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Study Hall: UCF 19, Houston 14

Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

The better team definitely won -- UCF forced more passing downs, played more efficiently, and almost completely shut down Houston's offense in the first half. But wow, those turnovers could have swung things even more than they did. Houston recovered all three of the game's fumbles and almost stole UCF's conference title shot.

Central Florida 19, Houston 14

UCF Houston UCF Houston
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 42.0% 49.3% Success Rate 55.6% 38.6%
Leverage % 78.3% 58.7% PPP 0.51 0.27
S&P 1.069 0.661
TOTAL
EqPts 36.7 32.9 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 50.7% 44.0% Success Rate 33.3% 51.6%
Close PPP 0.53 0.44 PPP 0.60 0.67
Close S&P 1.039 0.879 S&P 0.931 1.189
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 20.1 13.9 Number 3 2
Close Success Rate 48.8% 57.7% Turnover Pts 15.7 6.1
Close PPP 0.47 0.54 Turnover Pts Margin -9.6 +9.6
Close S&P 0.955 1.113
Line Yards/carry 2.96 3.55 Q1 S&P 1.099 0.484
Q2 S&P 0.913 0.698
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.159 1.148
EqPts 16.6 19.0 Q4 S&P 0.989 0.972
Close Success Rate 53.9% 36.7%
Close PPP 0.64 0.39 1st Down S&P 1.003 0.478
Close S&P 1.179 0.755 2nd Down S&P 1.205 1.431
SD/PD Sack Rate 13.3% / 0.0% 7.7% / 4.4% 3rd Down S&P 0.825 0.794
Projected Pt. Margin: Houston +5.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Central Florida +5