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HuskerMath Model Week 6 Picks

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800,000 federal government employees and Lane Kiffin are not employed right now, but work in the HuskerMath lair of mystery and Diet Dr. Pepper never stops.

By Paul Dalen
5 comments / new
Christian Petersen

Last week the model correctly predicted 72.3% of the games.  For the season, the model has correctly predicted the winner of 75.2% of games.

Updated Season Expected Wins

Team Conference Week 1 Total Pred Week 2 Total Pred Week 3 Total Pred Week 4 Total Pred Week 5 Total Pred Week 6 Total Pred
Louisville AAC 7.41 8.16 7.60 7.71 8.31 8.57
Rutgers AAC 7.65 7.84 7.56 7.73 8.07 8.05
UCF AAC 7.59 7.82 8.05 8.41 8.59 7.89
Cincinnati AAC 8.29 8.40 7.66 6.80 8.12 7.85
Houston AAC 5.21 6.86 5.83 6.10 6.28 6.74
Memphis AAC 5.55 5.18 5.27 5.41 5.31 5.22
SMU AAC 6.54 5.05 5.87 6.19 5.53 5.13
Connecticut AAC 6.61 3.14 5.67 4.57 4.41 3.99
South Florida AAC 5.62 5.62 4.62 3.93 3.82 3.48
Temple AAC 5.48 4.94 4.43 3.49 3.61 3.00
Florida State ACC 9.62 9.28 9.70 9.88 9.78 10.03
Clemson ACC 8.00 7.23 8.58 8.41 9.02 9.17
Virginia Tech ACC 6.91 5.37 7.03 7.85 7.49 8.41
North Carolina State ACC 7.39 7.63 7.82 7.85 7.13 7.75
Miami (Florida) ACC 6.04 6.95 6.95 6.90 7.11 7.61
Pittsburgh ACC 6.83 5.08 6.56 6.72 7.18 7.47
Maryland ACC 5.53 7.34 6.27 7.15 7.59 7.30
Georgia Tech ACC 6.69 8.64 6.48 7.00 7.34 6.75
North Carolina ACC 7.74 6.38 7.70 7.88 7.30 6.42
Syracuse ACC 6.83 5.71 6.09 6.05 6.25 6.28
Virginia ACC 5.66 6.48 5.96 5.94 6.20 5.83
Duke ACC 5.52 7.38 6.21 5.40 5.25 5.47
Boston College ACC 5.21 5.85 5.60 4.98 5.04 5.16
Wake Forest ACC 4.30 5.79 4.37 3.90 4.59 4.29
Oklahoma Big 12 7.27 7.95 7.66 6.77 7.72 8.45
Oklahoma State Big 12 7.46 8.34 8.46 8.70 8.71 8.07
Texas Tech Big 12 6.35 7.05 7.11 7.71 7.62 7.73
Kansas State Big 12 8.49 6.47 7.48 7.63 7.22 7.33
Baylor Big 12 6.68 8.16 6.65 7.55 7.09 7.19
Texas Big 12 6.60 7.57 6.38 5.76 6.20 6.23
West Virginia Big 12 6.31 6.01 5.52 5.63 5.27 6.10
TCU Big 12 6.92 5.61 6.67 5.99 5.98 5.98
Iowa State Big 12 6.25 4.98 5.32 4.89 5.00 5.30
Kansas Big 12 3.98 3.85 4.64 4.51 4.54 4.62
Ohio State Big Ten 7.90 8.05 8.32 9.33 8.73 9.63
Michigan Big Ten 7.20 7.09 8.13 7.77 8.77 8.55
Northwestern Big Ten 7.80 7.55 8.30 8.41 8.41 7.99
Penn State Big Ten 7.79 6.99 8.01 7.38 7.73 7.82
Michigan State Big Ten 7.41 8.47 8.08 8.05 7.76 7.78
Wisconsin Big Ten 8.03 8.36 7.80 7.42 7.75 7.40
Iowa Big Ten 5.88 5.33 5.47 6.16 6.53 7.06
Nebraska Big Ten 7.62 7.44 7.38 6.95 6.88 7.04
Minnesota Big Ten 5.53 6.50 6.70 6.70 7.26 6.70
Illinois Big Ten 4.41 5.19 5.35 5.07 5.16 5.29
Indiana Big Ten 5.81 6.74 4.89 5.84 4.86 4.94
Purdue Big Ten 5.17 4.75 5.36 5.03 4.74 4.29
Middle Tennessee CUSA 6.48 7.11 6.35 6.81 7.40 7.32
East Carolina CUSA 6.43 6.76 6.60 6.18 6.07 6.74
Tulsa CUSA 7.66 5.48 7.61 6.83 7.07 6.64
North Texas CUSA 6.37 7.34 6.08 6.19 6.22 6.23
Rice CUSA 5.90 6.86 6.17 7.04 6.14 6.09
UTSA CUSA 5.77 6.36 6.45 6.41 6.63 5.79
Marshall CUSA 5.62 7.15 5.14 5.16 5.08 5.45
Tulane CUSA 3.72 5.88 3.39 4.61 4.33 5.09
Florida Atlantic CUSA 5.79 4.35 5.48 6.09 4.96 4.84
UAB CUSA 4.84 4.88 4.44 4.38 4.55 4.63
UTEP CUSA 4.85 4.22 4.61 5.13 4.56 4.62
