briens.

Penn State 31, Wisconsin 24

Penn State Wisconsin Penn State Wisconsin
Close % 81.6% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 39.7% 39.8% Success Rate 35.3% 51.2%
Leverage % 61.8% 68.3% PPP 0.52 0.44
S&P 0.868 0.947
TOTAL
EqPts 43.8 41.3 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 40.0% 48.3% Success Rate 47.6% 42.1%
Close PPP 0.80 0.52 PPP 1.25 0.69
Close S&P 1.195 0.999 S&P 1.724 1.111
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 11.3 11.8 Number 0 3
Close Success Rate 26.9% 50.0% Turnover Pts 0.0 15.0
Close PPP 0.43 0.43 Turnover Pts Margin +15.0 -15.0
Close S&P 0.701 0.930
Line Yards/carry 2.47 3.53 Q1 S&P 1.333 0.654
Q2 S&P 1.059 1.254
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.017 0.808
EqPts 32.5 29.6 Q4 S&P 1.119 0.994
Close Success Rate 51.7% 47.2%
Close PPP 1.12 0.57 1st Down S&P 0.856 1.098
Close S&P 1.638 1.046 2nd Down S&P 1.157 0.778
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 4.0% / 0.0% 3rd Down S&P 1.635 1.024
Projected Pt. Margin: Penn State +17.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Penn State +7