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The lesson: old is always better than new.
- Week 1
New: 37-38 (49%)
Old: 30-15 (67%) - Week 2
New: 41-32-2 (56%)
Old: 16-25 (39%) - Week 3
New: 28-30-2 (48%)
Old: 20-23-2 (47%) - Week 4
New: 25-33-1 (43%)
Old: 23-20-1 (53%) -
Week 5
New: 22-24-2 (48%)
Old: 27-19-2 (58%) - TOTAL
New: 153-157-7 (49%)
Old: 116-102-5 (53%)
The idea was that Old Method would start out better, and New Method would take over once teams began to differentiate themselves a bit. One problem: only a few have differentiated themselves, and Old Method has outright smoked New Method the last two weeks.
BUT...
- Picks In Which The Two Methods Agree
Week 1: 14-8 (64%)
Week 2: 14-11 (56%)
Week 3: 16-8 (67%)
Week 4: 17-15-1 (53%)
Week 5: 18-15-1 (54%)
TOTAL: 79-57-2 (58%)
..that's still intriguing.
NEW METHOD
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | Prediction | Chance of winning | Pick |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | ESPN | Texas at Iowa State | 8.5 | Iowa State by 2.5 (35.5 - 33.0) | 60.3% | Iowa State |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | ESPNU | Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe | 7 | Western Kentucky by 9.1 (30.3 - 21.2) | 74.5% | Western Kentucky |
| Thu | 10:00 PM | FS1 | UCLA at Utah | 6 | Utah by 2.1 (28.0 - 25.9) | 59.5% | Utah |
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | Prediction | Chance of winning | Pick |
| Fri | 8:00 PM | CBSSN | BYU at Utah State | -6.5 | Utah State by 5.1 (24.2 - 19.1) | 66.2% | BYU |
| Fri | 9:00 PM | ESPN | Nevada at San Diego State | -6 | San Diego State by 10.2 (32.7 - 22.5) | 76.6% | San Diego State |
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | Prediction | Chance of winning | Pick |
| Sat | 11:30 AM | CBS | Air Force at Navy | -11.5 | Navy by 15.9 (42.1 - 26.2) | 86.2% | Navy |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN3 | Ball State at Virginia | -5.5 | Virginia by 4.2 (23.0 - 18.8) | 64.2% | Ball State |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN3 | Eastern Michigan at Buffalo | -14 | Buffalo by 12.0 (30.4 - 18.4) | 79.8% | Eastern Michigan |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPNU | Illinois at Nebraska | -10 | Nebraska by 2.7 (45.0 - 42.3) | 60.8% | Illinois |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN3 | Louisville at Temple | 34 | Louisville by 21.6 (33.9 - 12.3) | 94.0% | Temple |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN | Maryland at Florida State | -16 | Florida State by 13.0 (35.3 - 22.3) | 81.6% | Maryland |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN2 | Michigan State at Iowa | 1 | Iowa by 1.1 (4.2 - 3.1) | 56.9% | Iowa |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | BTN | Penn State at Indiana | 3.5 | Penn State by 0.1 (24.6 - 24.4) | 54.5% | Indiana |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN News | Rutgers at SMU | 5 | Rutgers by 4.0 (24.7 - 20.7) | 63.8% | SMU |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | FS1 | Texas Tech at Kansas | 17.5 | Texas Tech by 14.3 (33.9 - 19.6) | 83.7% | Kansas |
| Sat | 12:21 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia State at Alabama | -55 | Alabama by 39.5 (43.2 - 3.7) | 100.0% | Georgia State |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | ESPN3 | North Carolina at Virginia Tech | -7.5 | Virginia Tech by 15.7 (29.4 - 13.7) | 86.0% | Virginia Tech |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | ESPN3 | Army at Boston College | -11.5 | Boston College by 6.5 (33.1 - 26.6) | 69.2% | Army |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | ESPN3 | Central Michigan at Miami-OH | 3 | Central Michigan by 0.4 (21.4 - 21.0) | 55.3% | Miami-OH |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | ESPN3 | South Alabama at Troy | -3.5 | South Alabama by 8.6 (36.5 - 28.0) | 73.4% | South Alabama |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | ESPN3 | Ohio at Akron | 5 | Ohio by 1.4 (31.0 - 29.7) | 57.6% | Akron |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | UTSA at Marshall | -14 | Marshall by 8.9 (38.2 - 29.3) | 74.1% | UTSA | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | Florida Atlantic at UAB | -5 | UAB by 0.3 (24.0 - 23.7) | 55.0% | Florida Atlantic | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | ESPN3 | Western Michigan at Toledo | -21 | Toledo by 16.4 (41.6 - 25.2) | 87.0% | Western Michigan |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC/ESPN2 | Clemson at Syracuse | 14 | Clemson by 6.5 (36.7 - 30.1) | 69.3% | Syracuse |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | East Carolina at Middle Tennessee | 7.5 | East Carolina by 9.3 (33.2 - 23.9) | 74.8% | East Carolina | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CBS | Georgia at Tennessee | 10 | Georgia by 5.2 (34.8 - 29.6) | 66.4% | Tennessee |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPNU | Georgia Tech at Miami-FL | -6 | Miami-FL by 11.8 (41.6 - 29.8) | 79.4% | Miami-FL |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC | Kansas State at Oklahoma State | -14 | Oklahoma State