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Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
As a major Baylor advocate this year, it was heartening to see the Bears pull through. Nothing was going right, and BU still ripped off three TD passes of 54 yards or more to win the game. But ... the awful ground performance is extremely disconcerting. KSU obviously had something to do with that (and wow, did the Wildcats tilt the field in their favor), but that defense hadn't been incredible in stopping the run this year. Baylor was doing everything almost perfectly, but if you can't run, you're not always going to get away with big pass plays to bail you out. (Well, Baylor might, but few pull that off.) So color me concerned.
Baylor 35, Kansas State 25 |
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| Baylor | KSU | Baylor | KSU | |||
| Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 30.5% | 57.5% | Success Rate | 38.5% | 51.8% | |
| Leverage % | 66.1% | 70.0% | PPP | 0.25 | 0.51 | |
| S&P | 0.638 | 1.026 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 41.8 | 42.9 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 37.3% | 45.0% | Success Rate | 35.0% | 29.2% | |
| Close PPP | 0.71 | 0.54 | PPP | 1.60 | 0.60 | |
| Close S&P | 1.082 | 0.987 | S&P | 1.946 | 0.897 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 10.5 | 33.3 | Number | 1 | 1 | |
| Close Success Rate | 34.3% | 48.2% | Turnover Pts | 4.0 | 3.2 | |
| Close PPP | 0.30 | 0.59 | Turnover Pts Margin | -0.8 | +0.8 | |
| Close S&P | 0.643 | 1.076 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 2.41 | 3.56 | Q1 S&P | 0.722 | 1.276 | |
| Q2 S&P | 1.647 | 0.825 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.824 | 1.082 | |||
| EqPts | 31.3 | 9.7 | Q4 S&P | 1.008 | 0.779 | |
| Close Success Rate | 41.7% | 37.5% | ||||
| Close PPP | 1.31 | 0.40 | 1st Down S&P | 0.555 | 0.836 | |
| Close S&P | 1.722 | 0.778 | 2nd Down S&P | 1.970 | 1.208 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 10.0% / 7.1% | 0.0% / 16.7% | 3rd Down S&P | 0.770 | 0.979 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: KSU +1.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Baylor +10 | ||||||
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