:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/22609475/20131102_sal_sc6_055.0.jpg)
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
The projected point margins rarely work out as well as the one below did. Auburn gained what would typically amount to about 35.6 points and, due in part to turnovers, was projected to win by about 18.6 points. I'll take that.
Red flag: A 44 percent success rate on passing downs is too much to allow to Arkansas.
In no way red flag: Auburn barely faced any passing downs itself because wow, was the running game clicking.
Auburn 35, Arkansas 17 |
||||||
| Auburn | Arkansas | Auburn | Arkansas | |||
| Close % | 82.9% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 52.7% | 46.0% | Success Rate | 63.2% | 44.2% | |
| Leverage % | 79.2% | 72.9% | PPP | 0.64 | 0.32 | |
| S&P | 1.270 | 0.766 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 35.6 | 30.4 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 56.3% | 44.1% | Success Rate | 30.0% | 43.8% | |
| Close PPP | 0.72 | 0.43 | PPP | 1.05 | 0.70 | |
| Close S&P | 1.286 | 0.866 | S&P | 1.348 | 1.134 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 23.6 | 19.8 | Number | 0 | 3 | |
| Close Success Rate | 57.9% | 48.7% | Turnover Pts | 0.0 | 13.4 | |
| Close PPP | 0.60 | 0.45 | Turnover Pts Margin | +13.4 | -13.4 | |
| Close S&P | 1.183 | 0.937 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 3.97 | 3.32 | Q1 S&P | 1.471 | 0.860 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.908 | 0.833 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.332 | 0.980 | |||
| EqPts | 12.0 | 10.6 | Q4 S&P | 0.931 | 0.750 | |
| Close Success Rate | 50.0% | 35.0% | ||||
| Close PPP | 1.18 | 0.38 | 1st Down S&P | 1.167 | 0.809 | |
| Close S&P | 1.678 | 0.726 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.780 | 0.803 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 0.0% | 20.0% / 20.0% | 3rd Down S&P | 1.653 | 1.033 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Auburn +18.6 | Actual Pt. Margin: Auburn +18 | ||||||
x
Loading comments...