by 13.9 (31.4 - 17.5) | 83.1% | Kansas State |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | Massachusetts at Bowling Green | -25 | Bowling Green by 20.5 (39.9 - 19.4) | 92.7% | Massachusetts |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC/ESPN2 | Minnesota at Michigan | -19.5 | Michigan by 11.4 (32.3 - 20.9) | 78.7% | Minnesota |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | NC State at Wake Forest | 8.5 | NC State by 7.4 (27.5 - 20.2) | 71.0% | Wake Forest |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | North Texas at Tulane | 3 | Tulane by 0.8 (24.9 - 24.2) | 56.2% | Tulane | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | Northern Illinois at Kent State | 9 | Northern Illinois by 12.0 (42.4 - 30.4) | 79.8% | Northern Illinois |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CBSSN | Rice at Tulsa | -3 | Tulsa by 3.3 (24.1 - 20.8) | 62.2% | Tulsa |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Florida International at Southern Miss | -17 | Southern Miss by 12.7 (24.3 - 11.5) | 81.1% | Florida International | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | FS1 | Washington State at California | 1.5 | Washington State by 2.2 (29.1 - 26.9) | 59.6% | Washington State |
| Sat | 4:30 PM | ESPN3 | Central Florida at Memphis | 10 | Central Florida by 13.7 (33.9 - 20.2) | 82.8% | Central Florida |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | Fresno State at Idaho | 26 | Fresno State by 13.6 (35.4 - 21.8) | 82.6% | Idaho | |
| Sat | 6:00 PM | Pac-12 | Oregon at Colorado | 39 | Oregon by 29.7 (44.5 - 14.8) | 100.0% | Colorado |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN2 | Arkansas at Florida | -11 | Florida by 17.4 (22.0 - 4.6) | 88.5% | Florida |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | Cincinnati at South Florida | 11.5 | Cincinnati by 8.1 (27.0 - 18.9) | 72.4% | South Florida |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN | LSU at Mississippi State | 10 | LSU by 3.9 (31.4 - 27.5) | 63.6% | Mississippi State |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | New Mexico State at New Mexico | -9.5 | New Mexico by 6.4 (34.6 - 28.2) | 69.0% | New Mexico State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPNU | Ole Miss at Auburn | 3 | Ole Miss by 0.4 (25.9 - 25.6) | 55.2% | Auburn |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Fox | TCU at Oklahoma | -10.5 | Oklahoma by 11.3 (29.7 - 18.3) | 78.7% | Oklahoma |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | Texas State at UL-Lafayette | -11 | Texas State by 0.9 (27.8 - 26.9) | 56.5% | Texas State |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | ESPN3 | Kentucky at South Carolina | -21 | South Carolina by 13.9 (40.7 - 26.8) | 83.2% | Kentucky |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | CBSSN | Louisiana Tech at UTEP | 0 | UTEP by 2.1 (35.3 - 33.2) | 59.4% | UTEP |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | CSS | Missouri at Vanderbilt | -1.5 | Missouri by 4.3 (33.1 - 28.8) | 64.4% | Missouri |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | NBC | Arizona State at Notre Dame | 6 | Arizona State by 3.3 (44.4 - 41.0) | 62.2% | Notre Dame |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | ABC | Ohio State at Northwestern | 7 | Ohio State by 5.5 (32.9 - 27.4) | 67.1% | Northwestern |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | FS1 | West Virginia at Baylor | -28 | Baylor by 21.8 (52.9 - 31.2) | 94.2% | West Virginia |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | ESPN | Washington at Stanford | -7.5 | Stanford by 6.5 (24.8 - 18.3) | 69.3% | Washington |
| Sun | 12:00 AM | San Jose State at Hawaii | 5 | San Jose State by 0.3 (21.1 - 20.8) | 55.0% | Hawaii |
OLD METHOD
| Day | Time (ET) | Game | Spread | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | Texas at Iowa State | 8.5 | Iowa State by 2.1 | Iowa State | |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe | 7 | Western Kentucky by 15.3 | Western Kentucky | |
| Thu | 10:00 PM | UCLA at Utah | 6 | Utah by 1.5 | Utah | |
| Day | Time (ET) | Game | Spread | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Fri | 8:00 PM | BYU at Utah State | -6.5 | Utah State by 5.7 | BYU | |
| Fri | 9:00 PM | Nevada at San Diego State | -6 | San Diego State by 12.3 | San Diego State | |
| Day | Time (ET) | Game | Spread | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Sat | 11:30 AM | Air Force at Navy | -11.5 | Navy by 21.5 | Navy | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Ball State at Virginia | -5.5 | Virginia by 4.1 | Ball State | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Eastern Michigan at Buffalo | -14 | Buffalo by 16.9 | Buffalo | XXX |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Illinois at Nebraska | -10 | Nebraska by 2.4 | Illinois | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Louisville at Temple | 34 | Louisville by 35.4 | Louisville | XXX |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Maryland at Florida State | -16 | Florida State by 19.0 | Florida State | XXX |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Michigan State at Iowa | 1 | Michigan State by 0.1 | Iowa | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Penn State at Indiana | 3.5 | Penn State by 1.8 | Indiana | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Rutgers at SMU | 5 | Rutgers by 8.0 | Rutgers | XXX |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Texas Tech at Kansas | 17.5 | Texas Tech by 21.9 | Texas Tech | XXX |
