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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
This is a strange sentence to type, but Iowa beat Michigan because the Hawkeyes could pass and the Wolverines couldn't. Granted, Jake Rudock threw three picks, which kept Michigan in the game a while; and granted, most of the passing came on standard downs -- if Iowa fell behind schedule, the drive was typically over quickly -- but it all counts.
And I write this every week: How in the world can Michigan's running game be this consistently awful?
Iowa 24, Michigan 21 |
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| Iowa | Michigan | Iowa | Michigan | |||
| Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 62.2% | 38.6% | Success Rate | 51.0% | 36.1% | |
| Leverage % | 68.9% | 63.2% | PPP | 0.54 | 0.24 | |
| S&P | 1.049 | 0.600 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 38.3 | 15.5 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 40.5% | 33.3% | Success Rate | 17.4% | 28.6% | |
| Close PPP | 0.52 | 0.27 | PPP | 0.47 | 0.33 | |
| Close S&P | 0.923 | 0.605 | S&P | 0.643 | 0.614 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 15.7 | 7.4 | Number | 4 | 1 | |
| Close Success Rate | 34.9% | 35.7% | Turnover Pts | 18.6 | 4.2 | |
| Close PPP | 0.36 | 0.26 | Turnover Pts Margin | -14.4 | +14.4 | |
| Close S&P | 0.713 | 0.621 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 2.50 | 2.09 | Q1 S&P | 0.980 | 0.410 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.487 | 0.965 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.102 | 0.130 | |||
| EqPts | 22.6 | 8.1 | Q4 S&P | 1.057 | 0.610 | |
| Close Success Rate | 48.4% | 31.0% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.73 | 0.28 | 1st Down S&P | 1.195 | 0.590 | |
| Close S&P | 1.214 | 0.590 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.851 | 0.649 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 8.3% | 0.0% / 6.7% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.536 | 0.562 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Iowa +8.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: Iowa +3 | ||||||