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UPDATED to fix an error in last week's OLD METHOD results.
Last week started out really, really weird and ended relatively well. The picks began 0-10 (!!), then rallied. OLD trumped NEW by a hair, but neither had a particularly strong week.
Once the full, real F/+ rankings were in place after Week 7, with a broader range between good and bad, I kind of expected NEW to do better. Last week was one week, and an upset-laden one at that, but so far the OLD guard remains the leader.
- Week 1
New: 37-38 (49%)
Old: 30-15 (67%) - Week 2
New: 41-32-2 (56%)
Old: 16-25 (39%) - Week 3
New: 28-30-2 (48%)
Old: 20-23-2 (47%) - Week 4
New: 25-33-1 (43%)
Old: 23-20-1 (53%) - Week 5
New: 22-24-2 (48%)
Old: 27-19-2 (58%) - Week 6
New: 29-26 (53%)
Old: 27-28 (49%) - Week 7
New: 27-23-1 (54%)
Old: 25-24-1 (51%) - Week 8
New: 21-25-1 (46%)
Old: 24-22-1 (52%) - TOTAL
New: 230-231-9 (50%)
Old: 192-176-7 (52%)
And the HYBRID results are still clocking in pretty well despite the mediocre week.
- Picks In Which The Two Methods Agree
Week 1: 14-8 (64%)
Week 2: 14-11 (56%)
Week 3: 16-8 (67%)
Week 4: 17-15-1 (53%)
Week 5: 18-15-1 (54%)
Week 6: 20-19 (51%)
Week 7: 19-16-1 (54%)
Week 8: 21-22-1 (49%)
TOTAL: 139-114-4 (55%)
Missouri by about seven and a half, by the way? SOLD. I'll take it, no questions asked.
NEW METHOD
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | Prediction | Favorite's chance of winning |
Pick |
| Tue | 8:00 PM | ESPN2 | UL-Lafayette at Arkansas State | 2.5 | UL-Lafayette by 6.9 (40.5 - 33.5) | 70.1% | UL-Lafayette |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | ESPN | Kentucky at Mississippi State | -11 | Mississippi State by 13.0 (41.9 - 28.9) | 81.5% | Mississippi State |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | FS1 | Marshall at Middle Tennessee | 8 | Marshall by 11.7 (40.0 - 28.3) | 79.3% | Marshall |
| Fri | 8:00 PM | ESPN | Boise State at BYU | -7 | BYU by 15.5 (35.3 - 19.7) | 85.7% | BYU |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN3 | Ball State at Akron | 10.5 | Ball State by 15.6 (37.3 - 21.8) | 85.8% | Ball State |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN3 | Connecticut at Central Florida | -23 | Central Florida by 30.1 (40.5 - 10.4) | 99.0% | Central Florida |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN News | Houston at Rutgers | -7 | Rutgers by 1.2 (26.9 - 25.8) | 57.1% | Houston |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN2 | Louisville at South Florida | 21 | Louisville by 26.2 (33.6 - 7.4) | 98.9% | Louisville |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN | Nebraska at Minnesota | 10 | Nebraska by 8.1 (31.3 - 23.2) | 72.4% | Minnesota |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | BTN | Northwestern at Iowa | -4 | Iowa by 5.2 (30.1 - 24.9) | 66.4% | Iowa |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | FSN affiliates | Oklahoma State at Iowa State | 13 | Oklahoma State by 17.0 (31.0 - 13.9) | 88.0% | Oklahoma State |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPNU | Wake Forest at Miami-FL | -23.5 | Miami-FL by 28.9 (38.6 - 9.7) | 99.0% | Miami-FL |
| Sat | 12:21 PM | SEC Network | Vanderbilt at Texas A&M | -17 | Texas A&M by 13.0 (55.4 - 42.4) | 81.5% | Vanderbilt |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia Tech at Virginia | 10 | Georgia Tech by 9.6 (28.9 - 19.3) | 75.5% | Virginia |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | CBSSN | Pittsburgh at Navy | 6.5 | Pittsburgh by 6.8 (29.8 - 23.0) | 69.8% | Pittsburgh |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | ESPN3 | Miami-OH at Ohio | -25 | Ohio by 22.8 (36.1 - 13.3) | 95.5% | Miami-OH |
| Sat | 2:30 PM | ESPN3 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -3.5 | Bowling Green by 4.4 (34.3 - 29.9) | 64.6% | Bowling Green |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | ESPN3 | Temple at SMU | -13 | SMU by 14.5 (36.8 - 22.4) | 84.1% | SMU |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | ESPN3 | Western Michigan at Massachusetts | -3 | Western Michigan by 1.8 (22.1 - 20.4) | 58.7% | Western Michigan |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | Boston College at North Carolina | -7 | North Carolina by 6.9 (39.2 - 32.3) | 70.0% | Boston College |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | Buffalo at Kent State | 1.5 | Buffalo by 8.9 (37.1 - 28.2) | 74.1% | Buffalo |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN | Clemson at Maryland | 14.5 | Clemson by 12.0 (35.4 - 23.4) | 79.9% | Maryland |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPNU | Duke at Virginia Tech | -14 | Virginia Tech by 21.9 (34.1 - 12.2) | 94.4% | Virginia Tech |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois | -31 | Northern Illinois by 24.8 (45.3 - 20.5) | 97.6% | Eastern Michigan |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC/ESPN2 | Michigan State at Illinois | 10 | Michigan State by 7.2 (27.8 - 20.6) | 70.7% | Illinois |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC/ESPN2 | NC State at Florida State | -32 | Florida State by 45.4 (50.7 - 5.3) | 99.0% | Florida State |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CBS | Tennessee at Alabama | -28 | Alabama by 32.5 (37.7 - 5.2) | 99.0% | Alabama |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Fox | Texas Tech at Oklahoma | -7 | Oklahoma by 3.2 (33.4 - 30.2) | 62.0% | Texas Tech |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CST | Tulsa at Tulane | 3 | Tulane by 9.2 (26.8 - 17.6) | 74.6% | Tulane |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CSS | UTEP at Rice | -17.5 | Rice by 19.9 (51.0 - 31.1) | 91.9% | Rice |
