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College football F/+ picks: Week 12

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Joshua S. Kelly-US PRESSWIRE

Hell of a week, huh? F/+'s most interesting picks of the week (Stanford over Oregon, Kansas State over Texas Tech) come true, and the against-the-spread picks have their best week of the year. I'll take it.

  • Week 1
    New: 37-38 (49%)
    Old: 30-15 (67%)
  • Week 2
    New: 41-32-2 (56%)
    Old: 16-25 (39%)
  • Week 3
    New: 28-30-2 (48%)
    Old: 20-23-2 (47%)
  • Week 4
    New: 25-33-1 (43%)
    Old: 23-20-1 (53%)
  • Week 5
    New: 22-24-2 (48%)
    Old: 27-19-2 (58%)
  • Week 6
    New: 29-26 (53%)
    Old: 27-28 (49%)
  • Week 7
    New: 27-23-1 (54%)
    Old: 25-24-1 (51%)
  • Week 8
    New: 21-25-1 (46%)
    Old: 24-22-1 (52%)
  • Week 9
    New: 26-24-4 (52%)
    Old: 25-24-4 (51%)
  • Week 10
    New: 22-27-1 (45%)
    Old: 24-24-1 (50%)
  • Week 11
    New: 32-20-1 (61%)
    Old: 31-20-1 (61%)
  • TOTAL
    New: 308-302-14 (50%)
    Old: 272-244-12 (53%)

Not very long ago, Texas Tech was undefeated and 10th in the polls. The Red Raiders are now 27-point underdogs on a neutral site. Oh, and Southern Miss, 2012 Conference USA champion and (until recently) owners of a nearly two-decade streak of winning records, is a 17-point underdog ... at home ... to Florida Atlantic.

