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Study Hall: Oklahoma State 52, Texas Tech 34

By Bill C.
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Remember how symmetrical the Auburn-Arkansas game was, how perfectly the projected and actual scoring margins were? Yeah, this game was the opposite.

As far as I can tell, here's the difference-maker:

Trips inside the 40: OSU 9, Tech 9 (including pick six)
Points per trip: OSU 5.8, Tech 3.8

In nine trips, OSU scored seven touchdowns, kicked a field goal, and threw a pick. Meanwhile, Tech scored four touchdowns (three sans the pick six), kicked two field goals, threw a pick, and turned the ball over on downs twice. There is still value in actually punching the ball into the end zone.

Oklahoma State 52, Texas Tech 34
OSU Tech OSU Tech
Close % 80.1% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 47.2% 51.6% Success Rate 46.6% 47.9%
Leverage % 71.6% 70.6% PPP 0.38 0.60
S&P 0.846 1.075
TOTAL
EqPts 47.5 51.7 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 49.4% 47.1% Success Rate 56.5% 45.0%
Close PPP 0.58 0.61 PPP 1.09 0.65
Close S&P 1.075 1.083 S&P 1.652 1.103
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 27.2 13.1 Number 2 3
Close Success Rate 51.1% 43.8% Turnover Pts 11.9 12.3
Close PPP 0.57 0.47 Turnover Pts Margin +0.4 -0.4
Close S&P 1.081 0.908
Line Yards/carry 3.20 3.14 Q1 S&P 1.138 0.929
Q2 S&P 0.859 1.310
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.237 1.015
EqPts 20.3 38.7 Q4 S&P 0.463 0.693
Close Success Rate 47.1% 48.1%
Close PPP 0.60 0.66 1st Down S&P 0.798 1.040
Close S&P 1.067 1.137 2nd Down S&P 1.214 1.102
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 0.0% / 0.0% 3rd Down S&P 0.940 0.579
Projected Pt. Margin: Texas Tech +3.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Oklahoma State +18

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