| Sat | 3:45 PM | FS1 | West Virginia at Kansas State | -10 | Kansas State by 15.7 (34.2 - 18.6) | 85.9% | Kansas State |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | ESPN3 | Troy at Western Kentucky | -10.5 | Western Kentucky by 17.2 (39.7 - 22.5) | 88.2% | Western Kentucky |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Pac-12 | Utah at USC | -6.5 | USC by 1.1 (26.4 - 25.3) | 57.1% | Utah |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | CBSSN | Notre Dame at Air Force | 20 | Notre Dame by 29.7 (56.9 - 27.3) | 99.0% | Notre Dame |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | local | UAB at UTSA | -7 | UTSA by 15.1 (40.7 - 25.6) | 85.0% | UTSA |
| Sat | 6:00 PM | $Ulive | Louisiana Tech at Florida International | 5 | Louisiana Tech by 7.1 (30.2 - 23.1) | 70.3% | Louisiana Tech |
| Sat | 6:05 PM | ESPN3 | UNLV at Nevada | -6 | Nevada by 3.1 (47.9 - 44.8) | 61.8% | UNLV |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPNU | Baylor at Kansas | 35 | Baylor by 34.5 (46.3 - 11.8) | 99.0% | Kansas |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | Furman at LSU | -46.5 | LSU by 33.7 (51.9 - 18.1) | 99.0% | Furman |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia State at UL-Monroe | -12 | UL-Monroe by 7.1 (30.5 - 23.3) | 70.5% | Georgia State |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | FCSC | North Texas at Southern Miss | 11.5 | North Texas by 18.6 (27.8 - 9.1) | 90.3% | North Texas |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | South Alabama at Texas State | 2 | South Alabama by 8.9 (25.6 - 16.7) | 74.1% | South Alabama |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN2 | South Carolina at Missouri | -3 | Missouri by 7.2 (30.2 - 23.0) | 70.6% | Missouri |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPN | UCLA at Oregon | -24 | Oregon by 16.3 (38.3 - 22.0) | 86.9% | UCLA |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | MWC Video | Wyoming at San Jose State | -7 | San Jose State by 4.2 (42.0 - 37.7) | 64.2% | Wyoming |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | ESPN3 | Florida Atlantic at Auburn | -24 | Auburn by 19.4 (26.5 - 7.1) | 91.3% | Florida Atlantic |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | ESPN3 | Idaho at Ole Miss | -41 | Ole Miss by 41.1 (41.1 - 0.0) | 99.0% | Ole Miss |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | FS1 | Texas at TCU | -2 | TCU by 4.5 (25.2 - 20.7) | 64.9% | TCU |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | Pac-12 | Arizona at Colorado | 14.5 | Arizona by 27.1 (37.0 - 9.9) | 99.0% | Arizona |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | ABC | Penn State at Ohio State | -15 | Ohio State by 17.9 (37.5 - 19.6) | 89.2% | Ohio State |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | ESPN2 | Fresno State at San Diego State | 9 | Fresno State by 20.5 (37.3 - 16.8) | 92.7% | Fresno State |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | ESPN | Stanford at Oregon State | 4 | Stanford by 15.9 (34.5 - 18.6) | 86.3% | Stanford |
| Sat | 11:00 PM | FS1 | California at Washington | -25 | Washington by 32.6 (44.7 - 12.1) | 99.0% | Washington |
| Sat | 11:59 PM | MWC Video | Colorado State at Hawaii | 4 | Colorado State by 0.9 (17.9 - 17.0) | 56.5% | Hawaii |
OLD METHOD
| Day | Time (ET) | Game | Spread | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Tue | 8:00 PM | UL-Lafayette at Arkansas State | 2.5 | UL-Lafayette by 7.7 | UL-Lafayette | |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | Kentucky at Mississippi State | -11 | Mississippi State by 14.9 | Mississippi State | |
| Thu | 7:30 PM | Marshall at Middle Tennessee | 8 | Marshall by 11.5 | Marshall | |
| Fri | 8:00 PM | Boise State at BYU | -7 | BYU by 16.1 | BYU | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Ball State at Akron | 10.5 | Ball State by 15.4 | Ball State | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Connecticut at Central Florida | -23 | Central Florida by 33.8 | Central Florida | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Houston at Rutgers | -7 | Rutgers by 1.0 | Houston | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Louisville at South Florida | 21 | Louisville by 28.8 | Louisville | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Nebraska at Minnesota | 10 | Nebraska by 8.9 | Minnesota | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Northwestern at Iowa | -4 | Iowa by 5.4 | Iowa | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Oklahoma State at Iowa State | 13 | Oklahoma State by 17.7 | Oklahoma State | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Wake Forest at Miami-FL | -23.5 | Miami-FL by 32.2 | Miami-FL | |