NEW METHOD

Day Time (ET) TV Game Spread Prediction Favorite's
chance of
winning outright
Pick
Tue 8:00 PM ESPN2 Buffalo at Toledo 4.5 Toledo by 4.9 (29.3 - 24.4) 65.7% Toledo
Tue 8:00 PM ESPNU Ohio at Bowling Green -9 Bowling Green by 12.1 (41.7 - 29.7) 79.9% Bowling Green
Wed 8:00 PM ESPN2 Ball State at Northern Illinois -6.5 Ball State by 2.4 (33.5 - 31.1) 60.1% Ball State
Wed 8:00 PM ESPNU Miami-OH at Kent State -16.5 Kent State by 11.1 (28.5 - 17.4) 78.2% Miami-OH
Thu 7:30 PM ESPN Georgia Tech at Clemson -11 Clemson by 6.4 (35.6 - 29.2) 68.9% Georgia Tech
Thu 7:30 PM FS1 Marshall at Tulsa 13 Marshall by 12.3 (39.9 - 27.7) 80.3% Tulsa
Fri 9:00 PM ESPN2 Washington at UCLA -3 UCLA by 2.5 (30.0 - 27.5) 60.3% Washington
Sat 12:00 PM BTN Purdue at Penn State -21.5 Penn State by 21.2 (32.4 - 11.2) 93.6% Purdue
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN Ohio State at Illinois 33 Ohio State by 24.7 (51.9 - 27.2) 97.5% Illinois
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN News Cincinnati at Rutgers -1 Rutgers by 3.4 (27.1 - 23.7) 62.4% Rutgers
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN2 Indiana at Wisconsin -23 Wisconsin by 22.8 (50.8 - 28.0) 95.4% Indiana
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN3 Central Florida at Temple 17 Central Florida by 29.6 (47.7 - 18.1) 99.0% Central Florida
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN3 Central Michigan at Western Michigan 3 Western Michigan by 0.6 (27.1 - 26.5) 55.8% Western Michigan
Sat 12:00 PM ESPNU Troy at Ole Miss -29 Ole Miss by 34.1 (54.2 - 20.1) 99.0% Ole Miss
Sat 12:00 PM FS1 Iowa State at Oklahoma -24.5 Oklahoma by 19.0 (34.5 - 15.5) 90.7% Iowa State
Sat 12:00 PM FSN affiliates West Virginia at Kansas 6 West Virginia by 6.9 (23.9 - 16.9) 70.1% West Virginia
Sat 12:21 PM SEC Network Kentucky at Vanderbilt -13 Vanderbilt by 16.5 (43.0 - 26.4) 87.3% Vanderbilt
Sat 12:30 PM CSCA Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss 17 Florida Atlantic by 14.1 (25.5 - 11.4) 83.4% Southern Miss
Sat 12:30 PM ESPN3 Maryland at Virginia Tech -16 Virginia Tech by 27.5 (28.6 - 1.1) 99.0% Virginia Tech
Sat 12:30 PM ESPN3 NC State at Boston College -7.5 Boston College by 11.0 (32.5 - 21.4) 78.1% Boston College
Sat 12:30 PM ESPN3 North Carolina at Pittsburgh -1 Pittsburgh by 0.1 (28.1 - 28.0) 54.6% North Carolina
Sat 1:00 PM ESPN3 Akron at Massachusetts 7 Akron by 5.0 (27.4 - 22.4) 66.1% Massachusetts
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 UL-Lafayette at Georgia State 21.5 UL-Lafayette by 16.8 (38.2 - 21.4) 87.7% Georgia State
Sat 2:00 PM local UAB at East Carolina -27.5 East Carolina by 34.5 (54.0 - 19.5) 99.0% East Carolina
Sat 2:00 PM Pac-12 Washington State at Arizona -13 Arizona by 18.2 (39.6 - 21.4) 89.6% Arizona
Sat 3:00 PM BYUtv Idaho State at BYU N/A BYU by 51.1 (44.9 - (-6.2)) 99.0% ???
Sat 3:00 PM ESPN3 Connecticut at SMU -15 SMU by 10.2 (27.9 - 17.7) 76.5% Connecticut
Sat 3:30 PM ABC/ESPN2 Michigan State at Nebraska 7 Michigan State by 9.0 (22.8 - 13.8) 74.3% Michigan State
Sat 3:30 PM ABC/ESPN2 Syracuse at Florida State -39 Florida State by 42.6 (47.9 - 5.3) 99.0% Florida State
Sat 3:30 PM BTN Michigan at Northwestern -3 Northwestern by 0.3 (22.9 - 22.6) 55.1% Michigan
Sat 3:30 PM CBS Georgia at Auburn -4 Auburn by 3.2 (31.2 - 28.0) 61.9% Georgia
Sat 3:30 PM CBSSN South Alabama at Navy -8 Navy by 2.2 (39.3 - 37.1) 59.5% South Alabama
Sat 3:30 PM ESPNU Miami-FL at Duke 3 Miami-FL by 1.3 (39.9 - 38.6) 57.5% Duke
Sat 3:30 PM Fox Oklahoma State at Texas 3 Oklahoma State by 5.2 (31.2 - 26.0) 66.3% Oklahoma State
Sat 3:30 PM FSN affiliates TCU at Kansas State -10.5 Kansas State by 17.7 (28.0 - 10.4) 88.9% Kansas State
Sat 4:00 PM FS1 Utah at Oregon -26 Oregon by 11.6 (37.5 - 25.9) 79.1% Utah
Sat 5:30 PM Pac-12 California at Colorado -3 Colorado by 2.1 (29.8 - 27.7) 59.3% California
Sat 7:00 PM CBSSN Louisiana Tech at Rice -17 Rice by 20.3 (41.2 - 21.0) 92.4% Rice
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN2 Florida at South Carolina -12.5 South Carolina by 13.1 (24.1 - 11.1) 81.7% South Carolina
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN3 Memphis at South Florida 1.5 Memphis by 6.7 (17.3 - 10.5) 69.7% Memphis
Sat 7:00 PM ESPNU Houston at Louisville -16 Louisville by 20.3 (41.6 - 21.3) 92.4% Louisville
Sat 7:00 PM Fox Texas Tech vs. Baylor -27 Baylor by 31.2 (57.5 - 26.3) 99.0% Baylor
Sat 7:00 PM RSRM Colorado State at New Mexico 7 Colorado State by 7.9 (38.3 - 30.3) 72.1% Colorado State
Sat 7:30 PM ESPN3 Texas State at Arkansas State -7.5 Arkansas State by 7.0 (25.1 - 18.2) 70.2% Texas State
Sat 7:45 PM ESPN Alabama at Mississippi State 25 Alabama by 26.5 (34.3 - 7.8) 99.0% Alabama
Sat 8:00 PM ABC Stanford at USC 4 Stanford by 6.1 (17.5 - 11.4) 68.4% Stanford
Sat 8:00 PM Florida International at UTEP -6 UTEP by 11.8 (36.6 - 24.7) 79.5% UTEP
Sat 9:30 PM Pac-12 Oregon State at Arizona State -14 Arizona State by 23.4 (46.2 - 22.7) 96.2% Arizona State
Sat 10:15 PM ESPN2 Wyoming at Boise State -23 Boise State by 20.0 (46.4 - 26.4) 92.1% Wyoming
Sat 10:30 PM CBSSN San Diego State at Hawaii 5 Hawaii by 4.7 (20.9 - 16.2) 65.4% Hawaii
Sat 10:30 PM ESPNU San Jose State at Nevada 7 San Jose State by 3.6 (46.5 - 42.9) 62.9% Nevada

OLD METHOD

It appears NEW and OLD agree completely this week, so I dumped the "DIFFERENT?" column.