| Sat | 12:21 PM | Georgia State at Alabama | -55 | Alabama by 59.1 | Alabama | XXX |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | North Carolina at Virginia Tech | -7.5 | Virginia Tech by 20.8 | Virginia Tech | |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | Army at Boston College | -11.5 | Boston College by 8.0 | Army | |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | Central Michigan at Miami-OH | 3 | Central Michigan by 2.3 | Miami-OH | |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | South Alabama at Troy | -3.5 | South Alabama by 13.6 | South Alabama | |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | Ohio at Akron | 5 | Ohio by 3.5 | Akron | |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | UTSA at Marshall | -14 | Marshall by 10.2 | UTSA | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | Florida Atlantic at UAB | -5 | Florida Atlantic by 1.2 | Florida Atlantic | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | Western Michigan at Toledo | -21 | Toledo by 21.5 | Toledo | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Clemson at Syracuse | 14 | Clemson by 10.2 | Syracuse | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | East Carolina at Middle Tennessee | 7.5 | East Carolina by 15.5 | East Carolina | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Georgia at Tennessee | 10 | Georgia by 9.5 | Tennessee | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Georgia Tech at Miami-FL | -6 | Miami-FL by 15.7 | Miami-FL | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Kansas State at Oklahoma State | -14 | Oklahoma State by 18.6 | Oklahoma State | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Massachusetts at Bowling Green | -25 | Bowling Green by 29.4 | Bowling Green | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Minnesota at Michigan | -19.5 | Michigan by 16.7 | Minnesota | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | NC State at Wake Forest | 8.5 | NC State by 12.2 | NC State | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | North Texas at Tulane | 3 | North Texas by 0.5 | Tulane | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Northern Illinois at Kent State | 9 | Northern Illinois by 19.3 | Northern Illinois | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Rice at Tulsa | -3 | Tulsa by 2.6 | Rice | XXX |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Florida International at Southern Miss | -17 | Southern Miss by 17.7 | Southern Miss | XXX |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Washington State at California | 1.5 | Washington State by 5.0 | Washington State | |
| Sat | 4:30 PM | Central Florida at Memphis | 10 | Central Florida by 23.3 | Central Florida | |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | Fresno State at Idaho | 26 | Fresno State by 21.9 | Idaho | |
| Sat | 6:00 PM | Oregon at Colorado | 39 | Oregon by 42.9 | Oregon | XXX |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Arkansas at Florida | -11 | Florida by 26.0 | Florida | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Cincinnati at South Florida | 11.5 | Cincinnati by 14.1 | Cincinnati | XXX |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | LSU at Mississippi State | 10 | LSU by 7.9 | Mississippi State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | New Mexico State at New Mexico | -9.5 | New Mexico by 8.4 | New Mexico State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Ole Miss at Auburn | 3 | Ole Miss by 2.2 | Auburn | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | TCU at Oklahoma | -10.5 | Oklahoma by 15.4 | Oklahoma | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Texas State at UL-Lafayette | -11 | Texas State by 3.1 | Texas State | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Kentucky at South Carolina | -21 | South Carolina by 20.7 | Kentucky | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Louisiana Tech at UTEP | 0 | UTEP by 1.1 | UTEP | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Missouri at Vanderbilt | -1.5 | Missouri by 8.1 | Missouri | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Arizona State at Notre Dame | 6 | Arizona State by 4.7 | Notre Dame | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | Ohio State at Northwestern | 7 | Ohio State by 9.5 | Ohio State | XXX |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | West Virginia at Baylor | -28 | Baylor by 27.1 | West Virginia | |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | Washington at Stanford | -7.5 | Stanford by 8.3 | Stanford | XXX |
| Sun | 12:00 AM | San Jose State at Hawaii | 5 | San Jose State by 2.1 | Hawaii |
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