| Sat | 12:21 PM | Vanderbilt at Texas A&M | -17 | Texas A&M by 13.7 | Vanderbilt | |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | Georgia Tech at Virginia | 10 | Georgia Tech by 10.0 | Georgia Tech | XXX |
| Sat | 1:00 PM | Pittsburgh at Navy | 6.5 | Pittsburgh by 7.9 | Pittsburgh | |
| Sat | 2:00 PM | Miami-OH at Ohio | -25 | Ohio by 23.7 | Miami-OH | |
| Sat | 2:30 PM | Toledo at Bowling Green | -3.5 | Bowling Green by 4.4 | Bowling Green | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | Temple at SMU | -13 | SMU by 16.2 | SMU | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | Western Michigan at Massachusetts | -3 | Western Michigan by 2.1 | Western Michigan | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Boston College at North Carolina | -7 | North Carolina by 7.2 | North Carolina | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Buffalo at Kent State | 1.5 | Buffalo by 9.9 | Buffalo | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Clemson at Maryland | 14.5 | Clemson by 12.6 | Maryland | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Duke at Virginia Tech | -14 | Virginia Tech by 22.3 | Virginia Tech | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois | -31 | Northern Illinois by 27.1 | Eastern Michigan | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Michigan State at Illinois | 10 | Michigan State by 8.1 | Illinois | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | NC State at Florida State | -32 | Florida State by 47.1 | Florida State | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Tennessee at Alabama | -28 | Alabama by 35.3 | Alabama | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Texas Tech at Oklahoma | -7 | Oklahoma by 3.2 | Texas Tech | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Tulsa at Tulane | 3 | Tulane by 9.1 | Tulane | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | UTEP at Rice | -17.5 | Rice by 20.0 | Rice | |
| Sat | 3:45 PM | West Virginia at Kansas State | -10 | Kansas State by 16.5 | Kansas State | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Troy at Western Kentucky | -10.5 | Western Kentucky by 17.8 | Western Kentucky | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Utah at USC | -6.5 | USC by 1.1 | Utah | |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | Notre Dame at Air Force | 20 | Notre Dame by 30.8 | Notre Dame | |
| Sat | 5:00 PM | UAB at UTSA | -7 | UTSA by 16.0 | UTSA | |
| Sat | 6:00 PM | Louisiana Tech at Florida International | 5 | Louisiana Tech by 7.0 | Louisiana Tech | |
| Sat | 6:05 PM | UNLV at Nevada | -6 | Nevada by 2.8 | UNLV | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Baylor at Kansas | 35 | Baylor by 33.6 | Kansas | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Furman at LSU | -46.5 | |||
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Georgia State at UL-Monroe | -12 | UL-Monroe by 7.2 | Georgia State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | North Texas at Southern Miss | 11.5 | North Texas by 20.7 | North Texas | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | South Alabama at Texas State | 2 | South Alabama by 10.2 | South Alabama | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | South Carolina at Missouri | -3 | Missouri by 7.6 | Missouri | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | UCLA at Oregon | -24 | Oregon by 15.1 | UCLA | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Wyoming at San Jose State | -7 | San Jose State by 4.3 | Wyoming | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Florida Atlantic at Auburn | -24 | Auburn by 23.0 | Florida Atlantic | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Idaho at Ole Miss | -41 | Ole Miss by 44.5 | Ole Miss | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Texas at TCU | -2 | TCU by 4.7 | TCU | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | Arizona at Colorado | 14.5 | Arizona by 27.4 | Arizona | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | Penn State at Ohio State | -15 | Ohio State by 18.0 | Ohio State | |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | Fresno State at San Diego State | 9 | Fresno State by 21.5 | Fresno State | |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | Stanford at Oregon State | 4 | Stanford by 17.5 | Stanford | |
| Sat | 11:00 PM | California at Washington | -25 | Washington by 35.9 | Washington | |
| Sat | 11:59 PM | Colorado State at Hawaii | 4 | Colorado State by 1.3 | Hawaii |
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