Day Time (ET) Game Spread OLD Prediction OLD Pick
Tue 8:00 PM Buffalo at Toledo 4.5 Toledo by 4.7 Toledo
Tue 8:00 PM Ohio at Bowling Green -9 Bowling Green by 11.8 Bowling Green
Wed 8:00 PM Ball State at Northern Illinois -6.5 Ball State by 2.2 Ball State
Wed 8:00 PM Miami-OH at Kent State -16.5 Kent State by 11.6 Miami-OH
Thu 7:30 PM Georgia Tech at Clemson -11 Clemson by 5.8 Georgia Tech
Thu 7:30 PM Marshall at Tulsa 13 Marshall by 10.1 Tulsa
Fri 9:00 PM Washington at UCLA -3 UCLA by 2.4 Washington
Sat 12:00 PM Purdue at Penn State -21.5 Penn State by 20.1 Purdue
Sat 12:00 PM Ohio State at Illinois 33 Ohio State by 25.6 Illinois
Sat 12:00 PM Cincinnati at Rutgers -1 Rutgers by 3.7 Rutgers
Sat 12:00 PM Indiana at Wisconsin -23 Wisconsin by 22.5 Indiana
Sat 12:00 PM Central Florida at Temple 17 Central Florida by 32.0 Central Florida
Sat 12:00 PM Central Michigan at Western Michigan 3 Western Michigan by 0.6 Western Michigan
Sat 12:00 PM Troy at Ole Miss -29 Ole Miss by 31.6 Ole Miss
Sat 12:00 PM Iowa State at Oklahoma -24.5 Oklahoma by 19.3 Iowa State
Sat 12:00 PM West Virginia at Kansas 6 West Virginia by 6.6 West Virginia
Sat 12:21 PM Kentucky at Vanderbilt -13 Vanderbilt by 17.7 Vanderbilt
Sat 12:30 PM Florida Atlantic at Southern Miss 17 Florida Atlantic by 14.9 Southern Miss
Sat 12:30 PM Maryland at Virginia Tech -16 Virginia Tech by 28.4 Virginia Tech
Sat 12:30 PM NC State at Boston College -7.5 Boston College by 10.9 Boston College
Sat 12:30 PM North Carolina at Pittsburgh -1 Pittsburgh by 0.1 North Carolina
Sat 1:00 PM Akron at Massachusetts 7 Akron by 4.9 Massachusetts
Sat 2:00 PM UL-Lafayette at Georgia State 21.5 UL-Lafayette by 17.3 Georgia State
Sat 2:00 PM UAB at East Carolina -27.5 East Carolina by 33.9 East Carolina
Sat 2:00 PM Washington State at Arizona -13 Arizona by 17.1 Arizona
Sat 3:00 PM Connecticut at SMU -15 SMU by 10.7 Connecticut
Sat 3:30 PM Michigan State at Nebraska 7 Michigan State by 8.6 Michigan State
Sat 3:30 PM Syracuse at Florida State -39 Florida State by 41.4 Florida State
Sat 3:30 PM Michigan at Northwestern -3 Northwestern by 0.3 Michigan
Sat 3:30 PM Georgia at Auburn -4 Auburn by 3.6 Georgia
Sat 3:30 PM South Alabama at Navy -8 Navy by 2.2 South Alabama
Sat 3:30 PM Miami-FL at Duke 3 Miami-FL by 1.3 Duke
Sat 3:30 PM Oklahoma State at Texas 3 Oklahoma State by 5.0 Oklahoma State
Sat 3:30 PM TCU at Kansas State -10.5 Kansas State by 18.5 Kansas State
Sat 4:00 PM Utah at Oregon -26 Oregon by 11.0 Utah
Sat 5:30 PM California at Colorado -3 Colorado by 2.2 California
Sat 7:00 PM Louisiana Tech at Rice -17 Rice by 17.3 Rice
Sat 7:00 PM Florida at South Carolina -12.5 South Carolina by 14.2 South Carolina
Sat 7:00 PM Memphis at South Florida 1.5 Memphis by 7.1 Memphis
Sat 7:00 PM Houston at Louisville -16 Louisville by 19.3 Louisville
Sat 7:00 PM Texas Tech vs. Baylor -27 Baylor by 31.8 Baylor
Sat 7:00 PM Colorado State at New Mexico 7 Colorado State by 8.6 Colorado State
Sat 7:30 PM Texas State at Arkansas State -7.5 Arkansas State by 7.2 Texas State
Sat 7:45 PM Alabama at Mississippi State 25 Alabama by 28.9 Alabama
Sat 8:00 PM Stanford at USC 4 Stanford by 6.6 Stanford
Sat 8:00 PM Florida International at UTEP -6 UTEP by 12.0 UTEP
Sat 9:30 PM Oregon State at Arizona State -14 Arizona State by 22.3 Arizona State
Sat 10:15 PM Wyoming at Boise State -23 Boise State by 20.7 Wyoming
Sat 10:30 PM San Diego State at Hawaii 5 Hawaii by 4.9 Hawaii
Sat 10:30 PM San Jose State at Nevada 7 San Jose State by 3.3 Nevada