FBS expected wins after Week 10
Week 11 Picks
Scout's honor ... I didn't fudge the Ohio-Buffalo pick. It came out of the model this way.
There are a lot of very close games this week. I expect that the model's correct pick rate will not be the best this week. These .55-.45 games are really tossups.
Thursday might the be best college football Thursday-that-wasn't-in-January of all-time. The model has Oregon and Baylor as overwhelming favorites over Stanford and Oklahoma.
And of particular interest to me is the model's pick of Nebraska over Michigan .57 - .43 probability of win. I'll take that.