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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
The better team definitely won -- UCF forced more passing downs, played more efficiently, and almost completely shut down Houston's offense in the first half. But wow, those turnovers could have swung things even more than they did. Houston recovered all three of the game's fumbles and almost stole UCF's conference title shot.
Central Florida 19, Houston 14 |
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| UCF | Houston | UCF | Houston | |||
| Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 42.0% | 49.3% | Success Rate | 55.6% | 38.6% | |
| Leverage % | 78.3% | 58.7% | PPP | 0.51 | 0.27 | |
| S&P | 1.069 | 0.661 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 36.7 | 32.9 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 50.7% | 44.0% | Success Rate | 33.3% | 51.6% | |
| Close PPP | 0.53 | 0.44 | PPP | 0.60 | 0.67 | |
| Close S&P | 1.039 | 0.879 | S&P | 0.931 | 1.189 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 20.1 | 13.9 | Number | 3 | 2 | |
| Close Success Rate | 48.8% | 57.7% | Turnover Pts | 15.7 | 6.1 | |
| Close PPP | 0.47 | 0.54 | Turnover Pts Margin | -9.6 | +9.6 | |
| Close S&P | 0.955 | 1.113 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 2.96 | 3.55 | Q1 S&P | 1.099 | 0.484 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.913 | 0.698 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 1.159 | 1.148 | |||
| EqPts | 16.6 | 19.0 | Q4 S&P | 0.989 | 0.972 | |
| Close Success Rate | 53.9% | 36.7% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.64 | 0.39 | 1st Down S&P | 1.003 | 0.478 | |
| Close S&P | 1.179 | 0.755 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.205 | 1.431 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 13.3% / 0.0% | 7.7% / 4.4% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.825 | 0.794 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Houston +5.8 | Actual Pt. Margin: Central Florida +5 | ||||||