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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
So I was pretty down on Bama following this game ... not doubting so much as just disappointed in them (because I'm their father now, apparently). I don't think I realized that MSU fumbled four times ... and lost none of them. MSU recovered all six of the game's fumbles. That will keep you closer than you should be.
Still, this was a total sleepwalk Alabama's offense, bailed out only by a small handful of big plays.
Alabama 20, Mississippi State 7 |
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Alabama | MSU | Alabama | MSU | |||
Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
Field Position % | 49.2% | 39.7% | Success Rate | 44.7% | 35.3% | |
Leverage % | 58.5% | 58.6% | PPP | 0.50 | 0.34 | |
S&P | 0.944 | 0.695 | ||||
TOTAL | ||||||
EqPts | 34.1 | 17.6 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
Close Success Rate | 38.5% | 29.3% | Success Rate | 29.6% | 20.8% | |
Close PPP | 0.52 | 0.30 | PPP | 0.56 | 0.25 | |
Close S&P | 0.909 | 0.597 | S&P | 0.859 | 0.457 | |
RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
EqPts | 18.0 | 5.5 | Number | 4 | 1 | |
Close Success Rate | 37.5% | 25.9% | Turnover Pts | 17.3 | 2.6 | |
Close PPP | 0.56 | 0.20 | Turnover Pts Margin | -14.6 | +14.6 | |
Close S&P | 0.938 | 0.462 | ||||
Line Yards/carry | 3.04 | 2.04 | Q1 S&P | 0.646 | 0.459 | |
Q2 S&P | 0.876 | 0.766 | ||||
PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.682 | 1.144 | |||
EqPts | 16.1 | 12.1 | Q4 S&P | 0.506 | 0.059 | |
Close Success Rate | 39.4% | 32.3% | ||||
Close PPP | 0.49 | 0.39 | 1st Down S&P | 0.915 | 0.684 | |
Close S&P | 0.881 | 0.714 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.856 | 0.590 | |
SD/PD Sack Rate | 5.6% / 0.0% | 7.1% / 5.9% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.952 | 0.590 | |
Projected Pt. Margin: Alabama +1.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Alabama +13 |