Florida International CUSA 5.81 4.62 5.64 4.15 4.54 4.54
Louisiana Tech CUSA 7.29 5.52 5.78 5.31 4.85 4.47
Southern Mississippi CUSA 3.80 4.24 3.26 3.47 3.56 2.78
Notre Dame Independent 7.89 7.68 7.45 8.01 8.53 7.87
BYU Independent 7.58 6.17 7.74 7.80 6.74 7.15
Navy Independent 6.22 5.61 6.73 7.05 6.95 6.78
Army Independent 5.31 6.63 5.49 4.27 3.75 4.61
Idaho Independent 2.69 3.43 2.84 2.78 2.49 3.10
New Mexico State Independent 3.88 5.28 3.59 3.05 3.03 2.67
Old Dominion Independent 0.36 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.26 0.27
Northern Illinois MAC 8.81 8.01 9.13 9.31 9.27 9.66
Bowling Green MAC 7.71 8.27 8.83 8.36 8.37 8.58
Ohio MAC 8.00 5.66 7.86 7.88 7.92 7.98
Ball State MAC 6.61 6.55 6.45 5.61 6.59 7.25
Kent State MAC 6.76 7.52 6.47 6.20 5.84 6.42
Toledo MAC 6.48 5.66 6.07 6.09 6.64 6.27
Buffalo MAC 5.32 5.51 5.18 4.85 5.27 5.88
Akron MAC 4.85 4.83 4.87 4.71 4.26 4.01
Central Michigan MAC 5.66 6.49 5.36 4.95 4.36 3.93
Western Michigan MAC 6.58 5.80 5.14 4.77 4.53 3.91
Eastern Michigan MAC 3.70 5.37 4.01 4.36 3.37 3.41
Miami (Ohio) MAC 4.57 3.54 3.89 4.43 3.64 3.27
Massachusetts MAC 2.64 3.52 2.13 2.02 1.82 1.78
Fresno State MWC 8.44 7.45 8.53 7.37 8.79 9.25
Utah State MWC 8.79 7.08 8.12 8.46 7.79 8.21
Boise State MWC 8.22 5.77 7.62 6.50 7.17 7.43
San Jose State MWC 8.26 7.99 7.54 7.99 7.20 6.63
Wyoming MWC 5.37 5.41 5.08 5.20 5.96 5.98
San Diego State MWC 7.29 5.17 5.72 5.95 5.26 5.69
Nevada MWC 6.02 6.48 5.27 5.11 5.28 5.68
UNLV MWC 4.72 4.23 4.26 4.58 4.77 5.25
Colorado State MWC 5.58 5.23 4.94 5.54 4.39 4.97
New Mexico MWC 5.26 5.27 5.28 5.07 5.06 4.74
Air Force MWC 6.03 7.23 5.63 5.49 4.83 4.55
Hawaii MWC 3.45 4.03 3.43 3.45 3.78 2.48
Oregon Pac 12 9.31 9.37 9.52 9.66 9.62 9.65
Stanford Pac 12 7.29 7.03 7.67 8.08 8.54 8.50
Arizona State Pac 12 8.23 7.54 7.80 7.61 7.88 8.01
Oregon State Pac 12 7.36 5.52 6.60 7.31 7.81 7.97
Washington Pac 12 6.70 7.43 7.30 7.36 7.49 7.89
USC Pac 12 7.85 8.13 7.50 7.50 8.12 7.64
UCLA Pac 12 6.76 7.26 6.87 7.93 7.43 7.53
Utah Pac 12 5.92 6.55 6.91 6.53 7.02 7.19
Arizona Pac 12 6.25 7.04 6.51 6.87 6.84 6.55
Washington State Pac 12 4.53 4.45 4.95 4.96 5.45 5.26
California Pac 12 4.94 4.29 5.07 4.61 4.61 4.18
Colorado Pac 12 2.49 4.81 3.58 3.37 3.39 3.37
Alabama SEC 9.97 9.27 9.95 10.61 10.59 10.75
Texas A&M SEC 8.74 8.49 8.92 8.38 8.41 8.62
South Carolina SEC 8.30 7.81 7.63 8.05 8.13 8.51
LSU SEC 7.75 7.57 8.33 8.55 8.62 8.24
Georgia SEC 8.14 6.09 8.10 8.30 7.68 8.24
Florida SEC 7.96 7.97 7.78 7.75 7.94 8.15
Mississippi SEC 6.53 6.99 7.08 7.70 7.78 7.19
Vanderbilt SEC 8.16 6.19 7.36 7.01 7.00 7.13
Missouri SEC 5.64 6.95 6.15 5.39 6.73 7.08
Tennessee SEC 5.45 6.93 5.61 5.44 5.87 6.32
Mississippi State SEC 7.48 6.10 6.84 5.67 6.21 6.28
Auburn SEC 4.95 6.33 5.94 6.53 6.57 5.88
Arkansas SEC 5.01 6.47 5.58 6.32 5.66 5.67
Kentucky SEC 4.39 4.38 4.21 4.19 3.88 3.83
Western Kentucky Sun Belt 7.13 7.06 7.56 7.00 6.86 7.08
Louisiana-Lafayette Sun Belt 7.15 5.53 6.29 6.25 7.07 6.80
Arkansas State Sun Belt 8.26 8.52 7.32 7.64 7.16 6.79
Texas State Sun Belt 6.00 6.98 6.50 6.46 6.35 6.72
Louisiana-Monroe Sun Belt 7.19 5.39 6.55 6.71 6.76 5.87
Troy Sun Belt 6.03 6.13 6.36 6.17 5.78 5.58
South Alabama Sun Belt 5.05 4.96 5.19 5.82 5.54 5.29
Georgia State Sun Belt 3.75 4.27 2.46 2.32 1.66 1.60

Week 6 Picks

Visitor Home Vis P(win) Home P(win)
UCLA Utah 0.42 0.58
North Carolina Virginia Tech 0.47 0.53
Ball State Virginia 0.27 0.73
Missouri Vanderbilt 0.32 0.69
Louisiana Tech UTEP 0.28 0.72
BYU Utah State 0.37 0.63
Arizona USC 0.25 0.75
UCF Memphis 0.61 0.40
Florida Atlantic UAB 0.01 0.99
Rice Tulsa 0.22 0.78
South Alabama Troy 0.25 0.75
Western Michigan Toledo 0.35 0.65
Texas Tech Kansas 0.64 0.36
Georgia Tennessee 0.86 0.14
Clemson Syracuse 0.77 0.23
Washington Stanford 0.34 0.66
Kentucky South Carolina 0.25 0.76
San Jose State Hawai'i 0.67 0.33
Nevada San Diego State 0.28 0.72
Rutgers SMU 0.54 0.47
Penn State Indiana 0.63 0.37
Oregon Colorado 0.92 0.08
Kansas State Oklahoma State 0.37 0.63
TCU Oklahoma 0.43 0.58
Ohio State Northwestern 0.91 0.09
Ohio Akron 0.53 0.47
Arizona State Notre Dame 0.55 0.45
North Texas Tulane 0.56 0.44
North Carolina State Wake Forest 0.65 0.35
New Mexico State New Mexico 0.18 0.82
Illinois Nebraska 0.23 0.77
Air Force Navy 0.33 0.67
Mississippi Auburn 0.52 0.48
East Carolina Middle Tennessee 0.34 0.66
Michigan State Iowa 0.57 0.44
Minnesota Michigan 0.26 0.74
Central Michigan Miami (Ohio) 0.41 0.59
Georgia Tech Miami (Florida) 0.38 0.62
UTSA Marshall 0.41 0.60
LSU Mississippi State 0.52 0.48
Louisville Temple 0.55 0.45




Western Kentucky Louisiana-Monroe 0.29 0.71
Texas State Louisiana-Lafayette 0.17 0.83
Northern Illinois Kent State 0.64 0.36
Fresno State Idaho 0.71 0.29
Maryland Florida State 0.12 0.88
Florida International Southern Mississippi 0.57 0.43
Arkansas Florida 0.28 0.72
Cincinnati South Florida 0.54 0.46
Washington State California 0.49 0.52
Eastern Michigan Buffalo 0.28 0.72
Massachusetts Bowling Green 0.05 0.95
Army Boston College 0.30 0.70
West Virginia Baylor 0.29 0.71
Georgia State Alabama 0.00 1.00

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